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re: Nick Saban (2008-2014) vs Kirby Smart (2017-2023)

Posted on 11/22/23 at 9:24 am to
Posted by Opry
Member since Oct 2023
2025 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 9:24 am to
Kirby is a prick who screwed over Saban going out the door.
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1904 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 9:35 am to
quote:

He then proceeded to win more games in a row than anyone else ever had in the SEC, rattle off 3 8-0 SEC seasons in a row (something never done before), and win back to back NCs with possibility of a third.


And he only needed a program that was already averaging > 10 wins a season over the previous 4 years to do it.

If only Saban had a DC that could handle dual-threat QBs and the RPO in 2013 and 2014 dude could’ve had a 4 peat lol
This post was edited on 11/22/23 at 9:38 am
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86501 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Govt Tide


appreciate the work, but

quote:

opponent's ranking at the time they played


is a shite metric. You should know from firsthand experience wathcing bama beat up on Miami and FSU teams in season openers that were ranked nicely but barely finished above .500
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1904 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 9:43 am to
quote:

is a shite metric.


Does the CFP committee know that? Lol
Posted by Whiznot
Albany, GA
Member since Oct 2013
7006 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 10:01 am to
When Saban took off he didn't have to overcome anyone like Smart. Smart had to overcome Saban.

It's interesting how different those two coaches act during games. Saban loses his shite at times. Smart doesn't.
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
34724 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 10:02 am to
Melt.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86501 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 10:06 am to
quote:

When Saban took off he didn't have to overcome anyone like Smart. Smart had to overcome Saban.


This is one of the absolute biggest gargantuan talking points that nobody ever seems to talk about. When Saban first started his rise to prominence, the only other truly elite coach in the league was Meyer, who was gone 4 years into saban's tenure. Fulmer was there 2 years of Saban's tenure then gone. Richt was decent but nowhere at that level. Miles? Tuberville? Come on.

Saban is obviously better than all fo them, but he really didn't face a whole hell of a lot of resistence in the way of a true equal/nemesis. Kirby from his frist day on the job as a head coach until now has had Saban in his way. It really makes what he's done thus far even MORE remarkable. If Saban didn't exist Kirby already has 1 more natty if not sevearl more.
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2738 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 10:12 am to
quote:

A 1-0 coach would be 'on the path' to match Saban.


Oversimplification is oversimplified
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2738 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Kirby is just proving it just takes buying alot of 5*s and playing a weak schedule to be deemed the GOAT. He will be til the next HC comes around with that same situation and they will be the GOAT.


What is the “same situation”?

Only 10 teams have repeated in the 60 years. And he’s 4 games a way from possibly 3 peating. How often is this a “same situation” thing?
Posted by Gman84
Member since Aug 2021
683 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 11:14 am to
quote:

and each of them should consider themselves as nothing but cheats


Auburn fan doing satire
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52715 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 11:42 am to
quote:

One could argue that they also played a third shitty SEC West team in each of the preceding 2 seasons and will play one in a few weeks. That would be as inane an argument as the “they ain’t played nobody Pawl” argument made above…


what
Posted by Bigdawgb
Member since Oct 2023
903 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 11:54 am to
Very true, in his 6th-8th seasons Saban went a respectable:

10-2 at MSU
8-4 at LSU (first year)
10-3 (improves)

Absolutely solid, but also totally eclipsed by his later numbers at bama and Kirby's current numbers in years 6-8.
Posted by Rabern57
Alabama
Member since Jan 2010
13363 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Only 10 teams have repeated in the 60 years. And he’s 4 games a way from possibly 3 peating. How often is this a “same situation” thing?
As you stated it has happened before. If UGA loses then they only won 2 in a row like the others. There will be more coaches that win 2 in a row. With the way cfb is/has completely changed in recent and future years, the BCS and only 4 team playoffs will lessen with value and be deemed easier to win than the future big playoffs in superconferences (possibly even cutting out half the cupcake games). Then some coach comes out and win 2 in a row and they will be seen as doing something that required them to be a better coach than playing one real team or 2 or even get voted (like the old ones).

That's all assuming that Kirby keeps winning and doesn't turn in to Dabo when the divisions go away.
This post was edited on 11/22/23 at 11:58 am
Posted by Bigdawgb
Member since Oct 2023
903 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 11:59 am to
Exactly. One dude is on pace over one whole game. The other is on pace after 8 seasons & 100+ games...

This argument comes up all the time in baseball

Definitely the same guy
This post was edited on 11/22/23 at 12:00 pm
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9114 posts
Posted on 11/22/23 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

appreciate the work, but



You're welcome :)


quote:

is a shite metric. You should know from firsthand experience wathcing bama beat up on Miami and FSU teams in season openers that were ranked nicely but barely finished above .500


That's a fair point and for that reason I decided to recalculate the numbers to include playoff and bowl games as well as ranked opponents based on their ranking in the final AP poll (after the nat'l championship game). Only other difference this time is I compared the last 7 seasons (including the current season) for both coaches to see how the numbers compare. This did change the number of ranked teams each team played in Georgia's favor.

What didn't change however was how incredibly even both Saban and Smart's win/loss records as well as the number of national and SEC titles each has won. The nearly identical records across both 7 year time spans (comparing Saban 2008-2014 to Smart's 2017-2023 and now both coaches 2017-2023 to 2017-2023) is remarkable.

Kirby Smart (2017-2023) - Georgia played 35 opponents who finished ranked in the final AP poll

Overall record from 2017 to current: 84-10 (89.4%)

National titles - 2 (2021, 2022)

SEC titles - 2 (2017, 2022)


Nick Saban (2017-2023) - Alabama played 31 opponents who finished ranked in the final AP poll

Overall record from 2017 to current: 85-9 (90.4%)

National titles - 2 (2017, 2020)

SEC titles - 3 (2018, 2020, 2021)

It's incredible how even Smart and Saban's records over the last 7 seasons are. If both teams take care of business this Saturday and Georgia beats Alabama in Atlanta they'll have identical 86-10 records since the start of the 2017 season, the same number of SEC titles (3) and the same number of national titles (2) with Kirby having a chance to break the national title tie as well as an opportunity to push his overall win/loss record over this time span just past Saban's.
This post was edited on 11/22/23 at 3:43 pm
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1904 posts
Posted on 11/23/23 at 10:21 am to
quote:

This is one of the absolute biggest gargantuan talking points that nobody ever seems to talk about. When Saban first started his rise to prominence, the only other truly elite coach in the league was Meyer, who was gone 4 years into saban's tenure.


Saban inherited a program that over the previous 4 years had landed 2 five stars (1 transferred before Saban got there). He immediately had to contend with a coach that had won the national title and, and another coach that would win the title in his first year. Saban is a tier above Meyer and Miles imo. Meyer though is a very good coach, he has personal vices that get in his way though, and made it difficult for him to keep up with Saban because of how Saban was building a program to sustain success. Miles was a decent coach for the era that found himself in a good situation, sort of like Orgeron.

Saban also had to contend with a legitimate in-state program that was undefeated in 04, and manages to field a formidable squad at least 50% of the time, which is significantly more than anyone can say about Georgia Tech this century.

quote:

Kirby from his frist day on the job as a head coach until now has had Saban in his way. It really makes what he's done thus far even MORE remarkable. If Saban didn't exist Kirby already has 1 more natty if not sevearl more.


So to recap what Saban “had to contend with”:
1. Two years removed from the college game, and had to put together a staff and ramp up recruiting from zero with just 1 month till NSD in 07.
2. Inherited a program that not only was barely averaging .500 the previous 4 seasons, had lost to its instate rival 6 years in a row, and had just 1 five star and roughly 20 4 stars (maybe 25th in a talent team composite?), and was in the SEC West which had won 2 of the past 4 conference championships
3. His program was immediately hit with a sanction by the NCAA for violations that happened under the previous coach’s tenure
4. Would face multiple national championship coaches in-conference over his first 4 seasons

Vs Kirby’s path…
1. Learned under Saban about the process and building a college program for 8 straight seasons before taking the UGA position. It’s been discussed multiple times over the past several years how he essentially photo-copied whole aspects of Alabama football’s approach to help mimic Alabama’s success
2. Hired by a program that was averaging 10 wins a year the previous 5 years, and found himself in the weaker division of SEC which had not won the conference in 7 years
3. Inherited a roster that was 6th in team composite with 10 five stars and 31 four stars
4. Program was in a state regularly in the top 4 of high school football talent with a weak in-state rival, and no in-state rival within conference
5. Hired coaches and recruited rostered players to UGA from Bama throughout his first few years to help implement Bama’s approach and culture as quickly as possible
6. Immediately began re-recruiting kids he had recruited to Bama. Everyone has heard the big board story, and how he leveraged it to negatively recruit Bama and lure players to UGA
8. Only had 1 championship level coach to contend with over his first four seasons, which was not in his division, and happened to be his former boss whom he essentially modeled the majority of his program after

What’s that saying about “standing on the shoulders of giants” (insert sabanmidget.gif)

If you think these variables don’t significantly contribute to the similarity in the records/accomplishments, and that what Kirby has done, given all his advantages, is more impressive…well just have to agree to disagree
Posted by FLTech
the A
Member since Sep 2017
12498 posts
Posted on 11/23/23 at 10:26 am to
Georgias schedule is a fricking joke every season. Ooooh their big end of the year rivalry is Georgia Tech lol - such a tough game for them
Posted by SteelerBravesDawg
Member since Sep 2020
34724 posts
Posted on 11/23/23 at 10:29 am to
Melt.

We've played 3 straight top-25 teams, and 2 top-12 teams in Mizzou and Ole Piss, how exactly is that a joke?

I'll wait.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25652 posts
Posted on 11/23/23 at 10:29 am to
quote:

FLTech
Georgias schedule is a fricking joke every season.

What can we say?
Half of the SEC is below average. Every year.

Here is a homework assignment.
Show me a better OOC schedule over the past 20 seasons.

Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4269 posts
Posted on 11/23/23 at 10:33 am to
quote:

eorgias schedule is a fricking joke every season. Ooooh their big end of the year rivalry is Georgia Tech lol - such a tough game for them


UGA has the best OOC and often the best overall schedule in the SEC on average since college football went to 12 games.

They do this by averaging 2 P5/BCS teams OOC rather than what most SEC teams do, scheduling one.

For example... do you know what the highest number of top 25 wins any team in college football has right now?

It's 3. And UGA is one of the teams with 3 top-25 wins. You don't lead the nation in top 25 wins unless you play a schedule with a fair number of top 25 opponents on it. UGA in fact has done that.

Would it have been better if the SEC hadn't cancelled the UGA/OU game? Sure. But even without that game, it still allowed them to get the highest number of top 25 victories.
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