re: Projected Final SEC Standings : KenPom Aggregated Results

quote:

---

5. Alabama (10-8) (18-13)

---

I have a hard time seeing Bama get in with a 18-13 (10-8) record. I am assuming if Bama is projected to go 10-8 in SEC play, it has the season ending like this:

@ Auburn- LOSS
LSU- LOSS
Texas A&M- WIN
at Ole Miss- WIN
at Miss St.- LOSS
S. Carolina- WIN
Vanderbilt- WIN
at Missouri- WIN

If it were to go that way, Bama would be just 2-7 on the season against Tournament Teams (Wins over AU and MSU; Losses to RI, PSU, UK, LSU, AU, LSU, and MSU).

Bama would be 1-2 against other Bubble Teams (W over Richmond; L's to UF and ARK).

And most strikingly, Bama would have four losses to teams not in contention for the NCAA Tournament: Penn, UNC, Iowa State, Tennessee.

I just have a hard time seeing a team with 4 relatively bad losses that have to therefore be overcome with big wins getting into the Tournament if they are 3-9 against opponents who are at best in consideration for the Big Dance.

I think Bama would need a few wins in Nashville to get in at that point.

quote:

---

I think Bama would need a few wins in Nashville to get in at that point.

---

Alabama would definitely have to beat one of the #1-4 teams in Nashville to get in I'd think. Then, it would depend on the bubble at large. 19-14 with a Top 40 NET, a Top 25 schedule and 2 Q1 wins would very much but us in the grey area of limbo that would depend on mid-major results and other bubble teams. A lot would also depend on how Furman, Belmont, Stephen F Austin and Richmond finish their seasons. Furman and Richmond have some opportunity to bump up given their leagues have other multiple Top 75 NET teams (ETSU/UNCG for Furman and a RI/VCU/Dayton/SLU for Richmond).

The good news for us is that the SEC Tournament would come at a time where (theoretically) we'd have a healthy Herb and a week of rest to hopefully be ready to make one last push. Either way, it's an uphill climb. Losing both the games last week pretty much made it that way.

Bottom line, main concern for us is building on finishing a close game in Athens. The tournament isn't really in the picture at the moment IMHO.

quote:

---

Last game of the year, yall will come out vs Bruce, and who knows, we may not be playing for anything at that point.

---

We have never come out vs. Bruce before.

We played about as well as possible against UK but the bottom line with this team is they are too limited in terms of perimeter defense and shot making to beat any team with a pulse.

Roster will be overhauled in a big way come April.

Hopefully Vandy isn’t shooting the ball like they did against you guys! Good lord, they looked like the Warriors out there for a while.

I think the country has already decided the SEC is trash this year and is going to minimize the number of teams in the dance.

They have kept Auburn, LSU, and Kentucky underranked at every opportunity.

For one of the second tier teams to break through - they will have to beat one of the “top 3” which will, in turn, lower the perception of the SEC even further.

I think this is a 4 bid league this year. I disagree with it. But I think that is what happens.

quote:

---

I think the country has already decided the SEC is trash this year and is going to minimize the number of teams in the dance.

They have kept Auburn, LSU, and Kentucky underranked at every opportunity. For one of the second tier teams to break through - they will have to beat one of the “top 3” which will, in turn, lower the perception of the SEC even further.

I think this is a 4 bid league this year. I disagree with it. But I think that is what happens.

---

The league dug their own grave with such a bad showing in the non-conference across the board.

Auburn didn't beat anyone of note, Kentucky lost to Evansville and LSU lost to ETSU, VCU and Utah St. That's what people see when they look at the SEC, unfortunately.

quote:

---

AU shouldn’t lose a game with exception to UK in Rupp

---

You just never know man, LSU ran into a red hot shooting Vandy team on a Wednesday night in Nashville. These are college kids we're talking about. They're gonna have off nights.

These next eight games are rough. The Missouri game showed signs of quit. They didn't collapse but they are close. Muss wasn't happy with the effort. The rumor is that he made the team clean up the restrooms. But that is just a rumor.

Muss has done a good job with this team but the next challenge is keeping them together and that is a big task. These close games need to be wins instead of just another moral victory. Good coaches can still lose the team.

SC is just here to try and ruin seasons. We troll everyone, including ourselves.

My basketball groupme seems to think if SC wins 6 of their remaining SEC games, they could get in with 20. I dont see it.