thunderbird1100

If he ever makes it to the show (not saying he will) that would be an incredible story

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Lawson McLeod committed to Georgia Southern.

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Remember when he decommitted some entity out there put up something about us lacking baseball NIL and we lost a top commit, etc :lol:

Turns out it had absolutely nothing to do with lack of NIL if GaSo is the destination :lol:

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It’s awesome to get drafted and all. But you could go to one of the best colleges in the country and be in the hunt for a championship every year. I would take that all day long instead of wasting my talent in JUCO.

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You are not seeing it from their perspective, just an LSU fan

His perspective is I wanna get paid and paid more than Cleveland just offered me ($1.5M-$1.7M) as quickly as possible. At JUCO you are draft eligible after just 1 season, and again after a 2nd. He is not turning 21 before the end of the sophmore year so he has to wait 3 years if he goes to any D1 school.

He also is getting guaranteed innings and playing time at any juco, he gets zero guarantees coming here because we care first and foremost about winning games. He could come here, have some control problems early on, and throw 12 innings his freshman year. He could go to a JUCO, work through those control problems on the field and maybe even work his way out of it in the different aspect than he would get here and get a bonus he wants to sign for after just 1 or 2 seasons.

If his primary objective is to become eligible as quickly as possible and try and maximize his value, going the JUCO route makes way more sense.

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Additionally, Schmidt is not a top 10 prospect. He was #45 on mlb.com.

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Miso wasnt highly rated either, did not get drafted in the 5 round draft back in 2020, came back and signed for $2.35M 2 years later after essentially 1 year of any production at JUCO

In the end, there arent a ton of datapoints to go in because frankly not a ton of particularly highly rated kids ever do go the JUCO route, it doesnt mean there arent datapoints in the past saying it isnt a route someone cant be successful with though.

Some kids, like Miso, can take pretty large leaps especially during that kind of time frame. Look at how some kids come in here and look at end of year 2 sometimes.

Curiel came here because he really wanted college, but I bet if he went JUCO he would have probably signed for a large amount after just 1 year there too (maybe not $6M exactly, who knows, but certainly a large sum of money).

In the end, just not a ton of datapoints, but when someone is looking for the fastest route to a large MLB contract after not getting over like $1.5M offers initially out of high school, that route is not best suited to lock yourself in for 3 years at a d1 place. Technically speaking you can spend 1-2 years in JUCO and be eligible each year and might not have to wait 3 years to get what you want. Doesnt mean it will always work out, but also doesnt mean it wont work out either, but thats the fastest way to get yourself back into the draft for a someone who wont be 21 by the end of their sophomore year. I do think it's a difference pitch to a DES than it is to someone who has to be locked in for 3 years. It sounds a bit silly, but a year can make all the difference, especially being eligible with leverage for at least 2 years in d1, not just 1.

Keep in mind the promises being made are quite a bit different to a guy like this from LSU's end and a JUCO's end. Sure, we can pay him a nice comfortable amount to come here, but we can make no guarantees with playing time. We care about winning first and foremost and if he someone doesnt have it, they wont pitch much, flat out. Any JUCO out there would sell a weekend rotation spot and for him to pitch as much as he wants there by comparison.

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Starting at a JUCO for 1 year to improve draft stock doesn't seem like a good plan. Weak competition. He does well? That's expected. He does not-so-well? He's screwed.

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He has 2 chances to be drafted at a JUCO before ever getting that chance at LSU, this is why some kids choose this route and have found success with this in the past.

In the end, if he goes JUCO he clearly just wants the fastest path to the majors and a big contract possible. He can always go to a d1 school after a couple years trying at JUCO if he needs to. Seems like thats not the path he wants to take though (waiting 3 years again to be drafted).

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For those that may know, Is this a common tactic among recruits? How often do good players strategically choose Juco?

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This is more of a special case, but Jacob Misiorowski missed his senior season of high school back in 2020 due to covid. Draft was shortened to 5 rounds and he went undrafted. He was committed to Oklahoma State but decided to go to JUCO instead. In 2021 he tore his meniscusending season early. He was committed to us and stayed in JUCO for 2022, where he had a huge year, threw 100mph at combine got drafted 2nd round and signed for $2.35M.

Had he went to ok st he would have had to wait till 2023 draft to be drafted.

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No Louisiana peeps.

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Bradyn Cupit is in the class and from LA, but the only one. Was not drafted

Was a pretty weak year in-state. Only 1 LA kid got drafted that was committed to Tulane and signed for $747k

2027 is loaded in LA by comparison, we got 6 commits from the state right now

When you have a lethal offense it's usually very advantageous to go for it typically in 4th/3 or less situations as analytics will show you.

There's a bunch of variables around that though. If you're up 10 with 4 minutes to go in game and you're 4th/2 on your own 28 yard line - I highly doubt Lane would be going for that. Make the team drive the field twice if they want to tie/win the game, dont give them a potential short field in a 2 score game with 4 minutes to go.

It's all very situational. Lane isnt an idiot, but he is aggressive and knows the stats when you have a good offense favors the offense often in 4th/short situations

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I loved that card but almost $1k wasnt worth it in my case

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Gotta be a pretty diligent couponer to get the use of the AMEX Platinum or CSR

I personally dont know how anyone gets the value out of the Citi Strata Elite; the $200 blacklane credit is :yack: and the other credits dont cover the AF on that. The only way to even cover the AF there is if you put true value on the lounge access which you can also do on the Platinum or CSR and those have way more usable credits.

For our first year of CSR which I just got beginning of June I am expected to get $1,680 of value out of before AF of $795 and not counting my 150k welcome bonus. Just feel like there's so many usable credits on this one, and the Platinum honestly. But doesnt fit everyone.

Sorry you are right there, but doesnt change the overall view of the card, which is really just an amazon (or whole foods) store card in the end.

Chase is always changing up what does/doesnt cash back and such. The worst part about the amazon card is its not UR points, but I believe its the same with all their co-branded cards. We have the IHG premier one and it just gets IHG points, which makes sense I guess. All those co-branded cards would be very overpowered if they earned any UR points on top of points/miles within their existing brand....but would be 1 way to get A TON of people to sign up for them. :lol:

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Why do people have an aversion to shorting stocks ?

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Go talk to all the institutions and people that have lost everything by shorting stocks, there's plenty of them

There's infinite downside