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Projected Final SEC Standings : KenPom Aggregated Results

Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:12 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:12 pm
For instance, Kentucky is picked game by game to go 6-2, but if you add up their % to win those 8 it comes to 5-3.

1. Auburn (13-5) (26-5)
1. Kentucky (13-5) (23-8)
1. LSU (13-5) (22-9)
4. Mississippi State (11-7) (20-11)
5. Alabama (10-8) (18-13)
5. Florida (10-8) (18-13)
5. South Carolina (10-8) (18-13)
8. Arkansas (9-9) (21-10)
8. Tennessee (9-9) (17-14)
10. Texas A&M (7-11) (13-17)
11. Missouri (6-12) (14-17)
11. Ole Miss (6-12) (15-16)
13. Georgia (5-13) (15-16)
14. Vanderbilt (3-15) (11-20)


In this scenario, and based on current NET, I'd guess


IN : Auburn, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi St

WHOEVER GETS A BIG WIN IN NASHVILLE IS IN (Only 1) : Bama, Florida, Arkansas


5 teams in
This post was edited on 2/10/20 at 1:20 pm
Posted by sweetwaterbilly
Member since Mar 2017
19351 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:19 pm to
Remaining schedule for top 3.

Finishing 13-5 looks right for LSU imo.

I think we lose to Kentucky, at Florida, and either at South Carolina or Arkansas.

LSU:
Mizzou
@ Alabama
Kentucky
@ South Carolina
@ Florida
Texas A&M
@ Arkansas
Georgia

Kentucky:
@ Vanderbilt
Ole Miss
@ LSU
Florida
@ Texas A&M
Auburn
Tennessee
@ Florida

Auburn:
Alabama
@ Mizzou
@ Georgia
Tennessee
Ole Miss
@ Kentucky
Texas A&M
@ Tennessee
This post was edited on 2/10/20 at 1:22 pm
Posted by Luke
1113 Chartres Street, NOLA
Member since Nov 2004
13406 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:21 pm to
AU shouldn’t lose a game with exception to UK in Rupp... Kenpom on par
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:22 pm to
Conference Only Strength of Schedule To Date
1. Vanderbilt (1-9)
2. Ole Miss (3-7)
3. Georgia (2-8)
4. Alabama (5-5)
5. Auburn (8-2)
6. Mississippi St (6-4)
7. Missouri (3-7)
8. Arkansas (4-6)
9. Kentucky (8-2)
10. LSU (8-2)
11. Florida (6-4)
12. Texas A&M (5-5)
13. Tennessee (5-5)
14. South Carolina (6-4)
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37593 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:22 pm to
That one is more believable than the other posted earlier.

It's all about 1-8 from here on out and who has the most favorable remaining schedule.

Not surprised to see everyone finally recognizing MSU as a very good basketball team.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:24 pm to
Auburn pretty clearly has the least amount of potential hiccup games down the stretch. LSU has a ton of them, Kentucky somewhere in the middle.
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40250 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:24 pm to
LSU:
Mizzou- Win
@ Alabama- Toss up
Kentucky- Toss up
@ South Carolina- Win
@ Florida- Loss
Texas A&M-Win
@ Arkansas- Toss up
Georgia- Win

Kentucky:
@ Vanderbilt- Win
Ole Miss- Win
@ LSU- Toss up
Florida- Win..close to toss up
@ Texas A&M- Win
Auburn- Toss up leaning toward win
Tennessee- Win
@ Florida- Toss up leaning toward loss

Auburn:
Alabama- Win
@ Mizzou- Win
@ Georgia- Win...but I think a lot closer than last time
Tennessee- Win
Ole Miss- Win although ole miss always plays us tough
@ Kentucky- Toss up leaning loss
Texas A&M- Win
@ Tennessee- Toss up
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Not surprised to see everyone finally recognizing MSU as a very good basketball team.



To be fair, Mississippi St only recently discovered they were a very good basketball team. It took them about 15 games to figure it out.
Posted by sweetwaterbilly
Member since Mar 2017
19351 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Kentucky somewhere in the middle


Kentucky better get ready for a fight at Vanderbilt tomorrow night. Just sayin. Don't ask me how I know
Posted by GamecockUltimate
Columbia,SC
Member since Feb 2019
6762 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:29 pm to
Yet Frank said today he thinks his team is in a good position for March...

Maybe the basketball facility got new couches and that’s what he means
This post was edited on 2/10/20 at 1:30 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Kentucky better get ready for a fight at Vanderbilt tomorrow night. Just sayin. Don't ask me how I know



Hell Vandy had them on the ropes at Rupp the game before they beat you guys.

Vandy has put together 4 solid games in a row against 4 good teams :
- @ Kentucky : L 71-62 (Vandy led 40-30 early 2nd half, 50-49 at 10 min mark)
- vs Florida : L 61-55
- vs LSU : W 99-90
- @ State : L 80-70 (Vandy led 35-31 at halftime)
This post was edited on 2/10/20 at 1:31 pm
Posted by bgator85
Sarasota
Member since Aug 2007
6021 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

5. Florida (10-8) (18-13)


This type of finish could very well end the Mike White era.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

This type of finish could very well end the Mike White era.



Y'all have a pretty nightmarish finish after the next 2

@ #168 Texas A&M
#173 Vanderbilt
#36 Arkansas
@ #29 Kentucky
#34 LSU
@ #68 Tennessee
@ #94 Georgia
#29 Kentucky

That's a tough stretch
Posted by sweetwaterbilly
Member since Mar 2017
19351 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

This type of finish could very well end the Mike White era.


I admittedly don't follow UF hoops much but does the majority of the fanbase want White gone? He seems like a good coach to me. But I know this year has not gone according to plan from what I can tell
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:42 pm to
It really has been a downward trajectory for White since that 2017 team.

2017 : 27-9 (14-4), #5 KenPom, #4 seed, Elite Eight
2018 : 21-13 (11-7), #22 KenPom, #6 seed, 2nd round
2019 : 20-16 (9-9), #26 KenPom, #10 seed, 2nd round
2020 : 14-9 (6-4), #47 KenPom, ?, ?
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

@ Tennessee- Toss up


Lol no this is an easy W.

This Tennessee team is beyond bad especially without Turner and Josiah.
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40250 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 2:05 pm to
Last game of the year, yall will come out vs Bruce, and who knows, we may not be playing for anything at that point.
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
28285 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

we may not be playing for anything at that point.



we are playing every game for a chance to win the SEC.....and more importantly, seeding.
This post was edited on 2/10/20 at 2:31 pm
Posted by bgator85
Sarasota
Member since Aug 2007
6021 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

I admittedly don't follow UF hoops much but does the majority of the fanbase want White gone? He seems like a good coach to me. But I know this year has not gone according to plan from what I can tell


I'd say so at this point. I think most really like White, but this season is really inexcusable. To take a preseason top 10 team and be in real danger of missing the tournament is not where you want to be following what was a disappointing season last year. It's tough to follow a legend, but it's been 5 years and I think most agree the program should be better.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18006 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 2:57 pm to
I think the Auburn/Kentucky winner on February 29 wins the league.

LSU finishes third and State gets the last double bye. If MSU wins at Bud Walton this week, the rest of the schedule shapes up very nicely for them to get hot headed into the SEC Tournament.

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