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LATECHgradLSUfan
Atlanta Braves Fan
Minden, LA
Member since Sep 2007
2820 posts

Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
Easy money here? You got to feel as though Arkansas has turned a bit of a corner and A&M is not there yet. Leaning towards Arkansas as the outright winner here.

I also admit that betting on college sports is the quickest way to lose money and the casinos know it....sooooo
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:27 am


Porcine Human
Arkansas Fan
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
9042 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
A&M has a really good defense and could disrupt us pretty bad

Hoping their OL is still shit/developing on Saturday and our front seven can take advantage

The line isn't terrible imo

quote:

I get it that it is at Kyle field but I see Arkansas as an outright winner here.


It's at Jerry World, been a neutral site game for a decade now
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:24 am


momentoftruth87
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2013
46035 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
It’s in Dallas baw


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30
CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
73339 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
1. It's not at Kyle Field. If it was, the line would be -13.

2. Arkansas has one of the worst pass offenses in the country and A&M is the #1 pass defense, #1 scoring defense and #9 total defense.

3. Arkansas hasn't played a game with a crowd that isn't completely in their favor this season. A&M has.

4. If A&M had covered the spread against Colorado, this conversation isn't happening.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:25 am


BenHOGan1
Arkansas Fan
KC Area
Member since Feb 2021
7 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
Game is not at Kyle Field. Game is at ATT Stadium in Arlington, TX. Arkansas will be the designated Home team in this one. The line is what Vegas dictates in order to get even money on each side. Nothing more. Arkansas has proven they can play sound football - especially on the defensive side. I think the game will depend on whether atm can connect when the Hogs' defenders turn aggie WRs loose in the defensive backfield, as they have had a tendency to do on occasion. So far, utex, Rice and GA Southern have not been able to connect. I do expect Arkansas to run well and score points. The defense will determine the winner.


LATECHgradLSUfan
Atlanta Braves Fan
Minden, LA
Member since Sep 2007
2820 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

It's at Jerry World, been a neutral site game for a decade now


Ah hell, that's right, my bad..... Now I am leaning even harder towards the Hogs.


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52
Porcine Human
Arkansas Fan
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
9042 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

Arkansas has one of the worst pass offenses in the country


no we don't


CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
73339 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

I think the game will depend on whether atm can connect when the Hogs' defenders turn aggie WRs loose in the defensive backfield, as they have had a tendency to do on occasion


Kellen Mond threw for a career high 81% last year and Jalen Wydermyer feasted.

Calzada has actually thrown downfield more this season than Mond did his entire career.


CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
73339 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

no we don't


Arkansas is ranked #86 in pass offense right now. That's bottom third in the country and bottom four in the conference.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:28 am


FayetteNAM
Arkansas Fan
Boston Mountains
Member since Jun 2013
3621 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

2. Arkansas has one of the worst pass offenses in the country and A&M is the #1 pass defense, #1 scoring defense and #9 total defense.


Your guy has thrown 9 more passes than our guy, with 2 less completions and 174 less yards.

I know it’s your back up, but your other guy isn’t coming back anytime soon.


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
3112 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
I hope your team comes into the game thinking we have the worst passing offense in the country. What a stupid statement on your part.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:29 am


X
Member since Jun 2010
3481 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
The line has nothing to do with who will win. It only serves to equalize the distribution of wagers.


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32
CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
73339 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

I hope your team comes into the game thinking we have the worst passing offense in the country. What a stupid statement on your part.


A&M's pass defense = #1 in the conference and #1 NATIONALLY

Arkansas pass offense = #11 in the conference and #86 nationally.

Jefferson has not faced pressure at all this season nor has he faced a crowd that wasn't 95% friendly.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:31 am


rockiee
Houston Astros Fan
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
26494 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

1. It's not at Kyle Field. If it was, the line would be -13.


I'm guessing you don't gamble


The Sultan of Swine
Arkansas Fan
Member since Nov 2010
5065 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
That's about right. KJ is improving each game but still hasn't proven he's to the level of QB play needed to be a top 10 team.

That said, a big reason for that is that we haven't needed him to. We've rushed for like 280 yards per game. His best passing attribute is his arm strength and we really haven't asked him to use it much.

But I get A&M -6 because there's still some unknown as to whether he'll come through when we need it


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71
Porcine Human
Arkansas Fan
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
9042 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
I too enjoy throwing out stats with no context

We didn’t throw in the Texas game because we didn’t have to - KJ was slinging it everywhere against Georgia Southern and looked decent. He’s got a great deep ball.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:33 am


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50
abellsujr
LSU Fan
New England
Member since Apr 2014
31438 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
aTm is desperate for a rebound game after Colorado.

Two weeks for the new QB to prepare.

They won’t play Texas, but beating the team that destroyed them is a big motivation.

They’re approaching this as a statement game.

Arkansas already made a statement.

The line is about right imo.


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
3112 posts
 Online 

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
I guess we'll find out Saturday. Here's to a well officiated, injury free game.
This post was edited on 9/20 at 9:38 am


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140
OleVaught14
Member since Jun 2019
2081 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

Easy money here?


No such thing. Always remember that Vegas is smarter than you


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31
TeLeFaWx
SMU Fan
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
28282 posts

re: Texas A&M (-6) vs Arkansas...why does this feel like a misprint to me?
quote:

The line is what Vegas dictates in order to get even money on each side. Nothing more.


I don't know how this lie got so popular. I guess it might have been true at one point, but the majority of bets come no where close to 50/50 money and if Vegas was setting lines that were clearly off, the sharps would eat them alive.

The line is exactly what Vegas thinks its going to be and lets the line float and move to hedge if their exposure tips too high in one direction. Rest assured, Vegas thinks that A&M is 6 points better than Arkansas on a neutral field.


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