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re: If Bama and Utah both win out, how do you justify Bama over conference champ Utah?

Posted on 11/24/19 at 1:56 pm to
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

A loss to 8-4 USC is not a "quality loss".

Better than a loss to 4-8 USC.

Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86470 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

What is the argument for Bama, in that scenario?


there isn't one, and the committee would undoubtedly, without question, 100% positively have utah above them.

The better question is why do you think bama is even in consideration?
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

So? Bama would probably beat Utah. That would be true even with a loss to Auburn next weekend.

Would you put Bama in over Utah in that case?

Exactly.

And this is the argument that will forever debunk the eye test.
This post was edited on 11/24/19 at 1:57 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Do rent a wins against 1AA schools count?



As much as Utah's game vs 1AA Idaho State did

Or Oklahoma's vs South Dakota

Or Baylor's vs Stephen F Austin

Or Clemson's vs Wofford

Or LSU's vs Northwestern State

Or Oregon's vs Montana

Or Minnesota's vs South Dakota State

Or Georgia's vs Murray State
This post was edited on 11/24/19 at 2:03 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

Better than a loss to 4-8 USC.


Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1659 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:04 pm to
bama would make more fans watch tv and bring more fans to where ever the games are played. Why is that a question? They are picking not really the best teams but the best teams who can travel and make people turn on tv sets.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

They are picking not really the best teams but the best teams who can travel and make people turn on tv sets.


From our experience with the Utes in New Orleans in 2008 those folks are passionate and will travel in droves.

Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54209 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:08 pm to
The only shot I see Bama making it in is if LSU wins out, otherwise their season ends in a Jan. 1 bowl game.
Posted by 3rddownonthe8
Atlanta, GA
Member since Aug 2011
5212 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:14 pm to
You can’t... that’s why UTAh will be 6th Tuesday night...

If the Utes win out they are in!
Posted by billfish21
Louisiana
Member since Jan 2009
1590 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:15 pm to
Bama is arguably one of the four best teams in college football. I do think if this is going to be an invitational very tough to select a one-loss bama over a one-loss power 5 conference champion.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

So? Bama would probably beat Utah. That would be true even with a loss to Auburn next weekend.

Would you put Bama in over Utah in that case?


It's not a bad question.

The answer is that "other" criteria the committee looks at like "game control" "advanced metrics" "conference championships" etc only come into play when trying to separate teams with otherwise close resumes.

A 2nd Alabama loss would mean that they are not in consideration to the point where the committee begins to discuss "game control" or "advanced metrics" vis-à-vis Utah.


Just like a hypothetical 2 Loss Oregon is out of the conversation before considering their PAC 12 title.


Just like Auburn may also fare well vs Utah in terms advanced metrics and may be a Vegas favorite on a neutral field but AU is already out of consideration.



That said, I think Utah deservedly would be the 4th team if they win out.

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Bama is arguably one of the four best teams in college football. I do think if this is going to be an invitational very tough to select a one-loss bama over a one-loss power 5 conference champion.



I think the committee wants to make it clear they are't Bama friendly and this is the best year to do it (and probably be correct about it).

Honestly - if chalk plays out I think it helps us in the long run. This isn't a great team on our end and the whole "BAMMER ALWAYS GETS THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT" thing will kind of be dead.

Either way, I just want to beat Auburn.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30878 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

A loss to 8-4 USC is not a "quality loss".


How many quality wins does Alabama have?


I don't know, but I would at least imagine Texas A&M would have a better record than 8-4 with USC's schedule.

Now I am not calling A&M a "good" team or not a good team. I'm simply saying that A&M has losses to Clemson, Auburn, Alabama and Georgia. That's three top 5 teams and a top 15 one.

USC's losses are to BYU, Washington, Notre Dame and Oregon. That's two top 15 teams and two unranked ones.

Yet USC is ranked in the top 25 and Texas A&M is not.
Posted by Shaft Williams
Central City, LA
Member since Jul 2010
9424 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

I believe Bama is the better team but if they don’t put in Utah it would be a terrible look on the committee. Both a one loss team but one wins their conference championship game. They would be sending the message that winning the conference championship game doesn’t matter.

Now if Bama actually beaut more than one top 25 team maybe it would be different but auburn would have 5 losses after that game? Just wouldn’t look good at all.


Bama is the better team and we put butts in the seats and eyes on the TVs. Also, if we make the playoff this season our inclusion will be used by the playoff committee to expand the playoff to 8 ASAP. An expanded playoff is what the Pac 12 and Big 12 want because then they can get some at large bids to the playoff and bring much needed prestige to more of their football programs.
Posted by BhamDore
Nashville
Member since Aug 2009
6288 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:20 pm to
quote:


The better question is why do you think bama is even in consideration


Because they are currently #5. Don't be obtuse.

Because they have dominated their "light" schedule they way you would expect a top 4 team too. They don't struggle win against teams like Texas A&M or lose to South Carolina they beat those teams by 3 + TDs every time.

The eye test obviously is important to this committee and UGA does not impress on the offensive side of the ball.


People acting like who you lose to and how you lost doesn't matter. It matters just as much as who you beat and how you beat them.

Ask Ohio State about that 31 pt loss to
7-5 Iowa or Oklahoma State about that loss to a 7 loss Iowa state team. That was 3-6 in the Big12.

There is no shame in losing to the #1 team with a Heisman winning QB by 5pts especially when your all world QB had ankle surgery 3 weeks prior and had not really practiced. It was a game that Alabama did not play well in, but competed til the end against a great team. When you don't play well against a great team you usually get blown out as Alabama did with Clemson last year. LSU is just not that good on defense.

Bama is better than Utah and UGA that is clear. Georgia doesn't have any Wrs that can get separation and their QB has regressed in an ineffective offensive system.



This post was edited on 11/24/19 at 2:50 pm
Posted by Shaft Williams
Central City, LA
Member since Jul 2010
9424 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:24 pm to
The playoff committee could've made entry into the playoff only for conference champs. They didn't do so for seasons like this and when the playoff was created the Pac 12 and Big 12 were already showing signs of decay so a one loss team from a respected conference would get in the playoff over a conference champ from a weak conference.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
63009 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:27 pm to
Why are you comparing Bama to UGA? Bama's fate will not come down to a decision between them and UGA no matter what happens.
Posted by Globetrotter747
Member since Sep 2017
4311 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:28 pm to
Utah may or may not have a better resume than Bama, but I think if the two teams were playing at a neutral site and you asked people to bet every single cent and possession they have on the outcome and their family would be starving on the street if they lost, I don’t imagine too many people would be picking the Utes.
Posted by YF12
Ottobaan
Member since Nov 2019
4451 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

So? Bama would probably beat Utah. That would be true even with a loss to Auburn next weekend.

Would you put Bama in over Utah in that case?



I would put a 7 loss Bama team in over a zero loss Utah team every year

Alabama is the playoffs
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30600 posts
Posted on 11/24/19 at 2:35 pm to
Do you think Utah can beat L1-8U?
Now do you believe that Sou. Cal can beat Alabama?
If you're honest, it's easy.
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