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Current Allstate playoff predictor - interesting/odd numbers

Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:02 pm
Posted by Sid E Walker
BackdoorU ©
Member since Nov 2013
26105 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:02 pm
Looks like Ole Miss was overlooked for some reason. This was on ESPN, so who knows.

1. Miami (93%)
2. Texas (91%)
3. Notre Dame (90%)
4. Bama (88%) - UGA’s a slight favorite next week, so this is weird.
5. Georgia (85%)
6. tOSU (78%) - Surprisingly low.
7. Indiana (76%)
8. Texas Tech (58%)
9. Utah (47%)
10. Oregon (39%)
11. LSU (38%)
12. Boise State (35%)

17. Tennessee (27%)
19. Florida (15%)
24. Miss State (12%)
Posted by theballguy
HSV (Dealing only in satire)
Member since Oct 2011
43297 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:04 pm to
Way too much football left but I'd be ecstatic if it worked out this way.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
24847 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

4. Bama (88%) - UGA’s a slight favorite next week, so this is weird.
5. Georgia (85%)

The loser of this game doesn't have their playoff chances take too much of a hit unless it is a blowout either way. I dont think either one is blowing out the other. Even if it does happen, the loser could win out, even lose another game depending on other factors, and still be comfortably in.
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
4300 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

17. Tennessee (27%)
19. Florida (15%)
24. Miss State (12%)


All of these schools have a 0.01% chance of making the playoff.

Playoff teams won't have 4 losses ...
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
41120 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:10 pm to
quote:


The loser of this game doesn't have their playoff chances take too much of a hit unless it is a blowout either way. I dont think either one is blowing out the other. Even if it does happen, the loser could win out, even lose another game depending on other factors, and still be comfortably in.


Yeah, all teams basically get 2 losses and this is one of the games for each team you figure you can lose and still make it.

The winner mostly gets a very nice cushion. The loser can still take another loss and be ok - maybe even beneficial if they miss the SECCG such as Ole Miss last year.

Posted by GrizzlyWintergreen
Member since Jun 2025
3321 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:11 pm to
They weren't overlooked, they just arent good.

Outside of one half of football , theyve done nothing impressive. Not even trolling, if they played tomorrow LSU would still be favored and definitely on a neutral field. That farce of a super bowl is all they'll have this year.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13957 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:14 pm to
Melt Day 15.

And a solid one at that.

Lots of anger. Still very raw.

Delicious
Posted by EV
Member since Aug 2024
738 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:18 pm to
I would like to know the math behind these numbers, because if you win your conference, you are 100% in

For example, Boise State's percentage should be incredibly high, because they are really competing against other G6 teams. The parameters are different.

Posted by GrizzlyWintergreen
Member since Jun 2025
3321 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Delicious


Its legitimate.

Thats how the predictor works.

And Ill bet any amount of money you want that even with our schedule, LSU finishes with a better record. Its just how it is.
Posted by YStar
Member since Mar 2013
20504 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Outside of one half of football , theyve done nothing impressive. Not even trolling, if they played tomorrow LSU would still be favored and definitely on a neutral field.



What has LSU done that is impressive? Beat A&M? Beat that FCS school and not allow them to run clock?

It's embarrassing how delusional some of your fan base is and how quickly they start looking down and tearing down others... even teams that beat them. Crazy
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
29393 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:30 pm to
LSU has Lane. Never mind that he is 10-26 against ranked teams or some screwed up number like that. They have done nothing impressive to date. They will have their chance when Alabama and Texas come along

They will lose both of those. And this T10 talk can finally stop.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
35491 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:32 pm to
We are going to know a ton two weeks from today
Posted by cajunbama
Metairie
Member since Jan 2007
36374 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

Outside of one half of football , theyve done nothing impressive. Not even trolling, if they played tomorrow LSU would still be favored and definitely on a neutral field. That farce of a super bowl is all they'll have this year.



This is what insecure coping looks like people.

LSU fans ladies and gentlemen.


Nothing like a win over a D2 team to bring back that LSU delusion
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
15943 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:34 pm to
2 losses in the SEC gets you in
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
17346 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

What has LSU done that is impressive?



Favored by 10 vs Clemson and A&M and won by 41 and 29 respectively. Beat Clemson quite a bit worse than Miami.

Leavitt played like a squirrel on crack in the first half at Ole Miss. That's the knock on LSU so far this year.
Posted by PeleofAnalytics
Member since Jun 2021
5709 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

. tOSU (78%) - Surprisingly low.


I can see that the way their schedule lines up now. They also didn't get the help avoiding the Big10 Championship game when they lost to Texas.

The luxury of NOT playing in a conference championship game makes some of the odds counterintuitive.
This post was edited on 10/4/26 at 2:38 pm
Posted by MykTide
Member since Jul 2012
27062 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

11. LSU (38%)


They must not have heard that lsu leads the sec in offense and defense currently.
Posted by Kashmir
Member since Dec 2014
10653 posts
Posted on 10/4/26 at 3:26 pm to
and “national brand”
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