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Updated Odds to be the Overall #1 Pick in the 2026 NFL Draft (FanDuel)
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:30 pm
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:30 pm
Current No. 1 overall pick odds at FanDuel (as of Monday, Oct. 6):
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza +340 (was +300)
South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers +470 (+350)
Oregon QB Dante Moore +470 (+2500)
Alabama QB Ty Simpson +650 (+2500)
LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier +1000 (+460)
Miami DE Rueben Bain Jr. +1500 (+1500)
Oklahoma QB John Mateer +1500 (+1500)
Texas QB Arch Manning +2700 (+2500)
USC QB Jayden Maiava +3000 (+2700)
Penn State QB Drew Allar +4000 (+2200)
Miami QB Carson Beck +4000 (+2700)
Arizona State QB Sam Leavitt +4000 (+2700)
Clemson DT Peter Woods +4000 (+4000)
Clemson DE T.J. Parker +4000 (+4000)
How is Arch still on this list?
ETA: Fixed title.
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza +340 (was +300)
South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers +470 (+350)
Oregon QB Dante Moore +470 (+2500)
Alabama QB Ty Simpson +650 (+2500)
LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier +1000 (+460)
Miami DE Rueben Bain Jr. +1500 (+1500)
Oklahoma QB John Mateer +1500 (+1500)
Texas QB Arch Manning +2700 (+2500)
USC QB Jayden Maiava +3000 (+2700)
Penn State QB Drew Allar +4000 (+2200)
Miami QB Carson Beck +4000 (+2700)
Arizona State QB Sam Leavitt +4000 (+2700)
Clemson DT Peter Woods +4000 (+4000)
Clemson DE T.J. Parker +4000 (+4000)
How is Arch still on this list?
ETA: Fixed title.
This post was edited on 10/7/25 at 12:31 pm
13
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:31 pm to TideSaint
Alter
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:32 pm to TideSaint
How is Drew Allar or Arch still on that list? Oof
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:34 pm to Nasty_Canasta
Beat me to it with Drew Allar. WTH ...
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:36 pm to Nasty_Canasta
quote:
How is Drew Allar or Arch still on that list
It definitely is an odd list…
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:37 pm to TideSaint
Simpson has looked great!
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:49 pm to TideSaint
I suspect it will not be a QB.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:53 pm to TideSaint
quote:
Clemson DT Peter Woods +4000 (+4000)
Clemson DE T.J. Parker +4000 (+4000)
Imagine being two probable first round picks on the same defensive front and yet seeing your team drop from #4 to unranked and needing a hail mary-level conference title just to get into the playoffs.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 12:58 pm to TideSaint
Not a very inspiring list. I'll take Bain, but I suppose some crappy team like the Jets will talk themselves into taking a QB.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 1:01 pm to TideSaint
Arch only goes #1 if the cowboys have the pick.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 1:04 pm to Nasty_Canasta
quote:
How is Drew Allar or Arch still on that list? Oof
Allar has the 10th highest odds. The 10th QB taken is like a 4th or 5th round draft pick.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 1:14 pm to TideSaint
If you made me take a flyer on someone, Bain Jr looks like a good one for Miami
Big DE who can play in a 4-3 or 3-4 and has put up great numbers his entire college career
Big DE who can play in a 4-3 or 3-4 and has put up great numbers his entire college career
Posted on 10/7/25 at 1:15 pm to TideSaint
quote:
LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier +1000 (+460)
Dead money.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 1:32 pm to TideSaint
For 2027 I can see some people thinking Arch will figure it out but for this year the #1 pick, thats silly.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 5:41 pm to TideSaint
Depends on the team with the 1st pick needs but I will guess but it will prob be Beck,Nuss, or Moore
Posted on 10/7/25 at 6:04 pm to Quicksilver
quote:
suspect it will not be a QB.
I suspect you’d be wrong.
Go back and look at every draft over the last 20 years. The overwhelming majority 1st overall picks is a QB.
Posted on 10/7/25 at 6:24 pm to TideSaint
Damn this really might be one of the worst drafts in a long time
Posted on 10/7/25 at 6:39 pm to Tammany Tom
quote:
I suspect you’d be wrong.
Go back and look at every draft over the last 20 years. The overwhelming majority 1st overall picks is a QB.
It's interesting for a football fan to think about who/what position should be the #1 pick in today's NFL. Most #1 QBs don't work out, some first rounders do, but most great ones are later. Yet the NFL is skewed towards QB play. The whole QB pay structure vs team quality vs QB protection/passing game subsidy from the NFL is interesting. The Eagles are a great team, but their window is fading fast because they committed so much to someone who's "good" but nowhere close to great (probably closer to "solid" than "great", in all honesty).
That list seems contrived because of Manning.
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