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Against my better judgement - SOG Prediction Model (#1 Alabama vs #12 Ole Miss)
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:02 pm
This is, honestly, probably not even worth looking at because of the lack of information. Ole Miss has only played 1 P5 game and Alabama has played 2. I had to use UCF, Tulane, UAB, etc in this to beef up the statistical sample, so honestly there isn't enough data to do much with.
With that said, here you go
PREDICTION
OLE MISS - 36.44
ALABAMA - 36.37
Ole Miss YPP - 7.02
Alabama YPP - 5.54
PREDICTION - OLE MISS BEST CASE
OLE MISS - 43
ALABAMA - 31
Ole Miss YPP - 6.92 (more plays, more runs, more yds, less YPP)
Alabama YPP - 5.27
PREDICTION - ALABAMA BEST CASE
ALABAMA - 44
OLE MISS - 30
Alabama YPP - 5.71
Ole Miss YPP - 6.88
With that said, here you go
PREDICTION
OLE MISS - 36.44
ALABAMA - 36.37
Ole Miss YPP - 7.02
Alabama YPP - 5.54
PREDICTION - OLE MISS BEST CASE
OLE MISS - 43
ALABAMA - 31
Ole Miss YPP - 6.92 (more plays, more runs, more yds, less YPP)
Alabama YPP - 5.27
PREDICTION - ALABAMA BEST CASE
ALABAMA - 44
OLE MISS - 30
Alabama YPP - 5.71
Ole Miss YPP - 6.88
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 1:02 pm
21
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:10 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Oh boy this sure is gonna be scary
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:11 pm to SummerOfGeorge
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:11 pm to Master of Sinanju
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:14 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Ssssoooooooo.....We can start drinking now?
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:15 pm to SummerOfGeorge
YOU FOOLS DON'T TAKE IT SERIOUSLY IT DOESN'T WORK WITHOUT DATA
ALSO YES START DRINKING
ALSO YES START DRINKING
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:15 pm to Master of Sinanju
So who's going to start the "SoG predicts Rebel upset" thread on the rant?
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 1:21 pm
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:17 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I for one am looking forward to us playing a team that will give us a good fight. I'm excited as hell.
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:20 pm to BTide
quote:
Oh boy this sure is gonna be scary
Probably. Though I did like one of my Auburn friend's takes. "The media has been hyping this thing so much, I feel like Bama's gonna beat the brakes off them."
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 1:21 pm
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:29 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
PREDICTION
OLE MISS - 36.44
ALABAMA - 36.37
Posted on 10/1/21 at 1:35 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Yeah, I ran my spreadsheet. Closed it and deleted it.
Posted on 10/1/21 at 2:30 pm to Funky Tide 8
quote:
I for one am looking forward to us playing a team that will give us a good fight.
It’s only been 13 days since we last played one
Posted on 10/1/21 at 2:32 pm to BTide
butt-holes snapping pencils scary
Posted on 10/1/21 at 2:34 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Does this factor in Ole Miss wearing the powder blue helmets because thats at least a 7-point swing in favor of the rebels
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:00 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Thanks so much George, really appreciate this lol. Damnit!
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:05 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I don't know if I can handle a 0.07 pt loss. frick
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:24 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
OLE MISS - 36.44
ALABAMA - 36.37
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:29 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Well someone stole my office gif...
This is not very encouraging ..
S&P+ has Alabama 37-24... Sounds better
This is not very encouraging ..
S&P+ has Alabama 37-24... Sounds better
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 3:30 pm
Posted on 10/1/21 at 4:06 pm to CrimsonBoz
Seriously, this is not something to truly look at and use. It's based on 1-2 real games for every team. There's no way to establish a baseline that quickly.
Posted on 10/1/21 at 5:12 pm to SummerOfGeorge
hahaha
I predicted a 44-31 Bama win. I guess I'm one without Data too!!
I predicted a 44-31 Bama win. I guess I'm one without Data too!!
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