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Why is Arkansas a bigger underdog than Ole Miss?
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:45 am
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:45 am
Not trolling.
I think Ole Miss has a decent chance of beating Alabama -- 25% or so. But there's also a good chance that Ole Miss will get blown out. Kiffin will call the game aggressively to maximize Ole Miss's chance to win. This will increase the risk of a blowout if the gambles do not pay off.
I think the 14.5 spread is about right.
I don't think Georgia has the horses to blow out Arkansas. And I don't see Pittman taking a lot of risks. That just doesn't seem to be his style. I don't see why--on the basis of games played--Georgia should be more than a 7-10 point favorite.
I think Ole Miss has a decent chance of beating Alabama -- 25% or so. But there's also a good chance that Ole Miss will get blown out. Kiffin will call the game aggressively to maximize Ole Miss's chance to win. This will increase the risk of a blowout if the gambles do not pay off.
I think the 14.5 spread is about right.
I don't think Georgia has the horses to blow out Arkansas. And I don't see Pittman taking a lot of risks. That just doesn't seem to be his style. I don't see why--on the basis of games played--Georgia should be more than a 7-10 point favorite.
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Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:47 am to Chawboy
Ole Miss is better
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:47 am to mizzou waltz
Arkansas is a potential playoff team. They are the most complete team in the sec west.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:48 am to Chawboy
Georgia is considered better than Alabama.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:49 am to Chawboy
Florida game made people unsure of Bama.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:49 am to mizzou waltz
Many Dawg fans were surprised by the huge 18 point spread on their game with Arkansas. Does Vegas see something that we don't see? When the #2 team is playing the #8 team then any win at all is good.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:50 am to Chawboy
I think Arkansas has a good chance of winning... I don't think Alabama covers the spread.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:52 am to Chawboy
Because UGA is currently a better team than Bama.
Favored to win the NC
Favored to win the NC
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:53 am to hiremikeleach
quote:
Arkansas is a potential playoff team.
Come on now.
quote:
They are the most complete team in the sec west.
No but it is nice having a decently competent offense and defense or so they’ve shown so far. We haven’t had both in a long time, hell we haven’t had either in a long time much less both. Plus we do seem to have a good kicker, he looks like a baby but he’s been awesome so far.
Sorry not sorry for being happy about it
To op
nice to have a non trolly question. Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:53 am to dbeck
quote:
Florida game made people unsure of Bama.
Which is flawed. It was top 10 road win.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:54 am to Chawboy
I was shocked to see Georgia at -18.5.
I expected at most -10. A lot of the time I can guess the odds on a game fairly close, before they are published, but this one does stump me.
I expected at most -10. A lot of the time I can guess the odds on a game fairly close, before they are published, but this one does stump me.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 11:54 am to Chawboy
I think some people understandably see a potential flashing red light for Arkansas on offense vs Georgia's defense. Georgia will make Jefferson beat them throwing the ball consistently, and they probably won't have to commit extra guys to the front to do it because they are so good up there. If Jefferson can do it then sky is the limit, but I think there is probably some doubt that he can. Arkansas' defense is very solid, but Georgia's OL will be the best unit they've seen this year by far and the most balanced offense they've seen. Combine those two things and I'd guess some people see a close game early that stretches as Georgia wears on Arkansas. Something like 27-10.
Alabama, on the other hand, was already exposed by Ole Miss' offense last year and double down on those doubts with their effort at Florida. Add to that the fact that Ole Miss' D looks to be a bit more competent and Alabama's offense, while still very good, isn't the death star it was last year.......and there you go.
Alabama, on the other hand, was already exposed by Ole Miss' offense last year and double down on those doubts with their effort at Florida. Add to that the fact that Ole Miss' D looks to be a bit more competent and Alabama's offense, while still very good, isn't the death star it was last year.......and there you go.
This post was edited on 9/28/21 at 11:56 am
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:05 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I think the spread is about right. Game will be much like last year....close for the first half then they will pull away in the second half.
I think UGA wins by 17. If I were betting I’d bet on us but only bc 18 is a lot of points in a game that will probably be defensive. But UGA could certainly cover it
I think UGA wins by 17. If I were betting I’d bet on us but only bc 18 is a lot of points in a game that will probably be defensive. But UGA could certainly cover it
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:06 pm to Chawboy
Because Arkansas is not very good
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:27 pm to Chawboy
quote:
I think Ole Miss has a decent chance of beating Alabama -- 25% or so. But there's also a good chance that Ole Miss will get blown out.
Way to step out on a limb there
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:35 pm to bunkerhill
I said 14.5. Home field and great team.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:40 pm to Chawboy
On a neutral field Georgia would be 1-2 point favorite over Bama and Ole Miss would be a 2-3 point favorite over Arkansas. Combine that and you get a 3-5 point difference. Got anymore brain busters?
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:44 pm to Chawboy
Because the odds makers saw Arkansas's backup qb, and their starter was limping on the sideline the second half.
This post was edited on 9/28/21 at 12:47 pm
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:47 pm to beaverfever
I'm pretty sure that Bama would be a comfortable favorite over Georgia.
Posted on 9/28/21 at 12:52 pm to rb
They only let him throw three times and one of his two incompletions would have been a big gain/touchdown if the receiver hadn’t dropped the ball. If I were KJ Jefferson I wouldn’t take my time getting back onto the field. The backup can play.
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