Favorite team:Arkansas 
Location:Arkansas
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Number of Posts:36326
Registered on:1/7/2008
Online Status:Not Online

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Think im gonna be spreading the love between coinbase, fidelity, venmo, cash app, and PayPal. These platforms seem secure based on longevity
Thoughts on Bitkey?
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Coldcard was the gold standard in security.
They said they were. It’s important to distinguish between the two. Their code was trash and they never audited their core product.

This wasn’t some super complicated hack. It was taking something in plain sight for any bad actor that was looking.

Don’t get me wrong. This is catastrophic. But it’s important that the post mortem evaluation is honest so that next steps are based on sound reasoning.
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10 of the 12 scientists in his diary that he talked to said a lab leak was possible. He knew this from the very start. Yet he kept pushing the idea it came from a wet market.
It was clearly a lie from day one. The people that ran the lab were immediately on tv telling us that they knew the exact market it started in and more or less who patient zero was. I didn't know what had happened but I knew it wasn't the bullshite they were saying.
I check their TD post history.
If you see crypto get wiped out Oct-Feb, metals get wiped out Feb-May and signs of equities cooling starting in early June, and you STILL don’t tap the brakes, you don’t know what game you’re playing and have no business running a fund.
Yeah AI is very real. How it plays with the market and the broader economy is what’s tbd.
I think even if the monetization of AI disappoints a full blown crash isn’t the base case. I just think the hyperscalers that have been carrying the market for years would absorb that disappointment and they’d be dead money for 5-10 years.

Meanwhile, the rest of the S&P would probably kill it because they would have had their productivity gains subsidized by those hyperscalers.
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I do think things might be overheated but I don't think this crash will be at the same magintude of dot com.

This is different because the dot com situation was just valuation nonsense. You could feel it then. This is systemic leverage. It NEEDS to work. I don't necessarily think there will be a problem but if there is one, the ingredients are there for it to be quite a bit worse than the dot com bubble popping.
If my life had depended on me correctly guessing one Hollywood creep prior to reading this thread, Leto would have been way up the list. Something about that guy screams, “don’t leave me alone with your loved ones”.
Yeah fair. I just think if everything continues on the current path, the first job that the AI lab companies will take will be their own. It’s a technological singularity. And technology is immensely deflationary. It’s hard to make money by creating tools that make everything obsolete, including yourself.

I don’t know though. Just thinking out loud more than anything.
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Anthropic and OpenAI
This will sound hyperbolic but I’m a little concerned that these companies could be worthless.
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You guys need to stop comparing these two. Look at earnings.
It’s definitely nothing like the dot com bubble but free cash flow is down and debt is up. If everyone is still saying “we’ll explain how profitable we’re going to be later” that’s not going to be received as well.

If there is a “crash” it will be because we’ve spent all this money on a technology that is insanely deflationary.
My approach is to buy genuine legends between the ages of 37 and 52. There’s a lull in almost every player’s cards during that period. Some come out of that period with stronger demand than ever. Some never really make it to the other side.

For example, I had been collecting Shaq but I’m starting to like Randy Moss more right now. Football is a crapshoot though, particularly if it’s not a qb. You don’t have that Asian market to juice prices like you do with basketball. But I don’t buy stuff to resell. I just try to buy stuff that I like and I think others will eventually like too.
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If you stick to the GOATS, it something you can make money on (Jordan, Messi, Ronaldo, Lebron, Kobe, Ohtani, Judge, Brady, Rice etc). second tier players
I would make one small correction. Jordan is in his own tier in terms of hobby demand and potential investment.
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He told me $1 million.
There is a guy in Baton Rouge who runs a YouTube channel that has a ~$5M collection. The hobby is pretty wild these days in certain pockets.
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Dont want a dude doing my happy ending
It gets even more uncomfortable when you realize they’re a lot better at it than women.
I wonder if they were assessing whether he would need to take a year off. Still don’t know why you wouldn’t tell people he had been in an accident.
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Don’t?
But seriously, this.
These days I give them credit just for believing in something.
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National Treasure
this and The Day After Tomorrow are the best shitty movies ever made.
The movie is so abstract and ancient that you kind of accept that things are different anyways. If a tranny is playing the star pitcher in a sport movie, yeah I’m not gonna dig that.