Favorite team:Arkansas 
Location:Arkansas
Biography:
Interests:
Occupation:
Number of Posts:36186
Registered on:1/7/2008
Online Status:Not Online

Recent Posts

Message
I’m probably in the minority but SEC football with Brando on the call back in the day was classic shite.
Weather.gov. There are TWO currently in the US. One just west of Montgomery AL headed southeast and one in E Louisiana near the MS border near Natchez.
I remember learning about wind farms replacing fossil fuels and nuclear plants when I was in a middle school and thinking “there’s no way anyone actually believes this shite”.
quote:

“TV may be not the money machine it once was,” he said. “On the other hand, what about the humanity for Stephen and the humanity of people who love him and the humanity for people who still enjoyed that 11:30 respite?
What the frick is he babbling about?
quote:

Although there is a chance for severe weather here tomorrow, Alabama just went through its first full month of April in Lord knows how long (20 years or more?) without a single tornado warned area.
We’re living in a society with rules. If a period of time passes where tornadoes are abnormally rare, you simply don’t bring it up.
Most narcissistic scam of the 21st century by far.
quote:

So, what do you do instead?
Put yourself and your capital to work immediately. AI is repricing the value of human labor and increasing the value of assets. If it makes sense to go back to school after a while do it. But spending 4 years of your life and your entire $150k bankroll on college right now is not wise unless you have a very specific, lucrative career path lined up that requires college.
I’ll go a step further. In 2026 it’s dumb even if you have $150k in cash.
Why do I know more about EV demand than Honda? :lol:
You want REAL advise? You’ll never have any edge against the street in valuing companies. Thats not to discourage you from educating yourself but I wouldn’t try to fashion yourself into a self directed, value investor. That’s a really crowded game and there is no edge to be found.

Now, if you’re just talking about getting rid of Edward jones and picking your own ETFs and CDs, that could be great.

Just be careful when you read about people picking stocks. I can’t pick stocks (particularly based on fundamentals) and consistently beat the S&P. And I’ve been hanging out in this sandbox since I was ~12, got a finance-investments degree, and still love this shite 20 years later.

The only edge to be found in terms of outperforming the indexes is on a macro level IMO. Alternative assets are institutionally under-examined and they can crush the indexes in certain regimes. Risk management is very important if you go that route though.
quote:

2 weak arse companies won’t make a strong one
Ebay’s CAGR with dividend reinvestment is comfortably beating VOO’s over both 5 and 10 year time frames.

And I don’t own any shares of eBay but someone has to bring something of substance to this board occasionally.
Bit early for that, no? I have a theory that we actually peaked in late 2024 and we just held up a long time before the leverage got wiped out. Sentiment was trash in the second half of 2025. Anyways, by that clock the next cycle would be right on time.

If you look at BTC/Gold, it paints the picture perfectly. The monetary tightening post covid stunted the business cycle completely. The fed balance sheet expansion that started in January along with the ridiculous fiscal policy and the AI capex cycle might be pushing us into a real bull market across the board. The last four years have sucked for a lot of sectors.
It was something you’d expect to see from a 15 year old punk kid who has a chip on his shoulder and needs his arse kicked. But it was the CEO of a company attempting to make a $50B acquisition. And it was completely on brand, not just a bad day.
They are running a variant of the Michael Saylor balance sheet playbook. Essentially, the equity is the product. There is a demand for it so they monetize (dilute) it and it creates a bigger capital structure. The difference is they don’t seem to have any actual end game. I guess an acquisition is what Cohen is thinking.
quote:

I could see eBay buying GameStop’s name after bankruptcy
GME has ~$10B in cash and modestly positive free cash flow. Why do you think they’re at risk of bankruptcy.

FWIW, I absolutely own no GME shares and I wouldn’t personally invest in a company ran by Ryan Cohen. I don’t think he’s a moron but I’m not a fan.

ETA: He’s currently on CNBC. He really is an obnoxious mf.
eBay is the epicenter of an exploding sports and trading card market. It’s not much of a riddle why they’d be a desirable acquisition. No idea if it’s advisable for GME but this isn’t the eBay of 10 years ago.
quote:

What advice do you have on taking profits vs holding too long?
Don't buy things that make taking profits an imperative. And good enough cash that you’re never desperate. If you own things where taking profits is a major consideration for long term capital preservation, know that you’re speculating more than investing.
I hate wfh. It’s kills my ambition and makes working just feel like work. That’s specific to my personality type though. I know people that are great at it.
It’s intentional. That’s the new “Wood Chipper Wheat”. High fiber.