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re: FPI Expected Final SEC Standings

Posted on 9/13/21 at 9:56 am to
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
13960 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 9:56 am to
Aggy too high. I'd say #2 with King, but we're 5-6 in the West with Calzada.
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44369 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Hell never get another coaching gig if he goes 3-9 with that talent. He should be able to sleep walk his way to 6 wins.


Doubt he cares. Burrow and Brady got him a ring and enough money to live like a king in retirement. He can just spend the rest of his days perfecting his gumbo recipe and trying to start fights with people.
Posted by Dallasgrowl
Allen, Texas
Member since Oct 2003
7002 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 9:58 am to
From what I have seen so far, I can't aurgue about it.
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:07 am to
quote:

The Chiziking would then be complete


Same timeframe and everything
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Same timeframe and everything


And similar first year after title, just without the benefit of a few gimmee games.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
94493 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:20 am to
quote:

7. LSU (3-9, 0-8)


Meh. Despite their best efforts, They'll fall backwards into a couple of unexpected SEC wins. The talent is there...good chance they accidentally out talent some of the lower tier SEC teams.

I'm not counting with certainty wins against Arkansas, Kentucky, State etc. I don't see any glaringly obvious wins. But it would surprise me if they go winless against the whole lot. We were all certain we'd lose to Florida and Ole Miss last year too.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:20 am to
quote:

vs Arkansas (47.3% chance to win)
@ Mississippi State (41.4%)
@ Kentucky (37.2%)
vs Auburn (33.8%)
vs Texas A&M (32.7%)
vs Florida (30.2%)
@ Ole Miss (25.5%)
@ Alabama (5.7%)



Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:21 am to
quote:

I'm not counting with certainty wins against Arkansas, Kentucky, State etc. I don't see any glaringly obvious wins. But it would surprise me if they go winless against the whole lot.


Yea, I can't imagine they go winless unless the team just quits. They'll win at least 2-3 SEC games, probably 4 if they improve as the season goes on.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:23 am to
quote:

And similar first year after title, just without the benefit of a few gimmee games.


Except Chiz was smart enough to not blow his money on young blondes with bolt-ons.
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13550 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:23 am to
quote:

7. LSU (3-9, 0-8)



Ed O coming full circle.
Posted by mwlewis
JeffCo
Member since Nov 2010
21218 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:25 am to
quote:

7. LSU (3-9, 0-8)

Theres no way this happens but if it does TD will crash
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:28 am to
quote:

This place would be epic.


Ehh...most of us have proactively moved on to the acceptance stage of grief.

Now, if that happens AND Coach O would somehow be retained...

Posted by Hogfan13
Member since Jul 2019
2948 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:30 am to
quote:

FPI doesn't factor WAOM into the equation


Or the fact that you haven't played anyone with a pulse yet.
Posted by bigDgator
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2008
41304 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:36 am to
quote:

vs Florida (30.2%)


I'd like to know exactly how much equipment tossing was factored into this result please.
Posted by The_Ultimate_Warrior
Member since Mar 2019
5733 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:48 am to
Posted by cajunbama
Metairie
Member since Jan 2007
30949 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:52 am to
quote:

7. LSU (3-9, 0-8)


Seems high.

List is shite.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:54 am to
It is not. It is game by game projections, not aggregate projections.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:57 am to
FPI - Chance to win 6 games
Alabama - 100.0%
Georgia - 100.0%
Florida - 99.9%
Texas A&M - 99.8%
Kentucky - 98.9%
Ole Miss - 98.3%
Auburn - 95.0%
Arkansas - 93.7%
Miss St - 83.0%
Missouri - 68.4%
Tennessee - 54.2%
South Carolina - 48.2%
LSU - 43.6%
Vanderbilt - 0.1%
Posted by GamerAg
Member since Dec 2010
1666 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:58 am to
Yeah, I don't see us going 10-2
Posted by AU6X
Member since Sep 2019
89 posts
Posted on 9/13/21 at 10:59 am to
This is damn near a 180 degree reversal from two weeks ago. Small sample size is small. I think it would be funny as hell -- and I suffered through that 2012 season -- but we may need to give it a couple more weeks.
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