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re: A clearer picture regarding LSU and the rumors around private equity is emerging

Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:30 pm to
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
25278 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:30 pm to
Yeah, at the current TV revenue levels laid out in the original post 7% would return a little over $5 million per year. A little over 5% annually: I can’t think that is too attractive for a $100 million investor. But double the TV revenue, double the return, and $10 million per year would be much more attractive.
This post was edited on 8/9/26 at 7:33 pm
Posted by Demosthenian
Zetto, Granite Bowl, & points btwn
Member since Sep 2021
891 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

Can 40 really successful people all simultaneously make a bad deal while it was all so simple SEC rant posters had it all figured out? I doubt it
They likely don’t have a politically palatable choice. That’s how you get smart people making terrible deals. Because Gov. Landry having to backtrack and dip into government budget reserves or increase taxpayer spending to pay buyouts and player salaries is about the only “solution” that would go over worse, and that’s the outcome otherwise.
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9416 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:45 pm to
Posted by Tigertown in ATL
Georgia foothills
Member since Sep 2009
30425 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

LSU Sold off 10% of their program to. PrivEq! Dumbasses. “ -Ole Miss & Alabama posters.


Well if it is somehow true LSU is loaddd red with dumbasses.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
25278 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:50 pm to
LSU went on binge and fired:

Scott Woodward: $6 million buyout
Matt McMahon: $8 million dollar buyout
Brian Kelly: $54 million buyout.

And kept it going hiring:

Lane Kiffin: $91 million ($72 million guaranteed; $13 million this season)
Will Wade: $30 million ($22.5 million guaranteed; $4 million this season)

NIL for football and basketball this season: $42-50 million

Profit sharing: $20 million

6+8+54+13+4+42+20 = 147

This year’s LSU buyouts, salaries, NIL, profit sharing: $147 million.

That doesn’t even include the cost of assistant coaches.

And that’s just for football and basketball. And probably $10 million too conservative. There is still baseball, women’s basketball, gymnastics, softball… on and on. More expenses.



This post was edited on 8/9/26 at 8:09 pm
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
15929 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 7:55 pm to
Why did they fire McMahon? Couldn’t they have hired Wade after this year? Was he leaving NC State? That would have saved them $25M.
This post was edited on 8/9/26 at 7:56 pm
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
27921 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

OleVaught


Is seriously interested in LSU’s football future.

I totally understand it considering OM has already made a sizable contribution by giving us the best coach they’ve had in 60 plus years.
This post was edited on 8/9/26 at 8:05 pm
Posted by LSU4Life2021
Member since Dec 2021
1076 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

They need the $100 mil up front. If it was just about investing and getting returns, they would invest the media payout themselves into a basic SP500 fund (which has out returned the average PE Fund over the last year, 5 years, 10 years, and 20 years). They just need the up front cash



Yeah, that’s what you’d do and lose your a$$ more times than win. Look up present value of a future cash flow
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
25278 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Look up present value of a future cash flow


That is essentially what the last four pages have been arguing over.
Posted by Demosthenian
Zetto, Granite Bowl, & points btwn
Member since Sep 2021
891 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 8:12 pm to
We haven’t even gotten into the long-term implications of transferring media rights into a private entity that can be sold off.

This structure is essentially what FIFA proposed doing (right after the WC ended last month) that everyone immediately denounced.

Even if it’s just this 9% that’s sold, you’ve introduced a lot of unknown variables:
• there’s now an outside influence at the negotiating table alongside other schools’ at the next round of media negotiations, that at the least can create friction when attempting to get LSU to agree to proposals
• A critical point of a sale of the entity’s equity, in addition to the 7% profits interest distribution—to be clear they can be completely de-linked—is a repurchase obligation for this new entity to buy out Williams after [x] years (or, less likely, a re-sale privilege). This is a mechanism to ensure Williams has another pathway to earn his cost of capital, and can create major, major headaches between parties down the road. Like, usually results in litigation to force agreeable settlement terms. So LSU is signing itself up for years of friction with this new structure
• once you’ve divested the asset from the university, the strategy how to preserve and grow that asset can get completely divorced form the productive larger mission. New licensing agreements for LSU’s media properties, increased efforts to advertise and market LSU to create supplemental revenue streams, and sales of media, among other ideas, all create conflicts for potentially raising ownership and privacy concerns from those shown in the content, and media ownership disputes
• the sheer existence of an entity that could now be a place for LSU to sell future valuable assets to in related party deals (it’s much easier once those channels are established), are all really significant concerns that this structure is opening LSU to be exposed to / suffer down the road.

This is a complete Pandora’s box of issues how you ruin a once-proud, once-valuable, civic asset.
Posted by TheTideMustRoll
Birmingham, AL
Member since Dec 2009
10858 posts
Posted on 8/9/26 at 8:19 pm to
I do believe that buried in here somewhere is a way to take AD funds and use them to generate more funds than the institution would be able to create on its own.

I have every faith that LSU and the state of Louisiana will absolutely frick this up, though. It's what they do when money is involved.
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