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Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9094 posts

12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?

I personally think Georgia's offense is going to dink and dunk methodically down the field on Alabama all game long and win by anywhere from 10 and 17 points but if Alabama does pull the upset I think it comes down to Oregon and Alabama for the last playoff spot


Assuming FSU, Texas, and Michigan take care of business, who gets the 4th spot?


12-1 Oregon:

Wins over #3 Washington, #14 Arizona, and #21 Oregon State. Lone loss @ Washington

or

12-1 Alabama:

Wins over #1 Georgia, #11 Ole Miss, and #13 LSU. Lone loss to #7 Texas

One would assume the Big Ten will lobby for new incoming member Oregon getting in and voters everywhere outside of the SEC footprint will as well.

On the other hand, some will be swayed by Alabama having far and away the best win and slightly better wins against ranked teams than Oregon has.

My gut says Oregon gets in but it'll be close


jangalang
Gonzaga Fan
Member since Dec 2014
35546 posts
 Online 

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
quote:

My gut says Oregon gets in but it'll be close

Same, although Bama would be more deserving.


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109
Ancient Astronaut
USA Fan
Member since May 2015
32408 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Bama cause it’s bama


AirbusDawg
Georgia Fan
Milton, Ga
Member since Jan 2018
2274 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
SEC champion is in, 100%. I think FSU would get left out in this scenerio. What has FSU done, beat one ranked team?


supersaints9
LSU Fan
Colleyville,Tx
Member since Dec 2009
14021 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Texas does . Hook’Em


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1015
bama1959
Alabama Fan
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
4555 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Since both are 12-1 and CC all you have left are strength of schedule and the eye test. For SOS, I've seen different #s from different sources but all of them have Bama's SOS much stronger than Oregon's. For the eye test, early this year I would say Oregon had the edge but in the last few games I think it's evened up. Overall, SOS is what stands out the most and that puts Bama in.


emshaughnessy
Member since Nov 2023
1 post

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Oregon didn’t play/beat Arizona looking at their schedule. Only win in Top 25 currently is Oregon St which is the only team in top 25 with 4 losses. If Alabama were to beat Georgia, they would have best win and best loss and best SoS by a pretty good margin. Alabama should get in over Oregon but Oregon is the media darling this year so who knows.


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70
beaverfever
Arkansas Fan
Little Rock
Member since Jan 2008
32421 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
The winner of the SECCG is getting in.


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53
makersmark1
Auburn Fan
earth
Member since Oct 2011
15408 posts
 Online 

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
A win over #1 is the last data point.

I think I’d pick them IF they beat UGA.

Strangely, I don’t think Texas would beat any of the teams in contention.

Bama is certainly more sure about what they can and cannot do now than in September.

To get Bama and UGA both in would probably take a monumental upset by Michigan or 2 upsets in B12 and ACC championship games.

It could happen. Strange things happen late in seasons. It probably won’t happen, but it’s possible.

Most likely playoff teams
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Florida State
4. Texas

Just out
5. Winner of Washington vs Oregon

IF upsets abound:
1. Alabama
2. UGA
3. Michigan
4. Winner Washington vs Oregon


StringedInstruments
Auburn Fan
Member since Oct 2013
18032 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
My gut says Alabama jumps Oregon, Bo Nix wins the Heisman, and the media uses it all as a narrative to justify the 12 team playoff.

I think most college football fans are disgruntled about the changing landscape. So whichever scenario gives the TV networks the best chance at making more money will be the one.

Edit - LSU fans might think I’m trying to sleight Daniels with Nix winning the Heisman. That’s not what I mean. I mean that they will give Nix the Heisman solely to set up the narrative that Oregon was screwed in the playoff and that the 12 team playoff will be better for the sport.
This post was edited on 11/28 at 7:16 am


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Bird_Hunter
Oregon Fan
Chicago
Member since Nov 2023
643 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Ducks win and avenge the loss. 0 chance they get left out but keep dreaming so you can sleep better at night.
This post was edited on 11/28 at 7:18 am


TideFaninFl
Alabama Fan
On the space coast
Member since Oct 2017
6608 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Alabama since they would have beaten Georgia

We shall see, as I think Bama wins by 14 this weekend.

Those that point out the Auburn game do not know the recent history of that game.


Fearless and True
Auburn Fan
N Carolina
Member since Aug 2022
765 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
quote:

12-1 Alabama:

Also on their resume is a miracle pulled-out-of-their-butt last second win over a 6-5 team with their worst roster since the 1970s.


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28
Phat Phil
Tennessee Fan
Krispy Kreme
Member since May 2010
7365 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
SEC champ that just beat #1 team won't be left out. My only concern is 12-1 UGA getting in just like 2021.


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21
CrimsonBoz
Alabama Fan
Member since Sep 2014
16784 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
No need to get upset it’s just opinions but what isn’t an opinion is this:

Bama would have the best win, the better SOS, more ranked wins, and at that point the best loss Texas likely at 3.


MetryMauler
Member since Sep 2016
6815 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
quote:

Just out 5. Winner of Washington vs Oregon


Washington is in with a win


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3rddownonthe8
Georgia Fan
Atlanta, GA
Member since Aug 2011
5210 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
Oregon avenging a 3 point road loss ; you just can’t get past that.. Oregon won the first first meeting everywhere but the scoreboard.. I think the committee considers them undefeated


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tigersbh
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
9916 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
As for the eye test, Bama needed a miracle to beat Auburn, they beat a bad Arkansas team by 3, they beat A&M by 6. They have not impressed.


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16
elposter
Alabama Fan
Member since Dec 2010
24420 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
quote:

12-1 Oregon: Wins over #3 Washington, #14 Arizona, and #21 Oregon State. Lone loss @ Washington or 12-1 Alabama: Wins over #1 Georgia, #11 Ole Miss, and #13 LSU. Lone loss to #7 Texas


You should be using the CFP rankings. Doesn’t look like you are.


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20
MetryMauler
Member since Sep 2016
6815 posts

re: 12-1 Oregon vs 12-1 Alabama...who gets the final playoff spot?
quote:

Bama would have the best win, the better SOS, more ranked wins, and at that point the best loss Texas likely at 3.


Home loss to Texas is worse than a road loss to UW.


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