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Indiana will revert to the mean

Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:51 pm
Posted by Russianblue
Member since Nov 2007
1817 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:51 pm
Cignetti is an excellent coach and Mendoza is one of the more impressive kids I have seen but this team is a product of timing w the advent of big money NIL.

They will be good but are currently benefiting from a mismatch in the timing of Big NIL and Cignetti’s arrival.

Eventually, they will need to be either magnitudes better at spotting and winning top level, older portal Talent OR play the same recruiting game as the big boys…ie $50mm rosters.

If CC is as good as everyone thinks he may yet pull it off but his approach is common knowledge now and he’s still benefiting from his underrated JMU defections among others.

I’m going out on a limb and predicting they will be a 3-4 loss team next year.
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
20660 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

I’m going out on a limb and predicting they will be a 3-4 loss team next year.


A team losing their QB, core group of guys from two stellar seasons, and the age of transfers might drop off the season after an NC appearance?

You don’t say…
Posted by theRealJesseD
Member since Nov 2021
4649 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:53 pm to
Yup like LSU has
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
9776 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:55 pm to
Mendoza is a gem that took the team to the next level but they went 11-1 without him in 2024. Cignetti will always have them in contention for the Big Ten.
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
76373 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:56 pm to
People said the same thing last year.

I think with the portal era you’re going to see a lot more teams flare up like this
This post was edited on 1/19/26 at 7:57 pm
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24691 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:56 pm to
Everyone expected them to take a step back this year too
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
26426 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

Like LSU…


What part of this post made you think of LSU?

One team is playing for a title. The other went 7-6. Damn at the stretch to associate LSU.

Well done.

I guess
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
3972 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:57 pm to
Lol.

Cignetti grabbed Josh Hoover from TCU.

They'll be fine.

It's all scheme
Posted by cajunbama
Metairie
Member since Jan 2007
35057 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:58 pm to
Doubt they fall like UGA who has t won a playoff game in 4 years or shitty LSU who hasn’t won shite in over 6 years
Posted by Frac the world
The Centennial State
Member since Oct 2014
20978 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

Eventually, they will need to be either magnitudes better at spotting and winning top level, older portal Talent OR play the same recruiting game as the big boys…ie $50mm rosters.


You doubt the money that is in the IU alumni base. They are the largest in the country and have Mark Cuban. They will have no problem shelling out money from here on out if they want to.

Thing is, Cig gets who he wants. He doesn’t want these 5 star mercenaries who are only in it for the bag. He wants older dogs willing to be coached
Posted by Eldodroptop
Member since Jul 2021
3426 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 7:59 pm to
To any Indiana supporter, what difference does next year make? Really who gives a shite?

It’s all about tonight.
Posted by rebsfan10
Member since Dec 2013
2317 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:01 pm to
At this point I don't care where Indiana is in recruiting or portal rankings, I'm just going to assume Cignetti is getting everyone he wants for his system and it will work. This is the most impressive job of coaching in college football history.
Posted by theRealJesseD
Member since Nov 2021
4649 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

What part of this post made you think of LSU?


Are you stupid or somethin
Posted by Russianblue
Member since Nov 2007
1817 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

They are the largest in the country and have Mark Cuban.


Todd Graves is worth 4x Mark Cuban. At a certain point it’s not about the most billions. Otherwise, why didn’t UT/TT/Ass2Mouth offer all the top players $50MM each?

There’s not enough 24 yr old gems for CC to find. Everybody is hunting for them now.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
4370 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:08 pm to
I opened tSECrant fully expecting to see LSU fans throwing shade at Indiana.

I would bet a grand right now that no frickin way does Indiana lose 4 games next year. Are you frickin retarded?
Posted by TheePalmetto
Member since Aug 2025
2630 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:12 pm to
One of two things will happen:

1. Other teams will copy this strategy enough that it doesn’t give Indiana an advantage anymore

Or

2. Hard eligibility rules will come about so they can’t have 20ish 6th and 7th year players on their roster.

The first one is already in motion. The second will happen in the next couple of years.
Posted by Russianblue
Member since Nov 2007
1817 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

I opened tSECrant fully expecting to see LSU fans throwing shade at Indiana


oh just fuk off simpleton. You think I am not pulling for Indiana just to promote some narrative of GOAT 2019 LSU? get a grip. Mendoza is the biggest breath of fresh air I have seen in years. These guys are awesome. It will not continue though. I’ll ban bet on 3 indiana losses next year.
Posted by Russianblue
Member since Nov 2007
1817 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

I would bet a grand right now


i’ll take that bet RIGHT now. find us an escrow service. I’ll wire money tomorrow, Piggie .
Posted by JasonDBlaha
Woodlands, Texas
Member since Apr 2023
3598 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:23 pm to
They’ll simply look for more 5th and 6th year seniors in the portal who will fill missing gaps.

There’s no such thing as a “rebuild” anymore. But Mendoza is one of a kind and their next QB won’t be as dynamic as him.
This post was edited on 1/19/26 at 8:24 pm
Posted by geauxbrown
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
26426 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:56 pm to
(no message)
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