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What does college football look like in 10 years?
Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:23 pm
Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:23 pm
If you had to guess, what will it look like? With Dabo's recent comments it seems clear what to expect. What comes with an entire college football league though? Will we see a high school draft? Will teams have salary caps that are donation only? With the revenue from NIL there is no way we can make a firm level playing field let alone start bidding wars. Penny for your thoughts.
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Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:50 pm to WarEagleMan
quote:
college football
Non existent.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:00 pm to WarEagleMan
First time in sports history it has a run of 10 legitimate champs?
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:06 pm to WarEagleMan
Things change.
Before the 1980s, very few games were on TV, and radio was the way the game was experienced if you did not go to the game.
Now every game is on TV.
I think the demographics of the in person crowd have changed. Families and students were the bulk of the crowd. Now it’s become a very expensive family activity, and I don’t think people are dragging their families to the games as much. People who can afford tickets are busier than ever with their jobs/businesses/professions and family life. Time is the most limited asset we have. The choice of how to spend one’s “free” time is one of the really competitive aspects of modern life.
I think college football in stadium fan experience MUST improve significantly. I don’t think People will continue tot pay big money for aluminum bleachers and minimalist amenities.
So ten years from now I think in stadium experience will improve substantially. I see chair seats for everybody, cup holders for every seat. Food service will improve. More high end seating. Stadium capacities will trend down. Ticket pricing will be dynamic.
Football will exist. In person experience will become more deluxe.
Before the 1980s, very few games were on TV, and radio was the way the game was experienced if you did not go to the game.
Now every game is on TV.
I think the demographics of the in person crowd have changed. Families and students were the bulk of the crowd. Now it’s become a very expensive family activity, and I don’t think people are dragging their families to the games as much. People who can afford tickets are busier than ever with their jobs/businesses/professions and family life. Time is the most limited asset we have. The choice of how to spend one’s “free” time is one of the really competitive aspects of modern life.
I think college football in stadium fan experience MUST improve significantly. I don’t think People will continue tot pay big money for aluminum bleachers and minimalist amenities.
So ten years from now I think in stadium experience will improve substantially. I see chair seats for everybody, cup holders for every seat. Food service will improve. More high end seating. Stadium capacities will trend down. Ticket pricing will be dynamic.
Football will exist. In person experience will become more deluxe.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:15 pm to makersmark1
Sounds probable man. I see alot more money being dumped into the sport in general. If everything was somehow distributed more evenly it's not hard to think it could overtake the NFL. People are tired of seeing the same schools dominate, even still college football has alot more national potential. .....Until politics get involved like the NFL. That's the major draw back of expansion. Will colleges really be that open to that change?
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:38 pm to makersmark1
quote:
So ten years from now I think in stadium experience will improve substantially. I see chair seats for everybody, cup holders for every seat. Food service will improve. More high end seating. Stadium capacities will trend down. Ticket pricing will be dynamic.
This would totally neuter the draw of college football and turn it into a carbon copy of the NFL but with a vastly inferior product. Unfortunately, it seems the sport is hell bent on destroying itself so you're right in that it is probably exactly what will happen.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:55 pm to WarEagleMan
We will all be watching football games from our motorized scooters on little tablets
Posted on 7/30/21 at 7:13 pm to HailToTheChiz
At first I was against the NLI, and sometimes still want to be. But thinking it over I have changed. Most of the teams at the top figures out a way to pay players anyway, and the higher you go to the top the more they probably do it. Kirby isn’t all of a sudden getting 5* from all over the country because he is Kirby Smart, or because it’s UGA.. with the NLI now everybody can do it, and I think it may level the playing field.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 7:59 pm to WarEagleMan
Vastly different.
Helmets will not look anything like today's hard shell bumpers and battering rams. And the same with body armor that transfers pain. Players will still go hard but with less in between, as point of impact becomes more distributed, probably taking cues from (bulletproof) military soft armor. Issues with brain injury and with long term bodily wear and tear will drive this.
The number of games will increase, as the demand for broadcasting dollars increase, to help offset smaller venues and the graying of old school football. So there will be a premium placed on the most durable, endurance based, athlete. Size will still matter however you'll see more of the hard man adventure types. Who go strong for extended periods with little rest day, after day, after day, for months. Again medical concerns will help drive this.
If the 50 team super conference doesn't kill the game as we know it, parity will become the catch word, as smaller programs finally say you can't continue to bury us beneath mounds and ga'normus piles of cash.
And the very best will go straight to the NFL instead of a stop over. As the NIL merely wets their appetites. Maybe it'll be for a development or minor league, maybe not, but they'll forgo college and the NCAA will not be able to say no.
Helmets will not look anything like today's hard shell bumpers and battering rams. And the same with body armor that transfers pain. Players will still go hard but with less in between, as point of impact becomes more distributed, probably taking cues from (bulletproof) military soft armor. Issues with brain injury and with long term bodily wear and tear will drive this.
The number of games will increase, as the demand for broadcasting dollars increase, to help offset smaller venues and the graying of old school football. So there will be a premium placed on the most durable, endurance based, athlete. Size will still matter however you'll see more of the hard man adventure types. Who go strong for extended periods with little rest day, after day, after day, for months. Again medical concerns will help drive this.
If the 50 team super conference doesn't kill the game as we know it, parity will become the catch word, as smaller programs finally say you can't continue to bury us beneath mounds and ga'normus piles of cash.
And the very best will go straight to the NFL instead of a stop over. As the NIL merely wets their appetites. Maybe it'll be for a development or minor league, maybe not, but they'll forgo college and the NCAA will not be able to say no.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 9:17 pm to WarEagleMan
It won’t even be around
Posted on 7/30/21 at 9:24 pm to WarEagleMan
quote:
What does college football look like in 10 years?
Minor League Football.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 9:46 pm to WarEagleMan
It will be like waking up on Saturday to watch the NBA D league.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 10:05 pm to bawbarn
Probably 10ish teams on top of the mountain… 10ish or so chasing those and the rest probably buried by lack of real interest and money. I would guess the NIL will probably have schools going to less scholarships to around 65-70 to help the little guys compete. Title IX will also cause a reduction as people start to focus away from sports. We see it across all sports already. Also when the federal government starts fricking around in anything like they have been the past 10-15 with the NCAA it will surely go to shite as most things the fed touches. It’ll be much like NFL lite and I don’t even like the nfl the games are boring and I have no rooting interest in any team.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 4:36 am to RandySavage
quote:
This would totally neuter the draw of college football and turn it into a carbon copy of the NFL but with a vastly inferior product. Unfortunately, it seems the sport is hell bent on destroying itself so you're right in that it is probably exactly what will happen.
Agree with this Randy. It would be taking a vacation spot like Belize and turning it into South Beach, the people would come, but the experience most used to visit it for would be gone and a totally different crowd would replace them.
Of course the same has happened with most of our larger cities downtown areas, they used to be places to visit for shopping and markets, restaurants, we would not visit for them anything now. Oh they have the crowds, just not the ones you want to be around.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 4:46 am to trinidadtiger
And dont be surprised, with this new frontier, and big bucks in TV contracts which might be divided up on merit vs league, to see totally new schools emerge after investing in the product.
Take a look at endowments of the top schools compared to today's football powers. If interested in investing in football, the Stanfords, and MITs of the world could be behemoths.
Take a look at endowments of the top schools compared to today's football powers. If interested in investing in football, the Stanfords, and MITs of the world could be behemoths.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 6:56 am to WarEagleMan
I’ve never understood why tax payers have let the gov’t subsidized monopoly (the NFL) use our tax payer funded education system (colleges) as their free, development system.
We need to force the NFL to create a minor league system like baseball. Allow kids 18 and older a straight route to that league. That should help to de commercialize college athletics.
We need to force the NFL to create a minor league system like baseball. Allow kids 18 and older a straight route to that league. That should help to de commercialize college athletics.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 8:42 am to Aubie Spr96
quote:That would have been possible 40 years ago.
We need to force the NFL to create a minor league system like baseball. Allow kids 18 and older a straight route to that league. That should help to de commercialize college athletics.
Now it’s far too late. CFB is well beyond the point of being ‘decommercialized’. There’s way too much money involved.
It should be noted that the one major sport that has been allowed to sign kids straight out of highschool to pro contracts for over a century is also the only one that still has an aura of amateurism at the collegiate level.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 9:53 am to FearlessFreep
quote:
It should be noted that the one major sport that has been allowed to sign kids straight out of highschool to pro contracts for over a century is also the only one that still has an aura of amateurism at the collegiate level.
Exactly my point.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 10:05 am to Aubie Spr96
quote:
I’ve never understood why tax payers have let the gov’t subsidized monopoly (the NFL) use our tax payer funded education system (colleges) as their free, development system.
We need to force the NFL to create a minor league system like baseball. Allow kids 18 and older a straight route to that league. That should help to de commercialize college athletics.
That's probably why the NCAA is scrambling.
They just announced they will have a constitution reconstruction in November, and come up with a new NCAA constitution w/ input from administrators, Presidents, ADs, etc.
And they plan to have it in place by January, 2022.
Definitely trying to keep their power in tact.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 10:11 am to WarEagleMan
quote:
If you had to guess, what will it look like? With Dabo's recent comments it seems clear what to expect. What comes with an entire college football league though? Will we see a high school draft? Will teams have salary caps that are donation only? With the revenue from NIL there is no way we can make a firm level playing field let alone start bidding wars. Penny for your thoughts.
I think this is what the SEC is doing now that the ball is rolling. The SEC will get 24-28 teams and break off from the NCAA and form an NFL minor league with similar or the same set of rules.
I find myself pining for the days of 10 SEC teams and no championship game. Playing UT for game four, and Amen Corner with UF, UGA, and UA to end the season. Its just all too monetized for my tastes these days. Get off my lawn!
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