Gotta have Florida St. or Texas drop one

You gonna have to rely on Louisville and an unlikely Red River Rematch on those.

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That said if we beat an undefeated UGA I don’t see how we get left out.

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If no one loses in front of us, minus Ga, we don't go to the playoffs.

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Washington or Oregon is most likely in as PAC 12 champ.

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I think we’d get in over either of these teams if they have 1 loss.

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Uga is getting really good on offense

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golding

If it comes down to a 1 loss sec champ and Florida state the committee will have to look at resumes and there’s no way you leave a 1 loss Bama sec champion out of playoffs after beating an undefeated Georgia team.

They're not going to put us in over an undefeated Florida State

See: 2014

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Uga is getting really good on offense, and their defense is solid...it will be a tough out...

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Yes, but.

We matchup really well with pro-style offenses. We have some meat in the middle, speed on the edges, and a bunch of LBs who can run sideline to sideline. I think Malachi will draw Bowers. Our corners should be able to old up on an island too.

On offense, I think we can score with UGA, but the oline has to hold up. And you know they will have a plan to confuse Proctor. If we can give our WRs a second to get separation, at the very least Milroe should have some lanes to pick up yardage. Smart has always been susceptible to QBs taking off.

We get in over a 1 loss pac 12 champ. Even Oregon winning out.

I know Oregon is ahead now and the decision would be incredibly tough for the committee but Bama beating no. 1 Georgia is better than beating no. 4/5 Washington.

Someone has to get left out so It comes down to which team can you NOT leave out? You can’t leave out a 12-1 Bama in that scenario.

Texas dropping one more is the safest bet, though.

We’re all annoyed by the lack of upsets down the stretch but think of it this way…having so many contenders across the P5 conferences keeps Georgia out if we beat them. Having to beat those guys twice is not ideal.

If there were more contenders like this year back in the 21 season then Bryce Young and Alabama would have won the National Title. Having to beat an equally matched team twice is a tough ask.

FSU is a paper tiger. They just don't pass the eye test to be a top four team. It's clear as day everytime you watch them.

Georgia has just been so dominant the past 2 years and I think a win at the end of the year over them would trump an early season stumble vs Texas. It's probably the only matchup that could boost Bama over Texas with a win...but the opportunity is there if we win out. Lay an egg vs au and we're reduced to playing spoiler in the SECCG.