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re: Week 7 Power Ratings

Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:04 am to
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
31631 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:04 am to
Ah yes ESPN they certainly know what theyre doing.

It isnt like theyre a company owned by Disney which means whoever is creating their equally shitty models is just a bunch of DEI hires who probably failed statistics at their community college.

Also which is it? Are you basing your ratings off Vegas or off ESPNs DEI hires? The two are not remotely the same thing.
Posted by NickPapageorgio
Yuma, AZ
Member since Oct 2014
1495 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:04 am to
Well, that just proves ESPN's power rankings are trash too.

Do you have a point?

Posted by WildcatsFan76
Member since Sep 2021
411 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:05 am to
quote:

Yet, my results are similar to ESPN's. So maybe it's YOU who doesn't understand what this list means or how it works.


Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
20525 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:22 am to
Just win, baby!
Win by one, win by fifty it counts.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7881 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:24 am to
Looking at the results it's clear this model ranks margin of victory over weak opponents WAY to highly and doesn't differentiate enough between a close loss and a close win (not recognizing that a win... even by a small margin... matters significantly because it was a win).

Posted by WildcatsFan76
Member since Sep 2021
411 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:26 am to
My point exactly.
Posted by Ash'sProstheticHand
Member since Nov 2012
1306 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

This is so bad, if you were a doctor they would call you Doctor Bad.


Damn. Paging Dr. Bad to the burn ward.
Posted by Dixie.Reb
Oxford
Member since Jul 2013
3940 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:42 am to
Compared to SP+ which is actually well accepted:

Bama way to high
Boise way too high
Wisconsin too high
Wake too high
Oklahoma too high


Ole Miss too low
BYU too low


So basically you got 60% roughly right which is a D grade
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104861 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 11:35 am to
South Carolina above MSU? LOL
Posted by UKWildcats
Lexington, KY
Member since Mar 2015
21069 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 11:37 am to
quote:

Kentucky hasn't exceeded expectations
Congratulations, you're retarded.
Posted by MemphisGuy
Germantown, TN
Member since Nov 2023
15317 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 11:42 am to
The model is broken… or retarded… or possibly both.
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
382 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

It isnt like theyre a company owned by Disney which means whoever is creating their equally shitty models is just a bunch of DEI hires who probably failed statistics at their community college.

Riiiiight. This is so intelligent and honest..

quote:

Also which is it? Are you basing your ratings off Vegas or off ESPNs DEI hires? The two are not remotely the same thing.

My model is not based on either. It comes to its results independently. It just happens to agree with ESPN FPI in some case and Vegas in others. I'll throw SP+ in there too. SP+ has LSU at #9, Kentucky at #47.. but hey, that guy is a retard, right?

Nothing you say is going to make you sound like you know what you're talking about on this - which you've already proven.
This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 12:37 pm
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
382 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Looking at the results it's clear this model ranks margin of victory over weak opponents WAY to highly and doesn't differentiate enough between a close loss and a close win (not recognizing that a win... even by a small margin... matters significantly because it was a win).


Like most everyone else, you aren't understanding the difference between a ranking and a rating. A power rating doesn't care necessarily about wins and losses. It cares about points - more specifically how many points you e scored against what defense, and how many points you e given up against what offenses.

In other words LSU losing by one point last night is a (almost) negligible difference to them winning by 1 point.

In a ranking system, yes, a "win" would matter because of merit. This is not a ranking.
Posted by WildcatsFan76
Member since Sep 2021
411 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:52 pm to
UK has the fourth-best resume in college football, according to ESPN’s advanced analytics, which grade a record's strength by how often an average top-25 team would match or exceed it given the schedule. In terms of strength of schedule, the Wildcats rank No. 5 overall and No. 19 in remaining strength of schedule... meaning, on paper, they’ve already gotten through the hardest part of the season.

Only Georgia (No. 1), Indiana (No. 2), and UCLA (No. 3) have better resumes than Kentucky at this stage.

You beat a couple of cupcakes to pad your stats and are trying to flex as No. 8 after getting run off the field last night.

Again, your list is retarded. Stop defending it; you ain't doing yourself any favors.
Posted by Soonerd78
Member since Sep 2024
3651 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:55 pm to
I can you for sure LSU body of work isn’t nothing compared to OUs and you are ranked higher . You have two sec losses also. So whatever model this is …. is trash.
This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 9:56 pm
Posted by Cockeee Don
Myrtle Beach, SC
Member since Jul 2014
753 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 6:53 am to
SC ahead of Miss. St. is a little odd.
Posted by DawgCountry
Great State of GA
Member since Sep 2012
34143 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:06 am to
take the L pal
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
15250 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:17 am to
If your model was a model

Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
382 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:55 am to
quote:

I can you for sure LSU body of work isn’t nothing compared to OUs and you are ranked higher . You have two sec losses also. So whatever model this is …. is trash.

It's not a ranking.

Your team isn't as good as you think it is.
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
382 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:57 am to
quote:

UK has the fourth-best resume in college football, according to ESPN’s advanced analytics, which grade a record's strength by how often an average top-25 team would match or exceed it given the schedule. In terms of strength of schedule, the Wildcats rank No. 5 overall and No. 19 in remaining strength of schedule... meaning, on paper, they’ve already gotten through the hardest part of the season.

Only Georgia (No. 1), Indiana (No. 2), and UCLA (No. 3) have better resumes than Kentucky at this stage.

You beat a couple of cupcakes to pad your stats and are trying to flex as No. 8 after getting run off the field last night.

Again, your list is retarded. Stop defending it; you ain't doing yourself any favors.

ESPN FPI, which is the model that decides Kentucky's resume, has Kentucky at #30 in their ratings... My model has Kentucky #30. SP+ has Kentucky at #47.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 8:01 am
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