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SEC NCAA Tournament Picture looking fairly clear already
Posted on 1/16/25 at 8:33 am
Posted on 1/16/25 at 8:33 am
Pretty much Locked In:
1. Auburn
2. Tennessee
3. Florida
4. Alabama
5. Kentucky
6. Ole Miss
Looking Good for a Bid:
7. Mississippi State
8. Texas A&M
9. Missouri
10. Georgia
Bubble Teams:
11. Texas
12. Vanderbilt
Need a Miracle:
13. Oklahoma
14. Arkansas
When Does Baseball Start?
15. LSU
16. South Carolina
1. Auburn
2. Tennessee
3. Florida
4. Alabama
5. Kentucky
6. Ole Miss
Looking Good for a Bid:
7. Mississippi State
8. Texas A&M
9. Missouri
10. Georgia
Bubble Teams:
11. Texas
12. Vanderbilt
Need a Miracle:
13. Oklahoma
14. Arkansas
When Does Baseball Start?
15. LSU
16. South Carolina
3
Posted on 1/16/25 at 8:48 am to AUTiger789
Your logic is flawed.
A&M is top 5 team in SEC.
The teams you have listed 6-9 are locks.
A&M is top 5 team in SEC.
The teams you have listed 6-9 are locks.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 8:53 am to Aggie in TN
quote:
The teams you have listed 6-9 are locks.
Agreed. 1-9 are locks as of now. UGA is on the edge but extremely close to being a sure thing. Hell they have a great opportunity to lock in this Saturday.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:22 am to Bigbens42
Nobody is a lock at this point.
I am guessing this means if the tournament were today. Sorry carry on.
I am guessing this means if the tournament were today. Sorry carry on.
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 10:25 am
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:24 am to bigDgator
quote:
Nobody is a lock at this point.
Yep. Must get to at least 8 conference wins to be in the "lock" category. Maybe even 9 depending on the resume.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:29 am to AUTiger789
And this in a nutshell is why the college basketball season is so underwhelming and why I didn't want a big playoff for college football.
At this point it's already clear who is making the tournament and what their seed will roughly be most likely.
Beating your rivals, winning your conference, winning the conference, none of it ultimately matter because the entire season come down to one big crazy single elimination tournament and that's all ultimately anyone gives a shite about.
At this point it's already clear who is making the tournament and what their seed will roughly be most likely.
Beating your rivals, winning your conference, winning the conference, none of it ultimately matter because the entire season come down to one big crazy single elimination tournament and that's all ultimately anyone gives a shite about.
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 10:38 am
Posted on 1/16/25 at 10:32 am to StansberryRules
quote:
At this point it's already clear who is making the tournament and what their seed will roughly be most likely.
It's clear in terms of like 15 teams, but there is a large swath that are not. And within those 15 teams seeding is massively important - the #1 overall seed's path to the Final Four is much, much clearer than a #3/4 seed.
It matters a lot.
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 10:32 am
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:04 am to bigDgator
If you play around with Torvik TeamCast.. if Auburn loses out, according to their model, we would still be in as a 10 seed. 
Realistically I think we would get in at 6-12 in the SEC. Bama/UK/UT would get in at 7-11.
Realistically I think we would get in at 6-12 in the SEC. Bama/UK/UT would get in at 7-11.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:10 am to HottyToddy7
quote:
Yep. Must get to at least 8 conference wins to be in the "lock" category. Maybe even 9 depending on the resume.
I think that’s high. I think somebody is likely going 7-11 and still making it comfortably. Anyone that goes 9-9 is going to be like a 5 or 6 seed this year,
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:24 am to Aggie in TN
quote:
A&M is top 5 team in SEC
I'm not at all convinced.
Tigers beat Aggy in Reed Arena last year. What if it happens again Saturday night?
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:35 am to AUTiger789
2/14.. 
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:42 am to StansberryRules
quote:
At this point it's already clear who is making the tournament and what their seed will roughly be most likely.
I don't think either of those things are clear.
We can guess some of the teams with pretty good certainty, but even those we don't know seeding by a longshot.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:48 am to Aggie in TN
quote:
A&M is top 5 team in SEC.
A&M is in no way Top 5 in the SEC at the moment. Not after losing 2 straight and barely eaking out a win over last place Oklahoma.
I said A&M’s chances of a bid are looking good. They are. A&M is not yet a lock, and clearly not in the current Top 6 of the league.
Unless your team can upset Ole Miss in Oxford next week, it’s looking like you’ll get your first win over an SEC team currently projected in the field not until February 8th… and that’s if you can beat Missouri in Columbia.
Sorry but teams who take 6+ weeks to get a conference win against a team projected in the field are not locks until they actually do so.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:48 am to bleedsgarnet
quote:
2/14
For a second I read this as your prediction of our SEC basketball record, then I realized it didn't add up to 18, and 2 wins seems pretty high anyway.
But that's just when baseball starts.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 11:55 am to HottyToddy7
quote:
Yep. Must get to at least 8 conference wins to be in the "lock" category. Maybe even 9 depending on the resume.
No. Not true.
Depends on the team and the resume. But Auburn has already been declared a “lock” by most all bracketologists, including Lunardi… probably because they see the probability of us not making it as close to zero.
But even in the worst case scenario, Auburn is one win away from locking a bid. If we beat Georgia Saturday, we could lose out the rest of the season and still finish 17-14. We’d be 5-13 in SEC play, but we’d be 10-11 in Quad 1 games. That’s easily an NCAA resume.
Posted on 1/16/25 at 12:05 pm to Aggie in TN
quote:
Your logic is flawed.
A&M is top 5 team in SEC.
I don't see A&M being better than the top 5 listed.
This post was edited on 1/16/25 at 12:07 pm
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