Favorite team:Mississippi St. 
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Registered on:4/30/2020
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It would take too long to count up the exact number of unique teams but I started a running list of every State football game I’ve ever attended and I’ll hit number 130 with the season opener in a couple of weeks. All since ‘98 when I attended my first game, which was a homecoming game against East Tennessee State.

I do know I’ve seen every SEC team with the exception of Texas and Oklahoma. Might cross OU off the list this year.
I think OM as a program has elevated their floor in this era. But I’m skeptical on the ceiling post-Kiffin.

I kinda expect him to live in the 6 to 8 win range for the most part and OM will have to decide if they’re good with that or if expectations are higher for that program now.

I really don’t know what to make of this year’s OM. Obviously Chambliss and Lacy are great starting points and they have some good pieces on defense. I feel like they’ve got a really intriguing September. The LSU game is the obvious big one but opening against Louisville on a neutral field and playing at Florida the week after LSU. You can sell me on them starting 4-0 but I think you don’t have to squint too hard to see a world where they start 2-2 and instead of discussing the Playoff in October and November you’re discussing the Reliaquest Bowl.
State vs LSU 2009. Chad Jones single handedly beat State that day. 90 yard punt return TD and a game saving deflection on the goal line when everyone else in the stadium bit on the play action. State was down 6 and had 1st and goal from the 2 with a minute and a half left, could not score in 4 attempts. Our 5 foot 8 QB decided to run the ball up the middle on 4th down instead of pitching it for a walk in TD on an option play. That was a brutal one.


State vs Bama 2017. State had Bana for about 3.5 quarters. I think Bama had some injuries on defense and Mullen’s plan was run the ball and control the clock and it worked amazingly for a while. I think State had like a 40-20 edge in time of possession. But then State kinda folded late. And Todd Grantham did a Todd Grantham and sent an all out blitz on 3rd and 15 that blew up in his face horribly.
‘22 Georgia probably deserves a mention. They played one close game in the regular season and won a national title game by dang near 60 points.

I know that ‘08 Florida famously lost to Ole Miss in the Tebow speech game but from that point in the season on I thought that team was one of the best SEC teams I’ve ever seen.

It’s difficult to pick a specific Bama team because some of the most impressive teams they’ve had didn’t win it all, and then some of the teams that did win it all had moments of being fairly unimpressive. If you made me pick one Bama team, I’d probably go with 2011 as well simply because that whole season it was very apparent that it was Bama, LSU, and then everyone else a pretty big step behind. And they absolutely humiliated LSU in the championship.
I grew up within a 3 hour drive of State, LSU, and Alabama, and chose the one that’s worst at sports to pledge my allegiance to.

re: Omaha tale of the tape

Posted by Captain Falcon on 6/8/26 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

UNC is really good not sure why anyone thinks that's an easy draw


They’re one of the quietest Top 5 teams I can remember relative to how much attention UCLA, GT, and UGA got this year. I think they actually won the series against GT in the regular season.

I think they’re 50-12 and somehow under the radar, weird deal.

I don’t hate West Virginia’s chances on that side either, TBH. I think they’re also better than a lot of people realize.

That said, also entirely possible OM just cruises to the finals like a lot of State fans are convinced they will.

Troy could MAYBE win one game off somebody, but they’re the one I really have a hard time envisioning getting to the finals.
quote:

It was actually the hate triangle of MSU in 2021, Ole Miss in 2022, and LSU in 2023.


Aided greatly by the MSU AD at the time fighting for his buddy Mike Bianco in the selection committee or else OM possibly doesn’t even make the tournament in 2022.

As if John Cohen hasn’t given State fans enough other reasons to hate him.
quote:

Not football, but in baseball Mississippi State and Ole Miss won back to back


We are still on a run of exclusively teams we hate winning baseball national titles since we won ours

22 - Ole Miss
23 - LSU
24 - Tennessee
25 - LSU

So fully expecting a Georgia vs OM title series this year, would be par for the course.
Georgia is really good and the worst possible matchup for State given their leaky bullpen.

I think of the other teams that made Supers, State probably would have beaten a dozen of them this weekend. Just really unlucky to get paired with UGA again. If we had been the 15 or 16 seed we’d have hosted a Super, but we were one spot too good and just had to be the 14 seed paired with our kryptonite this year.

re: Omaha tale of the tape

Posted by Captain Falcon on 6/8/26 at 11:47 am to
Personally, I would be pretty surprised if the national champion isn’t one of Georgia or Texas.
I believe State has been to Supers in 6 of the last 10 seasons now. The only exception being the dry spell during the last 4 years of Lemonis.

re: 5/22 Tournament Outlook

Posted by Captain Falcon on 5/22/26 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

State isn’t a lock to host or at least we shouldn’t be. Our record against the top half of the conference is atrocious


I’m hesitant to say lock but I think it’s highly likely. You’re not wrong about our record against good teams but I think the combo of RPI/DSR/KPI combined with 18 aggregate league wins probably gets us the nod. Plus the fact that we have zero bad losses.

It may be a low end host though. Could easily be in the 14-16 range paired with one of the tippy top teams.
I THINK State is still going to host, but boy did they leave the door open for themselves the get passed over. Lost 5 of 7 series to finish the year, including the last 3 (granted, all to really good teams, the only WTF series loss in there was getting swept at the Dude by Tennessee).

It just makes me a little nervous being the last SEC team in hosting contention and competing for a spot with a bunch of West Coast or midwestern teams, all who legitimately do have strong hosting cases.

Would prefer at least one win in Hoover to feel safe, but if that doesn’t happen, I still think State’s odds of hosting are better than 50%, but at the same time if they end up being the 17 seed playing in Morgantown or Corvallis, I can’t say I would be overly shocked.
Glad to see this. It’s been awesome for the Regionals the last few years.
State’s RPI a little lower than it needs to be but I feel like that will take care of itself. 10 of the last 11 games against the RPI Top 10, seven of those away from Starkville. They’ve got plenty of opportunities to rise. Or they’ll lose too many of those games and be a 2 seed in Hattiesburg or somewhere like that.

Can’t afford much of a slip up against LSU this weekend. Winning 2 is the bare minimum need, and you can make a case that they need a sweep given LSU’s recent trajectory and the fact that State is still kinda trying to make up for the disasters that were the UGA and Tennessee series.

re: SEC baseball standings

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/20/26 at 6:43 am to
Those two home sweeps are a killer for State. Just find a way to go 1-2 in those series and you’re 12-6 and right in the thick of it for a league title. Oh well.

re: Saturday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/19/26 at 7:48 am to
Lot of games still to go but the hosting discussion is going to very interesting for the SEC this year.

Feels like Texas and Georgia are going to end being locks.

Auburn, Ole Miss, and A&M have put themselves in great position.

Florida is the weirdest dang team in the country but they’re hosting it the season ended today.

I don’t really know what to make of Bama. They could really use a win today. Great RPI but conference record starting to become an issue.

State and Oklahoma (maybe Kentucky?) still in the mix too but need to keep winning.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/18/26 at 7:00 am to
quote:

We badly need to sweep Carolina and lsu next weekend After that we have Texas, Auburn and Aggie. We will be lucky to get 3 wins total out of those 3 series so a sweep this weekend and next is necessary to get to at least a 16-14 conference record and a solid 2 seed. A host is out of the question for us right now


Nah we’re probably hosting at 16-14. But the Gov Cup and Hoover would probably matter for that too.

The bare minimum this weekend is you gotta win one more game and take the series. If you can find a way to win all three, awesome. But gotta get at least one more.

I’m also not writing State off in any of the last three series either. State playing well is capable of winning series against any of those teams. This is still the same team that swept Ole Miss fairly comfortably at Swayze, which is a sweep that has aged terrifically since then.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/17/26 at 11:07 am to
Must win series for State. A sweep would be ideal but that’s asking for a lot on the road.

re: Tuesday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/15/26 at 9:44 am to
quote:

I'm not trying to be an ahole, sincere question - what the heck? I watch as many SEC games as I can, and the last 2 State series are difficult to fathom. State is 4th in the conference in batting average, 2nd in ERA and 2nd in fielding % (conf games only). That should add up to some wins at home, not reverse sweeps. Good luck this weekend, but SC has been a different animal since they fired Paul.


It’s largely been an offense issue. We’ve missed McPherson too, specifically thinking of Game 1 against Georgia in reference to that, but UGA and Tennessee just pounded the strike zone and threw a ton of offspeed stuff and our offense had no answer for it. We’ve largely become home run or bust on offense the last two weeks.

Pitching has been mostly ok. There’s only so much you can do when your offense is averaging 3 runs a game in the last 5 league games.
Yeah if you can look at State’s schedule and find more than 4 or 5 wins, you’re more optimistic than I am.

We’ve won two SEC games since 2022, replaced a nonconference gimme win with an extra SEC game, and also have road game against a decent Big 10 team in Week 2.

I’m pretty sure we literally have a stretch where we play Bama, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma in consecutive games.

I will be impressed if Lebby is still in charge in 2027.