Favorite team:Mississippi St. 
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Registered on:4/30/2020
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I THINK State is still going to host, but boy did they leave the door open for themselves the get passed over. Lost 5 of 7 series to finish the year, including the last 3 (granted, all to really good teams, the only WTF series loss in there was getting swept at the Dude by Tennessee).

It just makes me a little nervous being the last SEC team in hosting contention and competing for a spot with a bunch of West Coast or midwestern teams, all who legitimately do have strong hosting cases.

Would prefer at least one win in Hoover to feel safe, but if that doesn’t happen, I still think State’s odds of hosting are better than 50%, but at the same time if they end up being the 17 seed playing in Morgantown or Corvallis, I can’t say I would be overly shocked.
Glad to see this. It’s been awesome for the Regionals the last few years.
State’s RPI a little lower than it needs to be but I feel like that will take care of itself. 10 of the last 11 games against the RPI Top 10, seven of those away from Starkville. They’ve got plenty of opportunities to rise. Or they’ll lose too many of those games and be a 2 seed in Hattiesburg or somewhere like that.

Can’t afford much of a slip up against LSU this weekend. Winning 2 is the bare minimum need, and you can make a case that they need a sweep given LSU’s recent trajectory and the fact that State is still kinda trying to make up for the disasters that were the UGA and Tennessee series.

re: SEC baseball standings

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/20/26 at 6:43 am to
Those two home sweeps are a killer for State. Just find a way to go 1-2 in those series and you’re 12-6 and right in the thick of it for a league title. Oh well.

re: Saturday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/19/26 at 7:48 am to
Lot of games still to go but the hosting discussion is going to very interesting for the SEC this year.

Feels like Texas and Georgia are going to end being locks.

Auburn, Ole Miss, and A&M have put themselves in great position.

Florida is the weirdest dang team in the country but they’re hosting it the season ended today.

I don’t really know what to make of Bama. They could really use a win today. Great RPI but conference record starting to become an issue.

State and Oklahoma (maybe Kentucky?) still in the mix too but need to keep winning.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/18/26 at 7:00 am to
quote:

We badly need to sweep Carolina and lsu next weekend After that we have Texas, Auburn and Aggie. We will be lucky to get 3 wins total out of those 3 series so a sweep this weekend and next is necessary to get to at least a 16-14 conference record and a solid 2 seed. A host is out of the question for us right now


Nah we’re probably hosting at 16-14. But the Gov Cup and Hoover would probably matter for that too.

The bare minimum this weekend is you gotta win one more game and take the series. If you can find a way to win all three, awesome. But gotta get at least one more.

I’m also not writing State off in any of the last three series either. State playing well is capable of winning series against any of those teams. This is still the same team that swept Ole Miss fairly comfortably at Swayze, which is a sweep that has aged terrifically since then.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/17/26 at 11:07 am to
Must win series for State. A sweep would be ideal but that’s asking for a lot on the road.

re: Tuesday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/15/26 at 9:44 am to
quote:

I'm not trying to be an ahole, sincere question - what the heck? I watch as many SEC games as I can, and the last 2 State series are difficult to fathom. State is 4th in the conference in batting average, 2nd in ERA and 2nd in fielding % (conf games only). That should add up to some wins at home, not reverse sweeps. Good luck this weekend, but SC has been a different animal since they fired Paul.


It’s largely been an offense issue. We’ve missed McPherson too, specifically thinking of Game 1 against Georgia in reference to that, but UGA and Tennessee just pounded the strike zone and threw a ton of offspeed stuff and our offense had no answer for it. We’ve largely become home run or bust on offense the last two weeks.

Pitching has been mostly ok. There’s only so much you can do when your offense is averaging 3 runs a game in the last 5 league games.
Yeah if you can look at State’s schedule and find more than 4 or 5 wins, you’re more optimistic than I am.

We’ve won two SEC games since 2022, replaced a nonconference gimme win with an extra SEC game, and also have road game against a decent Big 10 team in Week 2.

I’m pretty sure we literally have a stretch where we play Bama, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma in consecutive games.

I will be impressed if Lebby is still in charge in 2027.
quote:

State has nothing to worry about. LSU is toast this year. When you get frustrated with State just know you're not even in the same galaxy of suckiness as LSU is this year. Take a deep breath State


Have you never watched a State vs LSU baseball series? I’ve lost count of how many times a struggling LSU team has turned their season around by seeing State on the schedule.

re: Tuesday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/13/26 at 7:05 pm to
Never thought I’d call a Tuesday game at Samford must win, but when you get your rear end swept at home two weeks in a row….
State plays LSU at Dudy Noble in two weeks and somehow a winner must be declared. Don’t really know how that’s possible.

re: Saturday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/11/26 at 10:41 am to
quote:

This ship already sailed We aren’t. Not even close. Bullpen sucks and are bats are going cold


I’m not ready to say the ship has sailed yet. There’s a world where they win the next two, take care of SC and LSU, and are 13-8 and 14-7 going into May. That would be very much Top 8 contender territory.

But they need to get it going ASAP.

re: Saturday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/11/26 at 9:13 am to
State started 7-2 and has now lost four in a row, all at home. And two of those are Valincius starts.

Desperately need to get it together and win these next two games, or else the conversation may shift from “are they a Top 8 seed” to “will they be in the Hattiesburg Regional or the Atlanta Regional”? Barring a huge run the next few weeks,
UGA played extremely well and State had a combination of missing McPherson in Game 1 and its offense having probably its two worst games of the year in Games 2 and 3 (credit to UGA pitching, though).
I feel like we’d probably beat Bethune Cookman and Sacramento State.
Georgia is really good. Jackson had a huge impact on things defensively with the way he was able to frame pitches and steal strikes. And kudos for UGA pitchers being able to consistently throw off seed pitches for strikes on the corners. State did have many good pitches to hit all weekend, UGA’s pitching strategy worked like a charm.

State has some key guys slumping at the plate right now that needs to get fixed. And need to get McPherson back soon. Still in an ok spot at 7-5 and three straight series against unranked teams coming up, two of them at home. Need to get some W’s back before the final stretch in May that will be tough (@ Texas, Auburn, @ A&M).

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/3/26 at 11:44 pm to
It felt like Georgia was just spinning breaking balls at the bottom of the zone all night and State never got a handle on it. Kudos for UGA for the series win. I was unsure what to make of UGA going into this weekend but you don’t win series in both Starkville and College Station without being really good.

Not going to freak out about State at this stage, they’ve exclusively lost close games to ranked teams at this point. But could definitely use a win tomorrow. A little bit of a weird State team this year. They can run anyone off the field on a given day and win a lot of games via blowout, but haven’t done the little things well in close games. That can certainly evolve as the year goes on. But right now it’s the reason why this team has lost two SEC series already.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/3/26 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

We have to take tonight's game to win the series. Our Sunday pitching (Saturday in this case) is capable of surrendering 20 runs. Your score prediction might be spot on.


Valincius is probably the SEC Pitcher of the Year to this point so if UGA wins tonight you just gotta tip your cap at that point.

Stone, our Sunday guy, has been good but flirts with danger a lot.

I think State’s bullpen is mostly good but I don’t trust it completely.

If State can cut down on walks and wild pitches/passed balls I think I like their chances to win the next two. But if that’s still an issue, gonna be tough against UGA’s bats.

re: Friday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/3/26 at 9:26 am to
quote:

For one day we get to be #1 in the SEC in baseball in April Totally expect Valincius to shove our shite in tonight, expecting a wild rubber match Saturday


This is about where I am too. Tonight favors State and then Game 3 may finish 21-20.

re: Thursday SEC Baseball

Posted by Captain Falcon on 4/2/26 at 10:40 am to
I’m going to pick State in every Valincius start until they actually lose one of them (he’s starting Friday night), but the other two games between State and UGA are anyone’s guesses. Entertainment factor should be high with those two offenses.