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re: LSU defense vs Ole Miss offense

Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:07 pm to
Posted by Dicken Nuggets
Member since Aug 2019
972 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:07 pm to
If Blake Baker's past performances against mobile QBs is any indication, then OM blows the doors off of LSU.

I hope LSU's defense is indeed way better than it has been under Baker. Even if it is, it's still not a guarantee to beat OM. Great QBs who don't make mistakes are hard to defend.
Posted by Dixie.Reb
Oxford
Member since Jul 2013
4040 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

. I also don't think Ole Miss will have more than 350 yards total offense.


Here’s a list of games since 2021 where ole Miss had less than 350 yards of offense:

2021
Alabama
Baylor (bowl game where corral got injured)

2022
Egg bowl

2023
Alabama
Arkansas
Egg Bowl

2024
None

2025
None
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Member since Dec 2019
76799 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Here’s a list of games since 2021 where ole Miss had less than 350 yards of offense


Not sure how that's relevant, considering the offensive staff changes...
Posted by SwampBandit
Livonia, La
Member since Jun 2016
3878 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

Ah, I remember all the articles listing him as an NFL LB so didn’t check his position last year. So maybe Umanmielen is more replacement than major upgrade there and Dottery is an upgrade.



P Will has doubled Pyburns numbers he had last year in 2 games. Dottery and Whit in the middle may be the best ILB duo in the country
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 5:23 pm
Posted by Dixie.Reb
Oxford
Member since Jul 2013
4040 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

Also Haulcy and Benefield are strong safeties, not CBs


Never said Benefield was a CB. I did assume Haulcy was a CB based on his coverage stats, but I would stand by my point that Haulcy > Benefield and Delane > Pickett based on the data so far.
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 6:43 pm
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Member since Dec 2019
76799 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

If Blake Baker's past performances against mobile QBs is any indication, then OM blows the doors off of LSU.


Ole Miss didn't blow the doors off of LSU last year.


Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
12282 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:25 pm to
quote:

Notable LSU departures:
AJ Haulcy
Mansoor Delane
Jack Pyburn
Harold Perkins
Patrick Payton
Ahmad Breaux


Only notable departure
Posted by Jabontik
Houston
Member since Dec 2016
5031 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

not sure Dottery > Pyburn.



Dottery had a PFF of 95.1 last week, best LB grade in the country. Having him playing next to Weeks in the middle is game changing, you got the SEC's 2 leading tacklers from last year both in the middle of your defense.

As was mentioned, Princewell has 5 sacks through 2 games. The SEC record is 12 for a full season.

Our defense will come ready to play for sure. Chambliss will probably make some huge plays either throwing or running, but hard to see OM putting up more than 21 or so
Posted by Dixie.Reb
Oxford
Member since Jul 2013
4040 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

Not sure how that's relevant, considering the offensive staff changes...


You read my OP? I think personnel matters way more than coaching in today’s game.

Yeah, Kiffin’s system brings the best out of players, but we have a coach from his tree running the same system so it’s not like we are going ground and pound. And we have the best QB/RB/WR1 combo in at least 20 years for our program.


Over time, Kiffin may be the most important part of an offense because he stays and players rotate through. But for 1 game, I’d rather have JD Baker and Winston Watkins than Kiffin and Johntay Cook
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
54351 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

Never said Benefield was a safety

He is a safety
Posted by PurpleSingularity
Member since Dec 2017
3129 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

Never said Benefield was a CB. I did assume Haulcy was a CB based on his coverage stats, but I would stand by my point that Haulcy > Benefield and Delane > Pickett based on the data so far.


Benefield will be a Top 30 pick in the NFL draft….Haulcy, while a very good player, was not close.

The reason Benefield’s stats haven’t popped is because the front 7 is elite…but he is an absolute ERASER at his position
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 6:54 pm
Posted by Captain Rumbeard
Member since Jan 2014
7725 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 6:55 pm to
LSU D is upgraded from last year pretty severely. They are running around at 1.5 speed tearing heads off midgets.

Trinidad is that dude.

The rest are probably as good as they were last year but you lost Weiss and Lane and I think that's going to kill you.
Posted by Nomadic Bengal
Member since Jul 2022
4094 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

Notable LSU returners:
Whit weeks
PJ woodland
Tamarcus Cooley
DJ Pickett


DaShawn Spears @ star got significant playing time last season ( 2 Int , 3 TFL + 1 Sack) and will be a factor in this game.
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 7:01 pm
Posted by Herschal
USA
Member since Sep 2011
2567 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:01 pm to
Get out of here with that thoughtful analysis.
Posted by MackeyMkay
Member since Sep 2026
91 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:18 pm to
LSU 1st string Defense has let up 96 total yards throughout 2 games combined and 0 points (or 3 if you count turnover inside LSU's 30 that the D actually pushed back Clemson after it, for a GF).
Posted by MackeyMkay
Member since Sep 2026
91 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

If Blake Baker's past performances against mobile QBs is any indication, then OM blows the doors off of LSU.


If either of the two teams is blowing the other out, it's LSU. Ole Miss defense is not good. And I don't see any offense putting up more than 17 to 20 on this defense.

LSU 1st string defense has allowed 96 total yards and 0 points through 2 games. Not even a length of a football field on around 25 drives. Averaging about 3 to 4 yards per drive. FWIW, La Tech won 80 to 6 vs Northwestern St (who is terrible), but still 80 points is a metric ton. To hold that to negative total yardage at half, then 26 yards by time 2's and 3's came in is good regardless if they're playing a high school. Chambliss and Ole Miss are obviously going to be better than Clemson or LT offense, that's why I'm spotting 17 to 20 and not 0 like the other 2 had on 1st string D.

It's very, very early to say, but this defense may be better than 2011 just without Honey Badger making a D/ST touchdown every other game.

My biggest concern is that Leavitt doesn't turn into a headcase, and the OL play like they did vs Clemson.

LSU offense is good at moving the ball down the field. 640 yards then 530 yards last week. Just had bad turnovers and redzone converting last week.

Final Prediction: LSU 31 Ole Miss 20
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 7:29 pm
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
68340 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:25 pm to
We lost 3rd down in the 2nd half on D.

We needs stops at the end. Hopefully d line keeps disrupting
Posted by Vecchio Cane
Ivory Tower
Member since Jul 2016
19284 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:28 pm to
Chambliss’ greatest strength is fearlessness. He won’t back down & he’ll take whatever chance he has to win.
Miami dropped 4-5 INTs in the playoff game. If LSU lets him off the hook they will lose
Posted by G&P
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Aug 2013
2544 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 7:33 pm to
Curious to know the Blake Baker game plan... How much input does Kiffin give?

Posted by supersaints9
Colleyville,Tx
Member since Dec 2009
20637 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

Linebackers are a year more experienced but I’m not sure Dottery > Pyburn.



I was following you all the way to here. Dottery has been outstanding. I heard a lot of chatter from OM this offseason about how the guy wasn’t any good. He is VERY GOOD
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