re: FSU AD says "potentially more movement" within the next 24 months

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…premium match ups that will bring the best ratings….

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Exactly, and this is where the SEC has it all over the B1G.

Yes, we will see how it plays out.

Money (now out in the open) is the key to success. That will come from high TV viewership, and this is the area that SEC is way ahead of the B1G. Another source of money is the rich alumni, and that is sort of a wild card that will fluctuate year in and year out; every big time college football power has rich boosters willing to shell out big bucks some years.

I like your coach, Key, a lot. Ga Tech always plays Georgia close, rivalry game and all that….Ga Tech used to be a consistently good team, and I do not think that the SEC teams you noted would beat them easily, but I do think Ga Tech would be consistently in the bottom half of the SEC based on their performance in the past 10-15 years. Maybe Key will change my mind about that,….again, we will see…

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I see why the B1G needs FSU much more than the SEC needs FSU…

Here are the B1G teams that do not move the needle in terms of national viewership:

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Both conferences will jump to add the top few ACC schools because it is the last power conference that has not been looted by the B1G and/or SEC. Once the ACC has been raided, I believe that is how the college football landscape (at least in terms of conference affiliation) will look for the foreseeable future.

There are only a handful of clearly additive programs left for the B1G and/or SEC: Notre Dame, Florida State, Clemson, and UNC. Then there are a group that may be additive, but are not clear cut additions, including but not necessarily limited to: Miami, Virginia, Virginia Tech, NC State, Duke. I'd throw some of the four corners schools as wild cards for the B1G as well.

We're going to end up with 18-20 schools in the SEC, and the B1G will almost certainly end up with 20+. Expect a weird ACC-Big 12 Frankenstein conference to form and sort of hang around as a third "Power Three" conference. I'd also wager quite a lot that Notre Dame finally caves and joins the B1G if/when the ACC implodes.

If I was forced to guess, I'd say that the SEC will add FSU, Clemson, UNC, and Duke. I used to think VT would get that last spot, but I actually think there is real, underrated value in having a ratings gold mine for hoops in Duke, plus the biggest hoops rivalry. I think the SEC would like Virginia, but their administration will push for the B1G.

I think the B1G will add Notre Dame and Miami. It's conceivable they expand beyond 20 and add some more western schools to try to alleviate their current logistics nightmare. I could also see them adding Virginia and Georgia Tech. Hard to tell, I don't really understand the B1G's tactics. They added Rutgers and UCLA to a midwestern conference.

Fly,
I hear you and don’t totally disagree. But you saying that GT has been down the past 10-15 years is just an arbitrary timeframe from a system that is dead (I could us an arbitrary timeline for your team). We couldn’t sign 4 stars under the triple option and rarely got 5 stars to take an on campus visit. That has all changed under NIL which is why we have more 4 stars and 5 stars on our roster than EVER in the past. We just signed the top RB in next years NFL draft - Justice Haynes. He was leading the country in rushing last year when he got hurt at Michigan. This guy, like Jhamyr Gibbs, in the old system would have transferred to a Bama, Auburn, Clemson types for the bag. But since he’s from ATL and we can offer him millions he will now play for us. That’s a game changer player.

My point isn’t that GT will be good as it takes a lot of players to be a top 15 program. My point is the world has COMPLETELY changed in the past 3 years and each year more and more schools are getting their NIL in order. Indiana and Cignetti jumped on it from day 1 and it led to fast success. There are going to be more Indiana’s in the future we can’t even fathom today. The days of simply buying a subscription to a recruiting service and then making blanket statements that SEC schools are dominating and a school like GT would be in the bottom half are long gone. You probably would have said the same thing about Indiana 2 years ago or even last summer. But, they brought in players and absolutely smashed Bama from a coaching AND player perspective. Indiana’s players were simply better than what Bama recruited and bought. That’s unbelievable for both you and I to accept as southern fans.

I just don’t understand how so many fans don’t see the complete paradigm shift that has happened. In the old system a mid level program lost Gibbs to Bama and we all could understand why. Now, a top tier RB transferred from Michigan to a mid level program. Why? Money and location. We just had a first round OLinemen pick last night. We haven’t seen that in years. And it wasn’t a fluke. Our coaches found a lower level guy that all the SEC schools missed in recruiting from subscription driven services and we turned him into a 1st round pick. The old days are dead.

Agreed. As a UNC guy, it’s far more likely to be NCSU than Duke.

This sounds like an AD saying whatever he needs to say to get $.

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May as well take all of the old ACC and have a division w/FSU, Clemson, UNC, NCState, Duke, Wake, UVA, and GT. Toss South Carolina in there too.

Then let's go ahead and also add Houston, Baylor, Texas Tech, SMU, TCU, and Rice. We can put A&M and Texas in that division.

After that add Colorado, Nebraska, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Kansas and Kansas State. That division can have OU and Mizzou.

Now take VT, Miami, Syracuse, Pitt, BC, Louisville.... y'all get the picture.

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No. That is too logically to make it happen.