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re: CFB Program Rankings
Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:39 pm to lsupride87
Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:39 pm to lsupride87
Well that's not true at all.
Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:42 pm to BHMKyle
Typically these lists are hot garbage but this actually looks pretty spot on.
Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:43 pm to Korin
quote:Well its very true for the point I am making
Well that's not true at all.
In 2004, an undefeated team from a power conference was not going to get the opportunity to earn a national title
Where as 2007, a 2 loss team got to play for a title
National titles in college football are overvalued in my opinion when discussing the actual greatness of a team
Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:46 pm to lsupride87
Then you shouldn't have agreed to those systems.

Posted on 6/14/18 at 12:46 pm to Korin
quote:Im not exactly sure where I agreed to them
Then you shouldn't have agreed to those systems

Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:02 pm to BHMKyle
This is literally the only thing Alabama can puff their chest out about. They suck in every other sport. Most bama fans have never even been to Tuscaloosa much less the campus. 3 months out of the year they get to hang those dumb flags outside their trailer with pride. Congrats
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:03 pm to dannyripms78
quote:
dannyripms78
quote:
pms
Clearly
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:15 pm to CBandits82
quote:
I thought we started football in 2000?
For LSU to be ranked so high, they obviously had to have some pre-2000 accomplishments on their resume. With that said, if you look at the numbers of the Top 17 teams on the list, here they are ranked in order by percentage of total points accumulated since 2000:
Percentage of Total Points Accumulated Since 2000:
55.9%- LSU
49.8%- Clemson
48.2%- Florida
43.6$- Ohio State
42.9%- Alabama
41.5%- Georgia
41.1%- Auburn
40.3%- USC
37.1%- Texas
36.3%- Florida State
35.1%- Oklahoma
33.5%- AVERAGE OF ALL TOP 17 TEAMS
30.0%- Miami
19.2%- Penn State
19.0%- Michigan
12.8%- Tennessee
12.4%- Notre Dame
8.7%- Nebraska
So while yes it is true that LSU had pre-2000 accomplishments, the critics are also right: LSU's program status has benefited more since 2000 than any other program in college football.
Pre 2000 LSU was not even close to blue blood status.... it was probably not even "elite."
If you were to use this same ranking at the end of the 1999 season, this is how the rankings would have looked:
1. Nebraska- 745
2. Alabama- 707
3. Oklahoma- 573
4. Michigan- 563
5. Penn State- 511
6. Miami- 509
7. USC- 504
8. Notre Dame- 479
9. Florida St.- 468
10. Tennessee- 414
11. Texas- 390
12. Florida- 331
13. Auburn- 303
14. UCLA- 300
15. Georgia- 284
16. Washington- 253
17. Texas A&M- 239
17. Arkansas- 239
19. LSU- 237
20. Clemson- 213
Remember, this is coming off the disastrous 1990s for LSU football, so LSU would have had almost zero points for the most recent 10 years.... which are weighted the highest.
So there is some truth to the "didn't play football before 2000" arguments.
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:19 pm to BHMKyle
quote:I liked your ranking until I saw your pree 1999 rankings
Pre 2000 LSU was not even close to blue blood status.... it was probably not even "elite."
If you were to use this same ranking at the end of the 1999 season, this is how the rankings would have looked:
I have a hard time finding any legit publication or ranking that would have had a&m,arky, washington, and auburn over lsu pre 1999
That isnt homerism. I think that pre 1999 ranking looks very suspect
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:32 pm to lsupride87
quote:
I liked your ranking until I saw your pree 1999 rankings
I have a hard time finding any legit publication or ranking that would have had a&m,arky, washington, and auburn over lsu pre 1999
I don't know why it would be so hard to beleive... especially considering accomplishments happening closer to 1999 would be rewarded at the highest levels.
If you look at straight AP Poll Points accumulated between 1936 and 1999, here is how those teams looked:
11. UCLA- 467
12. Auburn- 417
13. LSU- 402
14. Arkansas- 393
15. Florida St- 387
16. Miami- 386
17. Georgia- 376
18. Michigan St.- 352
19. Texas A&M- 329
20. Florida- 328
21. Washington- 300
Even with no weighting, Auburn's program was ranked above LSU's in 1999 in terms of AP Poll Points. Arkansas' was just narrowly behind. But remember, Auburn had had far more success in the 1980s and 1990s compared to LSU... and the golden age of Arkansas football occurred from about 1959-1989.... so they weren't far removed from that. Which is why they would have scored so high at the end of the '90s.
Washington was coming off a National Championship within the past 10 years, so they would have scored a lot of points for that.
And Texas A&M... not too far behind LSU in straight up AP Points at the time... was coming off their Golden Age of football in the 1980s and 1990s. They would be receiving a ton of points for their more recent success.
The reason you don't like this system in 1999 is precisely the reason you DO like it in 2018.... it gives an extra reward to programs who've accomplished big things in recent years. The very same reason LSU looked bad in 1999 is the same exact reason they look so strong in the wake of the Saban/Miles era.
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:41 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
If you were to use this same ranking at the end of the 1999 season, this is how the rankings would have looked:
1. Nebraska- 745
2. Alabama- 707
3. Oklahoma- 573
4. Michigan- 563
5. Penn State- 511
6. Miami- 509
7. USC- 504
8. Notre Dame- 479
9. Florida St.- 468
10. Tennessee- 414
11. Texas- 390
12. Florida- 331
13. Auburn- 303
14. UCLA- 300
15. Georgia- 284
16. Washington- 253
17. Texas A&M- 239
17. Arkansas- 239
19. LSU- 237
20. Clemson- 213
You omitted Ohio State on this list. I'm sure they would have still been in the top 10 and probably top 5.
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:41 pm to BHMKyle
LSU had a better winning pct than arky, uf, a&m and uf, more bowl wins than all, the same amount of national titles, and more conference titles than auburn and uf in 1999 (didnt compare conference titles with arky and a&m since diff conference)
Thats why it seems strange to see them ahead of lsu
I think your system is fine, but the pre 1999 rankings showed faults to me. Thats all
Thats why it seems strange to see them ahead of lsu

I think your system is fine, but the pre 1999 rankings showed faults to me. Thats all

Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:42 pm to BHMKyle
quote:Big things like win pct, conference titles, national titles, and bowl wins?
The reason you don't like this system in 1999 is precisely the reason you DO like it in 2018.... it gives an extra reward to programs who've accomplished big things in recent years. The very same reason LSU looked bad in 1999 is the same exact reason they look so strong in the wake of the Saban/Miles era.
Because lsu had the edge in all those things

I think the recency factor you added is fine. But I think it distorts things a little more when you go back in time
The weighting from a statistical analysis standpoint should be weighted differently when you set the ranking point 20 years in the past
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:47 pm to BHMKyle
quote:Many LSU Pump Lump Nut Butter Cheerleader MA's (Mediocrity Acceptor's) think it's perfectly fine for the last NC to be way back in the 2007.
8. LSU 2007- 74.06 points


How about all those recent SEC/SEC West Championships too?


Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:51 pm to lsupride87
Maybe LSU should have been better pre 1999 to appease you. 

This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:53 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:53 pm to Barstools
quote:I mean I really dont care
Maybe you guys should have been better pre 1999 to appease you.

But you arent even right in what you are saying. According to his system, you should say "Why wasnt lsu better in the recent years leading up to 1999"
Even though it benefits us, I think the recency bias weighted system doesnt make much sense for all time rankings
Personally I dont care about what happened 40 years ago, but from an all time perspective, it seems odd is would count less
This post was edited on 6/14/18 at 1:54 pm
Posted on 6/14/18 at 1:56 pm to BHMKyle
As long as “recent history” is defined as since 1980.
Posted on 6/14/18 at 2:07 pm to lsupride87
I think it's because thing change over the course of history. Traditionally good programs slip (Minnesota) and traditionally shitty programs improve (Florida).
Should Princeton and Yale be on that list? From an all time perspective, they deserve to be in the discussion. Shouldn't matter that 40 years ago they were reclassified as D1-AA. Right?
Should Princeton and Yale be on that list? From an all time perspective, they deserve to be in the discussion. Shouldn't matter that 40 years ago they were reclassified as D1-AA. Right?
Posted on 6/14/18 at 2:37 pm to lsupride87
The 2004 AU team was harmed, IMO, by having gone 0-2 against USC in 2002 and 2003 and neither game was particularly close. I think voters looked at that and thought to themselves that they knew who the better team was (not saying they are right, b/c teams improve from year to year and AU may have been able to beat USC, but i do think that recent history factored in with some voters)
Posted on 6/14/18 at 2:56 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
Can't agree with this. Right now, there are maybe 10-12 programs with a legitimate shot. Just look at who's made the playoffs for the last four years. It's mostly the same teams. There are a lot fewer haves than have nots in college football.
Yeah I was being gracious. You are closer to the actual number......
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