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Analytics strongly indicate that LSU will not win the NC this year
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:45 pm
If you go by history, you need to be ranked in the top 10 or top 15 in Defensive FEI to win a NC.
2018 Clemson- #2
2017 Alabama- #2
2016 Clemson- #9
2015 Alabama- #1
2014 Ohio State- #14
2013 Florida State- #1
2012 Alabama- #1
2011 Alabama- #1
2009 Alabama- #1
2008 Florida- #2
2007 LSU- #9
LSU is currently ranked 29th in Defensive FEI. 10 out of the past 12 teams that won the NC were ranked top 10 in defensive FEI and 11 out of the last 12 NC teams were ranked in the top 15. The only team to buck that trend? 2010 Auburn was 36th in Defensive FEI. But even 2010 Auburn had numerous games when they stepped up defensively like shutting down Alabama's offense in the second half of the Iron Bowl which allowed them to have a huge comeback win. Or holding the high-powered Oregon offense to 19 points and 75 rushing yards in the NC game. I have severe questions about LSU's ability to grind out a win if a team like Clemson is able to keep their offense in check.
2018 Clemson- #2
2017 Alabama- #2
2016 Clemson- #9
2015 Alabama- #1
2014 Ohio State- #14
2013 Florida State- #1
2012 Alabama- #1
2011 Alabama- #1
2009 Alabama- #1
2008 Florida- #2
2007 LSU- #9
LSU is currently ranked 29th in Defensive FEI. 10 out of the past 12 teams that won the NC were ranked top 10 in defensive FEI and 11 out of the last 12 NC teams were ranked in the top 15. The only team to buck that trend? 2010 Auburn was 36th in Defensive FEI. But even 2010 Auburn had numerous games when they stepped up defensively like shutting down Alabama's offense in the second half of the Iron Bowl which allowed them to have a huge comeback win. Or holding the high-powered Oregon offense to 19 points and 75 rushing yards in the NC game. I have severe questions about LSU's ability to grind out a win if a team like Clemson is able to keep their offense in check.
This post was edited on 12/2/19 at 12:48 pm
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Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:46 pm to Bench McElroy
Joe Burrow defies analytics....he is going to make up a new one.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:46 pm to Bench McElroy
I was told that LSU could not beat Bama because LSU had lost the previous 8 times. 
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:47 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
LSU is currently ranked 36th in Defensive FEI.
quote:
2010 Auburn was 36th in Defensive FEI.
So, you either have to be top 10 or #36.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:47 pm to Bench McElroy
Our defense fared well at Tuscaloosa against their prolific offense. We have faced ATM, UF, Auburn, all great defenses and barely blinked.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:48 pm to Bench McElroy
you sound petty
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:49 pm to dawgdayafternoon
quote:
So, you either have to be top 10 or #36.
I
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:49 pm to Bench McElroy
LSU is not good and has no chance!
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:50 pm to Bench McElroy
I’ll let you guess who else isn’t gonna win it! Lol. Think hard
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:51 pm to Bench McElroy
History repeats itself, until it doesn’t.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:52 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
But even 2010 Auburn had numerous games when they stepped up defensively like shutting down Alabama's offense in the second half of the Iron Bow
And, LSU shut down Bama's offense in the first half. So...same?
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:55 pm to Bench McElroy
Y'all sure are LSU obsessed. The fall of the Gumps is a sad thing to witness.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:56 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
Analytics strongly indicate that BAMA will be in the CFP this year
If you go by history, Bama will be in the Playoffs.
Years of CFP:
2019 ?
2018 Bama in
2017 Bama in
2016 Bama in
2015 Bama in
2014 Bama in
How's that analytics working for you?
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:56 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
I have severe questions about LSU's ability to grind out a win if a team like Clemson is able to keep their offense in check.
Like we did against UF's really good defense or AU's really good defense?
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:56 pm to Bench McElroy
The "metrics" also "indicate" you should try to be Alabama if you want to win the national title, and we all know that shite ain't happening this year.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:57 pm to Bench McElroy
Just think if we played Atm 12 times in a row. We’d still be 12-0. 
This post was edited on 12/2/19 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:57 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
But even 2010 Auburn had numerous games when they stepped up defensively like shutting down Alabama's offense in the second half of the Iron Bowl which allowed them to have a huge comeback win.
Sounds like LSU this year. They step up when it matters.
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:59 pm to Bench McElroy
Also, LSU has 3 wins against teams in the 12 of FEI and will be 4 if we beat UGA saturday soooooooo
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:59 pm to Bench McElroy
Just like analytics said Bama would stomp Clemson last year....oh wait......
And by the way quit being a whiny bitch throwing a toddler temper tantrum
And by the way quit being a whiny bitch throwing a toddler temper tantrum
This post was edited on 12/2/19 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 12/2/19 at 12:59 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
2010 Auburn
Well, there it is.
But then they had a Heisman winning QB...
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