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Why is the tu/Arkansas line only -6.5

Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:45 am
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50712 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:45 am
FPI only gives Arkansas a 33% chance. Sagarin has it even lower.

t.u. is ranked 15 with a ranked win while Arkansas had some trouble with Rice.

What am I missing here?
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
20025 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:46 am to
Vegas be saying…

Posted by All Gas No Brakes
Member since Jul 2021
448 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:46 am to
Road game hostile environment against a team that played several top SEC teams tough last year
TX has a RS Fr Qb and new coaching staff
This post was edited on 9/9/21 at 11:47 am
Posted by GeauxTigerNation
Member since 1988
Member since Nov 2013
13429 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:47 am to
Because Texas is fricked
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
8317 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 11:54 am to
Because half of the money is coming in on one side.. and half of it is coming in on the other side..

Texas should win this game, but I 100% believe that Arkansas can win this game.

The crowd will be electric. Texas has a new coach, with a new offense, and a new QB. There are a lot of question marks.

On top of that, Odom actually played Sark pretty good last year. The score was lopsided, but it wasn’t really because of the offense. They had a punt return and several turnovers which gave them a short field.

Mac Jones had 0 passing touchdowns
The longest pass play was like 23 yards

That being said, the RBs did have a big day. But Texas doesn’t have that OL.

Odom will force a young QB to drive down the field and not make any mistakes.. It’s an interesting matchup that could go either way.

The other side of the ball is where I think Texas wins this game. I think Jefferson throws some picks.. and I think Texas scores on special teams.

Texas 45
Arkansas 17
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11221 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 12:04 pm to
Arkansas secondary is gonna have a field day with a freshman QB on the road
Posted by Jacknola
New Orleans
Member since May 2013
4366 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 12:05 pm to
I watched Arkansas vs Rice last night. As much as I’d like to see the hogs win against TX, they were bad against Rice, I mean weak in the LOS. …It took two ints for AK to win.

Unless TX is weaker than Rice, I don’t see AK winning.,too bad..
Posted by Vecchio Cane
Ivory Tower
Member since Jul 2016
17820 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 12:13 pm to
So they’re obviously pushing us to bet on Texas…..
and what should that tell us?
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71591 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 12:17 pm to
Home. If we were away it would be at least -13.5+. First sell out, Pittman covers spread often.
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
20493 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 12:24 pm to
It's a TD basically on the road. Texass hasn't exactly been nails on the road.
Posted by Boomer Sooner 1890
Member since Jul 2021
487 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 1:53 pm to
Arky has been historically bad recently. So bad aggy has a 9 game winning streak.

Why have 3 of the last 4 aggy wins been by 7 or fewer pts?
Why have 5 of the last 7 aggy wins been by 7 or fewer pts?
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
5081 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Why is the tu/Arkansas line only -6.5


I'd guess pity
Posted by ColoradoAg
Colorado
Member since Sep 2011
22163 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 3:39 pm to
It's because Texas sucks, OP
This post was edited on 9/9/21 at 5:17 pm
Posted by RoscoeHarper
Edmond, OK
Member since Aug 2011
4539 posts
Posted on 9/9/21 at 4:36 pm to
I think Texas covers, but it will be a good hard fought game.

Horns 27
Hogs 17
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