Bama -39

If the qbs struggle and we go heavy on ball control and the running game, we won't cover that if MTSU puts up ten points.

I don't know if that talked you out of it or not. I fully expect us to win by 50.

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f the qbs struggle and we go heavy on ball control and the running game, we won't cover that if MTSU puts up ten points.

I don't know if that talked you out of it or not. I fully expect us to win by 50.

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Now that's a backdoor cover.

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For one thing MTSU is usually a somewhat decent non-P5 school. They should at least put up somewhat of a fight.

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So 6 points and losing by 38 points is "somewhat of a fight"?

Because you wrote this in the prediction thread:

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Alabama - 44
MTSU - 6

300 yards of passing

210 for Milroe
90 for Simpson/Buchner

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Yes, winning by 38 points does not cover -39.

But, I was asking about the other points made in the post.

I expect us to slow the game down and keep it somewhat vanilla with Texas looming next week. Yeah maybe we want the QBs to get the reps, but I feel like the most important thing will be to establish the run. So I think it falls under the number. Garbage TD by either team could swing it either way though.

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but I feel like the most important thing will be to establish the run.

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Yeah, and with the new clock rules this year, this game might fly by if we focus on running the ball.

I don’t gamble. LOL.

I got it 31-0. I think we see a ground control offense and smothering defense plus the time changes they made to game.

I wouldn’t touch 39

I wouldn't touch that. Especially with the unknowns with the teams and clock rules. Saban may decide to suffocate the clock rather than score like in years past.

I'd recommend holding off on betting altogether until the scores and the associated lines normalize to the new clock rules. I have a feeling that scores and spreads may be down a bit from previous years. Ball control comes way more into play now and where teams may have padded some scores, may be able to simply run out the clock rather than post more points.