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Bama -39
Posted on 8/31/23 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 8/31/23 at 1:51 pm
Talk me out of this. Saban probably wants to make a statement after all offseason chatter. I can see him not calling the dogs off until it’s way out of hand. I can’t imagine they’ll score much on our D. Seems like easy money.
9
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:00 pm to Allthatfades
If the qbs struggle and we go heavy on ball control and the running game, we won't cover that if MTSU puts up ten points.
I don't know if that talked you out of it or not. I fully expect us to win by 50.
I don't know if that talked you out of it or not. I fully expect us to win by 50.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:14 pm to Remiden
quote:
we won't cover that
quote:
I fully expect us to win by 50
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:38 pm to Remiden
quote:
f the qbs struggle and we go heavy on ball control and the running game, we won't cover that if MTSU puts up ten points.
I don't know if that talked you out of it or not. I fully expect us to win by 50.
Now that's a backdoor cover.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:44 pm to Allthatfades
Definitely shouldn't bet on this game.
For one thing MTSU is usually a somewhat decent non-P5 school. They should at least put up somewhat of a fight.
But mostly, we are starting a QB who is known to have deficiencies in the passing game, and we're going to be experimenting a lot on offense and rotating more than 1 QB.
Too much is unknown about this team and the gameplan to bet on this game imo
For one thing MTSU is usually a somewhat decent non-P5 school. They should at least put up somewhat of a fight.
But mostly, we are starting a QB who is known to have deficiencies in the passing game, and we're going to be experimenting a lot on offense and rotating more than 1 QB.
Too much is unknown about this team and the gameplan to bet on this game imo
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:51 pm to CrimsonBuddha
quote:
For one thing MTSU is usually a somewhat decent non-P5 school. They should at least put up somewhat of a fight.
So 6 points and losing by 38 points is "somewhat of a fight"?
Because you wrote this in the prediction thread:
quote:
Alabama - 44
MTSU - 6
300 yards of passing
210 for Milroe
90 for Simpson/Buchner
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:53 pm to Sl0thstronautEsq
Well we still don’t cover if we win 44-6.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 2:54 pm to bigpapamac
Yes, winning by 38 points does not cover -39. But, I was asking about the other points made in the post.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 3:03 pm to Allthatfades
Don't touch this man....
Posted on 8/31/23 at 3:03 pm to Sl0thstronautEsq
I expect us to slow the game down and keep it somewhat vanilla with Texas looming next week. Yeah maybe we want the QBs to get the reps, but I feel like the most important thing will be to establish the run. So I think it falls under the number. Garbage TD by either team could swing it either way though.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 3:07 pm to 3moredays
quote:
but I feel like the most important thing will be to establish the run.
Yeah, and with the new clock rules this year, this game might fly by if we focus on running the ball.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 3:22 pm to Allthatfades
quote:
Saban probably wants to make a statement after all offseason chatter.
I don't believe this
Posted on 8/31/23 at 3:48 pm to Pastor Mike
I don’t gamble. LOL.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 4:32 pm to Allthatfades
I think he'll go vanilla and prevent D ASAP not to give anything away, which includes finality on who may or may not be the QB.
They could cover 45+, but 2/3rd team D gets some reps and O will be shut down. Saban in big spread games vs small teams is not always a great bet.
They could cover 45+, but 2/3rd team D gets some reps and O will be shut down. Saban in big spread games vs small teams is not always a great bet.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 5:05 pm to Allthatfades
I got it 31-0. I think we see a ground control offense and smothering defense plus the time changes they made to game.
Posted on 8/31/23 at 5:21 pm to Allthatfades
I’m fading all the big lines week 1, the changes to the clock will make it hard for a lot of teams to hit the number unless they pitch a shutout or near one
Posted on 8/31/23 at 9:59 pm to Allthatfades
I wouldn’t touch 39
Posted on 9/1/23 at 9:48 am to CrimsonBuddha
Bet the over, not the spread.
Posted on 9/1/23 at 10:23 am to Allthatfades
I wouldn't touch that. Especially with the unknowns with the teams and clock rules. Saban may decide to suffocate the clock rather than score like in years past.
I'd recommend holding off on betting altogether until the scores and the associated lines normalize to the new clock rules. I have a feeling that scores and spreads may be down a bit from previous years. Ball control comes way more into play now and where teams may have padded some scores, may be able to simply run out the clock rather than post more points.
I'd recommend holding off on betting altogether until the scores and the associated lines normalize to the new clock rules. I have a feeling that scores and spreads may be down a bit from previous years. Ball control comes way more into play now and where teams may have padded some scores, may be able to simply run out the clock rather than post more points.
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