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Georgia I Mean this as No Disrespect: Is Tennessee +9 the Easiest Play in History?
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:35 am
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:35 am
Georgia is a great team and program but does anyone see Tennessee not keeping this thing within 10 points?
What am I missing?
Speak now or just let the books take my money
What am I missing?
Speak now or just let the books take my money
26
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:38 am to Tarpon08
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:39 am to Tarpon08
It is a weird line. Tennessee ranked higher. I can’t remember and #1 team being this big of an underdog.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:39 am to Tarpon08
We probably win by 17.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:41 am to Tarpon08
LSU -2.5 against Tennessee this year was an easier play by a country mile.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:46 am to Tarpon08
I really don't think this game is going to be that close. Georgia wins comfortably. Tennessee's pass defense is one of the worst in the nation and Georgia has the defense to slow down Tennessee. Muschamp is gonna show Pete Golding how it's done, but unfortunately, Golding won't be taking notes.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:46 am to Tarpon08
Georgia may not even win. They are getting tighter by the day.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:47 am to Tarpon08
Playoff committee doesnt have many competent people on it like it has had in the past.
That will become apparent this weekend.
The ohio stat number 2 was the worst explanation i have ever heard.
That will become apparent this weekend.
The ohio stat number 2 was the worst explanation i have ever heard.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:48 am to Tarpon08
Tennessee runs to open the pass.
What happens when you stop the run without committing safeties?
UGA has the ability to run to open the pass.
Or the ability to play the quick passing game to open the run.
Or the ability to play the intermediate passing game to open the run.
We are missing the home run ball (McConkey having a sophomore slump, AD Mitchell out for months, Arian Smith out for months, no Pickens/Burton).
But we are not relying on busts to break defenses.
Even our run game is multiple. We are running over teams with both zone and power schemes. We are hitting the endzone running with our backs, WR/TE sweeps, and QB runs.
What happens when you stop the run without committing safeties?
UGA has the ability to run to open the pass.
Or the ability to play the quick passing game to open the run.
Or the ability to play the intermediate passing game to open the run.
We are missing the home run ball (McConkey having a sophomore slump, AD Mitchell out for months, Arian Smith out for months, no Pickens/Burton).
But we are not relying on busts to break defenses.
Even our run game is multiple. We are running over teams with both zone and power schemes. We are hitting the endzone running with our backs, WR/TE sweeps, and QB runs.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:49 am to Tarpon08
If VOLS offense has an off-day, UGA wins by 30.
Defense is a more reliable indicator of success.
Defense is a more reliable indicator of success.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 7:50 am to Tarpon08
quote:
does anyone see Tennessee not keeping this thing within 10 points?
Yes
Posted on 11/2/22 at 8:10 am to Tarpon08
Id be suprised if uga can keep it within single digits of us to be honest.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 8:14 am to Tarpon08
Tennessee wins. Bigly.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 8:46 am to Tarpon08
quote:
What am I missing?
UGA quite literally has the #2 offense in the nation (behind UT at #1). UGA has a much better defense than UT. The game is in Athens.
The logic behind the line isn't hard to miss (even if you disagree). UGA's defense is more likely to get a few stops against UT's offense then UT's defense is against UGA's offense if both play to their form.
Thus the line.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 9:10 am to Tarpon08
quote:
Georgia I Mean this as No Disrespect: Is Tennessee +9 the Easiest Play in History?
I agree in that it isn't disrespectful to Georgia, but I agree with you. I think Tennessee is good for 30+ points this Saturday. Tennessee's defensive line has been playing well, and I don't see Stetson Bennett lighting up their secondary. Easy, easy play, in my opinion.
This post was edited on 11/2/22 at 9:12 am
Posted on 11/2/22 at 9:19 am to Tarpon08
Easiest bet of the weekend - take UGA and lay the points, especially if you can get a line under 14
Posted on 11/2/22 at 9:40 am to Tarpon08
quote:
Easiest Play in History
Famous last words
Posted on 11/2/22 at 9:55 am to Tarpon08
It will with be a close game where UT has a chance to win late or the dawgs jump them early and it’s over at half and UGA goes 6 minute offense with all the backs and just kills the game. Which is exactly what I expect to happen.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 10:28 am to Tarpon08
quote:
What am I missing?
I learned this from a guy who gambles for a living. His only job. Mainly bet on sports but did hit the casinos and count cards ever so often.
He said Vegas bets on games as well. Most of the time they're trying to get even money on games, but if they spot where a national narrative and belief has two teams closer than where they should be, they'll try to exploit it and make it look like "the easiest play in history".
I'm not saying that's what is going on here. They've moved this spread down a point and a half. But 80% of the bets are going UT. Don't know if the money is that far off.
BTW, it's not like they win their bets 100 percent of the time. He said they are right somewhere between 52 to 55% of the time any given year. So, that'd still mean there's a good chance they are wrong even if they feel UGA will win comfortably.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 10:38 am to Tarpon08
LSU and UK were much easier. At least UGA could realistically cover those points
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