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re: Will a 9-9 SEC record get you in the NCAA Tournament?

Posted on 1/19/25 at 1:52 pm to
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
8712 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 1:52 pm to
9-9 = lock for any SEC due to how many Quad wins it will take to get to 9-9

8-10 very likely again due to not getting to 8 without a few Quad 1 wins and most SEC teams have quality OOC wins.

7-11 would be very dicey depending on bubble.

Conference record isn't really a criteria the NCAA considers as a resume point since they break down the games into quality quads.
Posted by TideTurf
Member since Sep 2009
3551 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

No way a 7-11 record gets you in. No way.


This will get you in if you make a run in the SEC Tournament. Say get to the finals.
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
17172 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

No way a 7-11 record gets you in. No way.


If Auburn played without Broome for 6 weeks and ended at 7-11?

They would get in the tourney.
Posted by manonwheels28
Member since May 2015
195 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 4:52 pm to
Yes, the SEC is the toughest conference in America. A .500 conference record HAS to get you in.
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
11396 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 5:01 pm to
I know LSU won’t finish 9-9. You guys fight that off. Baseball can’t get here soon enough.
Posted by Murph4HOF
A-T-L-A-N-T-A (that's where I stay)
Member since Sep 2019
15320 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 5:04 pm to
Without a doubt this season.

Hell, there will probably be some 8-10 SEC teams in the NCAAT.
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6445 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 5:36 pm to
8-10 is automatic.
Posted by Godawgs4
Member since Aug 2016
4773 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 6:33 pm to
If you are 7-11 and make it to the conference semifinals or finals then I think that team will be in. They will need to at least win two tournament games at a minimum.
Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1971 posts
Posted on 1/19/25 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Auburn has played 11 quad 1 games and has 11 remaining, with 2 quad 2 remaining . 9-9 is a lock.


If Auburn goes 9-9 then the city will be burning worse than LA is right now.
Posted by Hogfan13
Member since Jul 2019
3245 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 8:40 am to
quote:

No way a 7-11 record gets you in. No way.


Let's revisit this. I said that 9-9 was a lock, and essentially, so is 8-10. I said "the right team" could even get in at 7-11. You said no team could get in at 7-11.


Tell me that no one on this list makes it at 8-10 or 7-11.

Tennessee (8-5) #6 in the nation. 0-5 from here would put them 8-10.
Ole Miss (8-5) #24. Same as TN
Kentucky (7-6) #17. 0-5 puts them at 7-11
MSU (7-6) #21 Same as Kentucky
Vanderbilt (5-8). 3-2 or 2-3 puts them at 8-10 or 7-11
Texas (5-8) Same as Vandy
Arkansas (4-9) 4-1 or 3-2 puts us at 8-10 or 7-11
Georgia (4-9) same as us
LSU (3-10) 5-0 or 4-1 put them at 8-10 or 7-11
Oklahoma (3-10) same as LSU

Fwiw - TN, OM, KY, and MSU are noted as "locks" in the latest Bubble Watch. The next 4 on my list have "work to do", same for Oklahoma. LSU is 1% as a long shot.

I would posit that any of these teams are in at 7-11, except maybe Kentucky and MSU because that means they finish 0-5 down the stretch. Vanderbilt and Texas are questionable too, I guess, since they would have to finish 2-3. It really depends on which 2 they won. Otherwise, the teams are already a lock, or they would finish on a flurry of wins in the SEC to get to 7-11.

Certainly NONE of these teams are missing at 8-10. Some 9-9 teams will likely be seeded very high in the NCAAT.


Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
16275 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 9:39 am to
Yes
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
19576 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 9:47 am to
State is the only team I think would be left out at 7-11 because they would heve to lose their next five against the weaker part of their schedule.

at Oklahoma
at Alabama
Texas
LSU
at Arkansas

With the exception of Alabama, these are games that they should win. Most likely outcome is 10-8, then 11-7, then 9-9, then 12-6, then 7-11.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
103897 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 9:57 am to
quote:

I would posit that any of these teams are in at 7-11, except maybe Kentucky and MSU because that means they finish 0-5 down the stretch.


Kentucky would likely make it in due to the consideration of injuries (different team with Butler and Robinson healthy) and we have some Quad 1A wins outside of the conference.

Last night they were talking on the broadcast that they're going to look at the whole body of work and the SEC doing really well in the OOC will help float some of those teams with an under .500 conference record. And because almost everyone is Quad 1, Quad 1 losses don't hurt you as much.

Vandy for example is showing as an 11 seed right now.
Posted by Captain Falcon
Member since Apr 2020
774 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 9:58 am to
State went 8-10 in a weaker SEC last year and was an 8 seed, not especially close to the bubble. 8-10 in this SEC is a stone cold lock. I think 7-11 would work for several teams.
This post was edited on 2/20/25 at 9:58 am
Posted by BigScoreboard
Member since May 2021
1608 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 9:58 am to
Yes
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
30898 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 10:23 am to
Well OU is 3-10 and projected as a 10 seed
Posted by Al Bundy Bulldog
The Grindfather
Member since Dec 2010
36176 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 10:57 am to
8-10 will
Posted by themetalreb
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2018
5865 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 11:01 am to
It is just tough to conceive….I’ll say this: barring bizarre circumstances, (like missing 2 or 3 starters for 3 weeks), I would be very nervous to put in a team on a 6 game skid if I were the committee….it just doesn’t feel right. One thing that will help the SEC is the fact that the ACC is utter trash. They’re gonna have hardly anybody represent. I mean, you’ve gotta fill up the 68 slots with somebody.

So I guess I was wrong. At this point I guess I can see where a “certain” 7-11 SEC team could make it. It still doesn’t seem right.
Posted by GreyReb
Member since Jun 2010
4353 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 11:06 am to
Have yall seen everybody’s NET.

7-11 is in this year.

Arkansas at 6-12 might sneak in
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84089 posts
Posted on 2/20/25 at 11:09 am to
quote:

this point I guess I can see where a “certain” 7-11 SEC team could make it. It still doesn’t seem right.


shut up bish
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