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re: Which SEC team do you like over/under W-L total (gamblers)
Posted on 7/15/19 at 4:14 pm to Terrific Tales
Posted on 7/15/19 at 4:14 pm to Terrific Tales
quote:
About the trends, yes trends are broken but in this case we are making predictions. Kentucky had a losing streak to florida, so no one would predict them to beat Florida. It’s true that they bucked the trend and finally beat Florida, but that doesn’t change that the safe pick was to bet on Florida. Until auburn or A&M beat LSU in BR, the safe bet is to stay with the trend that they won’t.
If we were just looking at one trend I could agree but the more trends you add it increases the chances of one breaking.
Would I say LSU beats Auburn and A&M? Yes but I don't think it is strange to suggest they will lose one of those games. There is a reason in general these win/loss totals are fairly close to the projections. I honestly think any fan arguing that their team wouldn't go under is being a little bit of a homer.
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Posted on 7/15/19 at 4:37 pm to rockiee
Except that 9 is the lowest win projection I have seen for us, and the guy said under. So he thinks we will lose 4 games.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 4:50 pm to Terrific Tales
quote:
the guy said under
And he clarified with this
quote:
Well I think 8 is more probable than 10. I did say I think they'll likely push
He didn't pick a push for any of the lines so I'm fairly sure he was just going under the assumption you had to pick either way which changes it a little. Besides, you said over which was my point as well.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 5:06 pm to Monkey business
Mississippi State- Over easily
Posted on 7/15/19 at 5:48 pm to ElectricWizard0
Outside of Alabama, LSU toughest games are at home. LSU will win 10 games. They will be Texas like a rented mule. It will be on par to what Georgia does to ND. Well maybe not that bad but it will be bad. LSU is easily a ten win team with the returnees they have.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 8:13 pm to Terrific Tales
Looks like you will make lots of money when LSU wins 10 games so congrats.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 8:28 pm to Terrific Tales
quote:
No offense to Ms State but they will be worse on defense than last year and not really improved on offense at all. They scored 3 points on us last year and we willl be better in defense.
Regarding defense: obviously... they were #1 in the country last year. Regarding offense, that is a totally unfounded statement. New QB that actually knows Moorhead’s system and multiple new WRs that no one knows how they’ll perform leaves many question marks. Just blanket saying it won’t be improved after the shite show Fitzgerald laid out there last year is just wrong.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 9:14 pm to PorkDawg
quote:
New QB that actually knows Moorhead’s system and multiple new WRs that no one knows how they’ll perform leaves many question marks. Just blanket saying it won’t be improved after the shite show Fitzgerald laid out there last year is just wrong.
You first statement reads just as true for Arkansas as MS St.
The difference is Fitz accounted for 29 TDs last season and AR's QBs accounted for 16.
So how is your QB and incoming WRs that much better?
Edit: That much better than last season, not AR. To clarify for poop flingers.
This post was edited on 7/15/19 at 9:15 pm
Posted on 7/15/19 at 9:51 pm to Monkey business
OP- yep, I'm a homer, but I do think LSU would be a strong bet to beat 9 wins.
12 games. Pencil in Alabama as a loss. That gives you 11 games to win 10.
Returning a senior QB with more time and experience with the team, O line should look good against everyone not Bama, RB should be better, defense should be at least as good. Questionable ST play, kicker likely not as good, PR should be tons better.
Road game to open @ Texas is key. They won the Sugar but shouldn't be as good, but playing @ home is bigger than lots of people want to admit. Can't let the Horns jump out early, or hang around late, that would be dangerous. I think LSU wins by 14.
Should be favored @ home over Fla, A&M, Auburn. If we lose 2, the 2nd loss would come from that group, I think. Considering Auburn is rebuilding and the other 2 are revenge games, I actually feel confident we should go 3-0.
Rest of the schedule, while competitive, should be W's. Can't lose to a Miss State team that lost their QB and is a year removed from Mullen, and expect to keep any respect. And that's the toughest game from that group.
Honestly think if Burrow stays healthy, LSU should be a pretty good pick for 11-1. 10-2 would be a letdown, but not a disaster. 9 or less, Orgeron might want to update his resume.
12 games. Pencil in Alabama as a loss. That gives you 11 games to win 10.
Returning a senior QB with more time and experience with the team, O line should look good against everyone not Bama, RB should be better, defense should be at least as good. Questionable ST play, kicker likely not as good, PR should be tons better.
Road game to open @ Texas is key. They won the Sugar but shouldn't be as good, but playing @ home is bigger than lots of people want to admit. Can't let the Horns jump out early, or hang around late, that would be dangerous. I think LSU wins by 14.
Should be favored @ home over Fla, A&M, Auburn. If we lose 2, the 2nd loss would come from that group, I think. Considering Auburn is rebuilding and the other 2 are revenge games, I actually feel confident we should go 3-0.
Rest of the schedule, while competitive, should be W's. Can't lose to a Miss State team that lost their QB and is a year removed from Mullen, and expect to keep any respect. And that's the toughest game from that group.
Honestly think if Burrow stays healthy, LSU should be a pretty good pick for 11-1. 10-2 would be a letdown, but not a disaster. 9 or less, Orgeron might want to update his resume.
Posted on 7/15/19 at 9:54 pm to Monkey business
Damn those are hard lines to play. I with they had to put 0.5 on every total. If I had to say it, over for LSU if it includes bowl game. Stay away if it doesn’t. Over for aTm, over for the barn, under for mizzou, and I’m not touching anything else
Posted on 7/15/19 at 10:08 pm to Scoob
quote:
Road game to open @ Texas is key. They won the Sugar but shouldn't be as good, but playing @ home is bigger than lots of people want to admit. Can't let the Horns jump out early, or hang around late, that would be dangerous. I think LSU wins by 14.
Lol 14
TX will take LSU to wire if not win comfortably
This post was edited on 7/15/19 at 10:09 pm
Posted on 7/16/19 at 4:07 am to CrabInMyShoeMouth
Ahah, so the answer all along wasn’t that I’m a homer, it was that you are a troll. Good to know
Posted on 7/16/19 at 10:30 am to Monkey business
Lsu over
Posted on 7/16/19 at 10:35 am to Monkey business
Love Bama. No way they lose two games
Ole Miss. Can scramble five wins out of that schedule. Four for sure and they gotta get lucky one week.
Ole Miss. Can scramble five wins out of that schedule. Four for sure and they gotta get lucky one week.
Posted on 7/16/19 at 11:00 am to Terrific Tales
quote:
No offense to Ms State but they will be worse on defense than last year and not really improved on offense at all. They scored 3 points on us last year and we willl be better in defense.
LSU caught State at a good time, as State improved on offense immediately after the LSU game, averaging over 30 points per game even counting a zero at Bama. (Game at Bama should have had 7 State points absolutely stolen by the refs and probably 10-14)
State will be even more improved on offense this season due to more familiarity with the system and better passing.
Posted on 7/16/19 at 11:18 am to Monkey business
quote:
Mizzou — 8.5
Over
quote:
Vanderbilt — 4.5
Over
quote:
South Carolina — 5.5
Over
quote:
Mississippi State — 7.5
Under
Those first 2 seem like they might be 2 of the best over/under win total opportunities in college football. The second 2 are more subjective/judgement calls IMO, but I just think Carolina ends up winning 6-7 games and I don't see a likely scenario where Miss St wins 8 with their losses on defense. 7 seems just right.
Posted on 7/16/19 at 11:20 am to Monkey business
quote:
Auburn — 8
That is a well picked line on Auburn. No way I would touch our team at o/u 8 wins.
Posted on 7/16/19 at 11:20 am to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
If I had to say it, over for LSU if it includes bowl game. Stay away if it doesn’t.
It doesn't. Over/Under based on 12 game regular season. Vegas is kinda good at this thing.
Posted on 7/16/19 at 12:35 pm to Terrific Tales
It's just funny because LSU scored and allowed an average of 24 points in true road games (regulation) last season.
That margin is kinda far from 14 so excuse my laughter.
That margin is kinda far from 14 so excuse my laughter.
This post was edited on 7/16/19 at 12:35 pm
Posted on 7/16/19 at 1:21 pm to Terrific Tales
quote:
No offense to Ms State but they will be worse on defense than last year
yea, it's kind of hard to improve the #1 defense in the country. We will still be a top 25 defense. Our LB and Secondary are a team strength.
quote:
not really improved on offense at all
This is just a farce. Anyone else at the QB position is an upgrade in Moorheads offense especially in year 2 of installations. Not to mention, we stole a 1000 yard receiver from KSU and a QB from Penn State who has been making a lot of noise this summer.
This post was edited on 7/16/19 at 1:22 pm
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