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re: Which SEC team do you like over/under W-L total (gamblers)

Posted on 7/16/19 at 2:40 pm to
Posted by rockytop627
Member since Jan 2014
10041 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

Alabama — 11.5 under
Arkansas — 5.5 under
Auburn — 8 over
Florida — 9 under
Georgia — 11 push
Kentucky — 6.5 under
LSU — 9 push
Mississippi State — 7.5 under
Mizzou — 8.5 under
Ole Miss — 5 push
South Carolina — 5.5 over
Tennessee — 6.5 over
Texas A&M — 7.5 over
Vanderbilt — 4.5 over


Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20350 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

t's just funny because LSU scored and allowed an average of 24 points in true road games (regulation) last season.

That margin is kinda far from 14 so excuse my laughter.
I say LSU by 14, because the defense should be borderline elite, the offense should be much better. I think LSU is being overlooked right now nationally, because Alabama just has some voodoo going over the Tigers.

Alabama last year was about even with Georgia, a little more experienced and a little more talented. LSU looked inept (again) against Alabama, but kicked the shite out of Georgia. Lost two other games besides Bama- rivalry road game to Fla, pseudo-rivalry road game to A&M (you know Jimbo had to win at least once against a good team, and LSU was circled in as that). Really could have won both, and both are now home rematches.

Re Texas, they have a bit of a Miami feel about them. Good last season, but still some holes, and BTW they've started slow both seasons under Herman. I think they'll be GOOD, but not great; and I think the schedule and roster line up for LSU to make a run at the playoffs this year.
14 points is a good guess, I see LSU being up in the second half and getting a late score to put the game away. I don't think you play conservative on the road, you can't play to stop Texas with your defense at the end. So maybe 24-17 going into the 4th, and LSU puts one in midway through the 4th to separate and win 31-17.
This post was edited on 7/16/19 at 8:12 pm
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 8:22 pm to
That’s honestly a convincing argument for your position so I’ll give an exalt.

I tend to think Herman uses last season’s opener as motivation and has TX very prepared. LSU’s offense is not bad but far from great. The defense will need to live up to elite hype to win by two TDS I think.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20350 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

That’s honestly a convincing argument for your position so I’ll give an exalt.

I tend to think Herman uses last season’s opener as motivation and has TX very prepared. LSU’s offense is not bad but far from great. The defense will need to live up to elite hype to win by two TDS I think.

I think Texas will come out ready, but I think LSU is going to be just too good. I do think the defense will live up to the elite hype- look at the Alabama game, there wasn't much difference with Queen instead of White at MLB. I think Fulton will be a shutdown corner this year, and Delpit will be All American at safety. The biggest thing should be the return of Chaisson, he elevates the pass rush to a level you didn't see without him last year.

Offensively, Burrow should be more decisive, and I think we have more HR potential at RB than last year. LSU wears teams (other than Bama) down, I think they wear Texas down too.

And like I said, you play for a bigger lead on the road, you put teams away. LSU can use both A&M and Fla as examples of being up late, and letting the home team rally with the crowd. So there will likely be emphasis to get some distance, instead of just milking the clock late.
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