re: Texas fans are confused…..

Beat Aggie, they’re in
Beat OU, they’re in
Beat Vandy, they’re in
Texas Tech
North Texas might be in

frick

Texas beat Vandy. Texas should be in or it is a joke. And not a fan of Texas but it is what it is

We are going to agree to disagree here.

My regret is not just this season. It’s in the fact that the ultimate prize path in college football (Natty) is not equally navigated nor is it equally weighted.

And we will not agree the win against osu is not as powerful as a loss against osu, period. It’s clear the committee is just stack ranking W-L so a loss is far outweighed to a win.

Until there is some form of SOS that is concretely considered and clearly dings teams for scheduling nobodies in the OOC it will clearly not be worth it to schedule a blue blood ooc.

So in your estimation does Texas win against osu and 3 losses to UGA, fl, and say msu get them in?

Bro, I think the committee saw the MSU and Kentucky games too. They’re weighting all that stuff too apparently. The Florida game wasn’t an aberration. If they’re going weigh OUs win over a bad team, they’re definitely going to weigh in two double OT wins over really bad teams.

Texas lost to OU like two years ago and made the playoffs.

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You barely beat lsu and auburn at home. Good the committee ding OU for those games. Both were at home?

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But I mean, we won those games without double OT… so…

You can’t be like “You guys looked horrible against bad teams” then justify a loss to Florida, and two wins that could have honestly gone either way. It’s not happening bro.

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I’m saying I don’t want to take unnecessary risks when they are not weighted equally. Doesn’t matter if it’s a bad or good team in conference a loss is weighted as a loss so no reason to take the risk.

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There are reasons to take the risk, and it depends on how the season plays out. If your team is on the bubble of making the playoffs or of getting a bye, your team's resume will go up against other similar teams, and if you are seen as having played a softer schedule, you won't likely get the nod over another team that has. Beating OSU this year would likely have overcome the loss to Florida and the close wins over other bad teams.

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I also significantly value top 15 wins much more than loses because it shows a team can compete and beat the best.

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Bad losses also show what a team is capable of. If you win three top-15 matchups, but lose 6 other games, what does that tell the committee? Losses are also part of the story: how many losses did you take, who did you lose to, and how bad were the losses are all questions that go into the overall equation.

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An off day and loss to bad opponent doesn’t and shouldn’t define a season IF you have the wins to back it up.

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One loss, sure. And rarely does one loss define a season any more since the inception of the playoffs. The issue with TX wasn't that they had a bad loss, but two bad losses (a bad one to Florida and a beatdown from UGA), and a few bad wins. A win over OSU would have made those other losses and wins easier to overlook, which is why there is a reward for the risk of scheduling good OOC teams.

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Ask yourself honestly and objectively, do you think the committee puts a 10-2 Texas in with wins over OU, atm, and Vandy all top 12 teams with loss to UGA and Fl? If the answer is yes then that’s my point. I think the committee would forgive the Fl loss no problem, however the “3 losses” they stack rank by W-L. Remove the unnecessary risk in the OOC like 95% of other college teams and you eliminate that issue.

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Again, it depends on the season. It's possible if not likely that TX would be a shoe-in for the playoffs this season if they scheduled a rent-a-win instead of OSU. In another season, maybe not. It depends how competitive the field is and what their schedules look like. Going forward, if more talented schools stop scheduling OOC games against better teams, we may see even more 10-2 teams competing for spots, and the strength of schedule may take more position and bad losses will be weighted heavier. Texas is currently the highest rated 3-loss team precisely because of their quality wins, but their loss to Florida in particular has them on the bubble, not the loss to OSU.

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Losing to Ohio State isn’t the issue of concern for Texas. Losing to Florida is.

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We can all say that but the committee is 100% just looking at W/L and not the overall difficulty, not even H2H.

The win total is all that matters, however you get them.

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A&M didn't get roflcoptered by a 4-8 team. Hope this helps!

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shite like that happens during the course of a season. Look at ND losing to directional Illinois last year yet still playing for a natty, or Bama losing to an awful FSU this year. (an FSU that just got curb stomped by the team Billy built)

You could say we'd be in if it weren't for the stumble down in the swamp and you would be correct. That said, it's equally true that if we schedule a cupcake instead of tOSU...the committee isn't punishing a 10-2 Texas team for the gata loss.

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ND was 11-1. Bama is 10-2.

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Exactly, W/L is all that really matters when it comes playoff time, so our AD really needs to rethink the list of big name P4 out of conference schools we have for future schedules...especially tOSU next season.