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re: SOS of the Big 5 + A&M Since Expansion

Posted on 6/25/19 at 5:08 pm to
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37636 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 5:08 pm to
quote:


Looking forward to traveling to Cola this year. Always a fun trip. Wish we did it more often.

You're one of the few I would invite to stop by the Cockaboose if you are so inclined?

Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Just spot checking your work:

2004
SEC-E ranked opponents: UGA (AP: 7) and UT (AP: 13)
SEC-W opponents: Alabama (6-6, unranked), Ole Miss, Arkansas (both finished w/ losing records and unranked)
OOC: Troy, USF, Clemson (finished 6-5, unranked)


In 2003, we played LSU, UGA, UTjr., Ole Miss, Clemson, and UF - all top 25 teams plus Saban's MNC LSU.

In 2005, we played Alabama and UGA - two top 10 teams, plus Auburn, UF, and Clemson. Again all top 25 opponents. You didn't "spot check", you cherry-picked.....

South Carolina has had several top 10 and even top 5 SOS's during our time in the SEC. We played the team that would end up winning the national championship that year in 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010. From 2002 through 2012, the SEC had 27 teams (not named South Carolina) that finished in the Associated Press top 10 final polls, and USC played 18 (.667) of them.

Since 2012, the SEC has had 15 teams other than USC in the final top 10, and USC has played only 5 (.333) of them, so the schedules haven't been as tough overall in that time. But last season we played 2 of the 4 (UF & UGA), plus Clemson who was the NC, plus top 25 teams UK and Texas A&M.

We typically have very strong SOSs every season. Occasionally we have had some weaker ones as well. The 2004 season you chose to pick was about the weakest one we've had since 2002....
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30218 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 5:34 pm to
Quick question GoCrazyAuburn, has an AU President or AD ever seriously pushed the conference hard to get moved to the East?

Has anyone urged the SEC to put it on the agenda so that it can be addressed during the annual SEC meetings?

I’d like to know how the SEC feels about it, and more importantly how Missouri feels about moving to a brutal West right now.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30886 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

You get points for playing opponents that FINISH in the AP Top 25. 25 points for playing a #1 team; 24 points for playing a #2 team, etc. all the way down to getting 1 point for playing a team that finished #25.


So SEC West teams literally got 164 points from playing Alabama.

Without Alabama on their schedule, Auburn's SOS is practically the same as UGA's (328 to 319)

quote:

And before Bama fans reply back that its because they can't play themselves, you are wrong.


No, I'm pretty sure you cannot play yourself.

quote:

Bama somehow has failed to play a single team out of the East during the regular season that finished in the Top 20 at the end of the year. THAT is the biggest issue with the schedules today.


This is why Alabama employs only the best psychics. They knew back in the 90s when Tennessee was finishing Top 10 every year that they'd eventually suck (despite being the second most accomplished SEC school by a wide margin at that point). They also knew that Missouri wouldn't have a good team until the year after they played them, that Florida in 2014 would be terrible back when the schedules were made in 2012 (when Florida finished 11-2).

Here's another bit of intellectual dishonesty in your post:
Alabama in 2015 (national title year) played 10-3 Georgia (unranked - man, the Bulldogs get NO respect), #22 Tennessee (highest ranked SEC East team) and in the SECCG a 10-4 Florida team that finished #25. Literally the SEC East threw the best teams they had at Alabama and lost by a combined 86-39. The only team to come within one score of Alabama is your much maligned Volunteers. Georgia and Florida didn't even get Alabama winded.

2016 only saw two ranked East opponents, Tennessee being one of them. The other, Florida, Alabama beat in the SECCG.

So yeah, the East hasn't provided a lot of "finished in the final AP poll" that Alabama hasn't played.

Because this part:

quote:

MOST DIFFICULT DIVISION SCHEDULES:

1. Texas A&M- 330
2. Auburn- 325
3. LSU- 272
4. Alabama- 205


Literally makes the point of "Alabama doesn't get to play Alabama". The higher the number on THIS stat, it just means the crappier team has the higher rank when they're all in the same division and literally all PLAY EACH OTHER.
Posted by WildTchoupitoulas
Member since Jan 2010
44071 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

Letting black dudes play hasn't been kind to the Vols.

Nor Mississippi.
Posted by MillerLiteTime
Atlanta
Member since Aug 2018
2515 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

The gap between the hardest (Auburn) and the easiest (Alabama) is insane.... literally more than double.



Auburn plays Alabama every year. Alabama never plays Alabama. Unsurprisingly, AU's SOS is tougher. Alabama's cross division rival is in a historic low point despite being the 2nd best team in the SEC historically. I can assure you that when Alabama picked Tennessee as it's permanent opponent in 1992, it was not to make the schedule any easier.
Posted by MillerLiteTime
Atlanta
Member since Aug 2018
2515 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

MOST DIFFICULT DIVISION SCHEDULES:

1. Texas A&M- 330
2. Auburn- 325
3. LSU- 272
4. Alabama- 205
5. Florida- 181
6. Georgia- 149


Please tell me what Alabama (or any team) should do to make its division schedule tougher. This is simply laughable that you would even rank this. Simple math would tell you that the best team in each division will have the worst divisional SOS and the worst team would have the hardest SOS.
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37636 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Simple math would tell you that the best team in each division will have the worst divisional SOS and the worst team would have the hardest SOS.

Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30886 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

Dude your program is a step above mediocre since Neyland retired.... this downward spiral of yours started in the 1950s and the only reason its not more obvious is Peyton Manning was able to put a band-aid on it during the 1990s which breathed a few last gasps into an otherwise dying program.

Since Neyland retired (1953):


To be fair, Tennessee was willing to play Alabama every year. Georgia & Florida, not so much
Posted by NocaHomas Teepee
Nor Al
Member since May 2019
1480 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

You weren’t spot checking .... you were looking for one season.

I picked one year randomly.

Go see someone about your butt hurt.

Here's another year.

2011
SEC-E ranked opponents: UGA (AP 19)
SEC-W opponents: Auburn (finished 8-5, unranked), Mississippi St (7-6, unranked), Arkansas (AP 5).
OOC: Clemson (AP 18), The Citadel, Navy, East Carolina.

3 ranked opponents. Congrats I guess.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30886 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

scrooster


Contributions by school:
Alabama - 164
LSU - 75 (1 season worth 0 points)
Auburn - 46 (3 seasons worth 0 points, over half come from 2013)
Texas A&M - 39 (4 seasons worth 0 points)

This is inverse to this:

quote:

1. Texas A&M- 330
2. Auburn- 325
3. LSU- 272
4. Alabama- 205


Alabama generates more points in this system in two seasons than Auburn or Texas A&M generate in 7. LSU is almost worth Auburn and Texas A&M combined.

Thing is, I bet if you expanded on this, you'd find the team that generated the least points would be ranked with the toughest schedule.



Or more to the point, removing just one game from each of those teams' schedules:

quote:

Without Alabama on the schedule:

Texas A&M - 166
Auburn - 161
LSU - 108


Suddenly their schedules are easier than SEC East schedules, by this logic.

Alabama literally makes the West tougher than the East all by their lonesome.
This post was edited on 6/25/19 at 7:04 pm
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30218 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 7:53 pm to
Damn fine job skyraper!

And the OP is a Dawg fan whining about one of UGA’s biggest rivals AU having a tough schedule, and then defending the mediocrity of Malzhan.
Posted by ClemsonRules
Virginia
Member since Jan 2017
2608 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 8:03 pm to
For once...I actually agree with scrooster. No relief in sight for USCe SOS as Clemson appears to have staying power and aTm is an ascending football program.
This post was edited on 6/25/19 at 8:06 pm
Posted by GatorBait24
Pensacola
Member since Jul 2016
5380 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

"Fl. doesn't play anybody OOC OUTSIDE the state border of Fl.!"

So we already have the toughest OoC schedule of the big 6 and you want us to play more? No thanks, we are but not because you assholes say so.
This post was edited on 6/25/19 at 8:53 pm
Posted by muletide
Orange Beach
Member since May 2019
342 posts
Posted on 6/25/19 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

Big 5 

The 5 teams to have won a natty in the BCS/CFP era?
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:45 am to
quote:

You lose all credibility when you throw SC and Tennessee in there and begin at 2001 for whatever reason you did that ... and we all know why you did that.


Because I went back to the beginning of the Mark Richt era?

Look we can go back to 1992 if you want, but those days are irrelevant to today's climate. Tennessee is never going to get back to their 1990s quality. It's just not going to happen.

I don't know why you're mad at the dates I chose considering I included South Carolina's "Golden Age" under Holtz and Spurrier. In the 1990s, Georgia was 6-2 against Carolina.

quote:

You're only 13-6 against UT with the avg margin of victory less than 6 points.

You're 16-3 against Vandy and 17-2 against Kentucky and you've laid some arse whoopings on those two.

You're 6-1 vs Mizzou while, at the same time, SC is 5-2 against Mizzou .... so we can get as transitional and arbitrary as you want to get Kyle but you're just being ridiculous.


Yes, thank you for pretty much breaking down the very stats I posted in the first place.

Georgia is 61-18 (77.2%) against everyone in the East minus Florida since the beginning of the Mark Richt era... average score has been Georgia +11.9 points.

My point is the divisions need to be shaken up a bit. The West is far stronger, and Vandy and Kentucky do not need to be in the same Division. They are by far the weaklings of the league and to have them on the same side really is the root cause of the inequality.

Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:51 am to
quote:

Here's another bit of intellectual dishonesty in your post:
Alabama in 2015 (national title year) played 10-3 Georgia (unranked - man, the Bulldogs get NO respect), #22 Tennessee (highest ranked SEC East team) and in the SECCG a 10-4 Florida team that finished #25. Literally the SEC East threw the best teams they had at Alabama and lost by a combined 86-39. The only team to come within one score of Alabama is your much maligned Volunteers. Georgia and Florida didn't even get Alabama winded.


And what does this have to do with anything I said?

I've said from the beginning the East is weak which is part of why we need change. You're basically agreeing with me above only you aren't smart enough to realize it.

quote:

Literally makes the point of "Alabama doesn't get to play Alabama".


I already proved that this is not the main factor. Refer back to page 1 of the thread when I said this:

you can take out the "Alabama can't play itself factor" by subtracting out the games played between Alabama and Auburn and also all common opponents (other West teams). Since 2012, these are the unique games for each of the two programs:

Alabama:
#3 USC (2016)
#21 Wisconsin (2015)
#22 Tennessee (2016)
#22 Tennessee (2015)
#24 Michigan (2012)

Auburn:
#1 Clemson (2016)
#2 Georgia (2017)
#4 Clemson (2017)
#5 Georgia (2012)
#7 Georgia (2018)
#9 Georgia (2014)
#11 Clemson (2012)
#13 Washington (2018)
#18 Kansas State (2014)
#23 Vanderbilt (2012)

So not counting games against each other or against other SEC West programs, Auburn has played nine Top 20 opponents during the past 7 seasons to Alabama's 1.

Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
34884 posts
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Quick question GoCrazyAuburn, has an AU President or AD ever seriously pushed the conference hard to get moved to the East?


Yes. What all happens behind closed doors we can all guess at, but I did hear Jacobs speak three years ago or so, and he was asked about this and said it has been something he has been trying to get on the agenda, but SEC has been pretty unwilling to listen.

quote:

Has anyone urged the SEC to put it on the agenda so that it can be addressed during the annual SEC meetings?



Yes. Jacobs (previously) largely has had to try and use media days to try and get fan conversation to a point that it forces the SEC's hand. Right now the SEC has no interest in it and is shooting it down as a non-starter.

quote:

’d like to know how the SEC feels about it, and more importantly how Missouri feels about moving to a brutal West right now.



SEC has no interest at this time to do so. They've completely shut it down every time it gets brought up.

Per Sankey: "Is that an agenda item? No,"
This post was edited on 6/26/19 at 9:05 am
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 6/26/19 at 9:03 am to
quote:

Auburn plays Alabama every year. Alabama never plays Alabama. Unsurprisingly, AU's SOS is tougher.


Now compare the East teams each has played....

Then compare the OOC teams each has played in the regular season. Let me know how that turns out.

quote:

Alabama's cross division rival is in a historic low point


How long are we going to pretend that this slump for Tennessee is just a short-lived blip on the radar?

Tennessee is on a SEVENTEEN year streak of not producing a Top 10 team. At some point we've got to admit this is not some cycle that will turn back around and that its simply the norm.

Folks need to realize that the Fulmer Golden Years were the true anomaly. Tennessee circa 1995-2001 was only a short, 7-year stint of great success due mostly to having arguably the greatest QB of all-time. That type of QB doesn't come around but once or twice in a generation, and the chance of the next one choosing Tennessee is zero.

From 1973-1994, Tennessee only had THREE Top 10 teams during a 22-year period. They were struggling as a program for decades and the true anomaly is their late '90s success.

If you take out the Manning Years and the few years that followed in his wake (1995-2001), Tennessee has produced just THREE Top 10 teams during 39 seasons of football (1972-1994; 2002-2018).

Of course Bama wants to continue with the lie that Tennessee is some great program because it makes their schedule so easy, but reality shows that Tennessee without Peyton Manning is really closer to Arkansas and Ole Miss than it is the current "Big 5".
This post was edited on 6/26/19 at 9:07 am
Posted by ClassicCityAlum
Palm Beach, FL
Member since Mar 2019
883 posts
Posted on 6/26/19 at 9:06 am to
Alabama can’t play themselves.

Your premise is wrong OP - that is why their SOS is lower.
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