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re: NCAA baseball bracketology

Posted on 4/30/25 at 3:22 pm to
Posted by Jrv2damac
KS (mountain time)
Member since Mar 2004
72381 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 3:22 pm to
I was under the impression that some venues don’t meet some kind of qualifications to host. I’m inclined to believe ours possibly doesn’t for one reason or another.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105764 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 3:25 pm to
quote:


I was under the impression that some venues don’t meet some kind of qualifications to host. I’m inclined to believe ours possibly doesn’t for one reason or another.


That is true - but generally if there is any chance you might host schools line up substitute venues and submit their bid for a regional. I'd guess if Kansas does that they'd line up a stadium in Kansas City or somewhere. But it's also possible they just don't bid on it and therefore won't host regardless.

Edit - looks like they can host

LINK

“We are more than capable of hosting,” Fitzgerald said Monday, the day before the win at Nebraska. “I have spent zero time thinking about it, because our administration is so buttoned up and on top of that stuff and we have people — that’s what their job is and they’re phenomenal at it so there’s really nothing for me to do other than try to win every game so that it becomes a reality.”
This post was edited on 4/30/25 at 3:28 pm
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22997 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

Serious question,

Do you want us in your regional?
No. A&M is a very talented team that could ruin someone's season. They were ranked preseason #1 for a reason.

My comment about "forget trolling them", is in response to the "where's A&M" comment. Y'all obviously ain't hosting a regional unless you go completely insane the remainder of the season; basically going undefeated from here on out. At that point you're not a national seed but do likely host one of the regionals. But just rebounding back into the conversation after the start y'all had is an accomplishment. You want to get in, and you can make some noise.

As for my comment about Tennessee not being a national seed- that's really odd, to me. I mean, LSU and Tennessee were both Top 10 (maybe around 6-7) teams going into the weekend. LSU emerged as the #2 ranked team.
So, Tennessee goes on the road to #2, controls game 1 and really could have won it. 2 fluke errors in the 9th, or they likely win a shutout.
Game 2, like game 1, is tight but Tennessee holds the edge basically all game long; and this time instead of a late collapse by them, LSU cracks first and Tennessee wins going away.
LSU wins game 3 in the only truly dominant game of the series, but again- Tennessee goes on the road into a tough environment, and easily could have taken the series 2-1. Don't see how you drop them that much. I still put them ahead of Auburn and Vandy, and ahead of the ACC teams.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
20462 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

I can see that really bothers you.


It makes me question their methodology. Auburn will end up where Auburn ends up. But predicting them to be a national 5 seed when they are currently ranked 9th in the SEC and two of their three remaining series are road series against teams that are ahead of them is quite an anomaly. It would be regardless of what team they had doing so.
Posted by Jrtt
Dallas
Member since Apr 2020
240 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 6:55 pm to
If A+M makes it to super regional, they’ll be tough.
Posted by Lige
Member since Nov 2015
2018 posts
Posted on 4/30/25 at 11:49 pm to
How can Auburn be a higher seed than Tennessee ?
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
20462 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 12:14 am to
quote:

How can Auburn be a higher seed than Tennessee ?


They went off of RPI. Auburn looks great based on RPI.
Posted by GamerAg
Member since Dec 2010
3206 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 5:11 am to
A&M too high
Posted by All Gas No Brakes
Member since Jul 2021
895 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 6:20 am to
Agreed. And all these projections I’m seeing have them paired with us in the super (sigh)
Posted by TigerScorpion
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2018
1814 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 6:26 am to
quote:

Well, we do own ya'll in said sport..


You don’t own anyone, in any sport.
Posted by HvacGoon
Pineville, La
Member since Apr 2024
215 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 6:35 am to
quote:

TX
GA
LSU
AU
AR
Vandy


Dumb post if i've ever seen one. Your list may be right for Regional hosts, but not even close for top 8 seeds.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3691 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 6:44 am to
quote:

How can Auburn be a higher seed than Tennessee ?


The Vols’ resume is a bit lacking at the moment. They’ve only played 4 games against RPI Top 15 opponents and are 2-2 in those games.

Auburn has played 16 such games and have the same winning percentage at 8-8.

Tennessee has a better record but they’ve feasted on lesser opponents. RPI picks up on this which is why Auburn is #4 and TN is #10.
This post was edited on 5/1/25 at 6:46 am
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
37158 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 6:56 am to
quote:

Mississippi State (SEC)


I'm sure we will come to their rescue in a couple of weeks.
I've taken a gut punch with MSU baseball over the last several years and I once ate and breathed it. We might have the talent to do a little damage in the tournament but the same guy who I assumed handled the pitching is still there. Didn't always have a lead to hold but losses got worse with poor pitching management. I couldn't coach a pitcher with a gun to my head but when a guy sitting at home can scream recognizes a pitcher doesn't have it that day and the pitching coach can't, there's a problem.
Posted by MrAUTigers
Florida
Member since Sep 2013
29712 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 8:19 am to
quote:

They went off of RPI. Auburn looks great based on RPI.


Let's not forget #1 SOS. Auburn has lost two series. Auburn swept LSU.

Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
14610 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 8:31 am to
Conference standing is an imperfect indicator because not all schedules are created equal. We don’t get to face the auto-sweep that is Mizzou to pad that number, for example.

6 of those 10 losses are road sweeps at UGA and Texas, and those are the only series we have lost. Every other loss came in series that we have won. Throw in the home sweep of LSU and yeah we’re not wrongly ranked right now.
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
11180 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 8:36 am to
Aggies don’t deserve it make it
Posted by MrWalkingMan
Republic of West Florida
Member since Aug 2010
7964 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 8:46 am to
quote:

#5 LSU vs #12 Coastal Carolina

Posted by Jack Daniel
Gold member
Member since Feb 2013
28780 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 9:01 am to
Have yall looked at Arkansas remaining schedule? I don’t think they finish a top 8 seed
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
14610 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 9:04 am to
quote:

10. Miss St (14-16)


I don’t know that they have more 8 wins in them. I mean sure Mizzou will very likely provide 3 but winning both series against UK and Ole Miss and coming away with 5 wins will be tough.
This post was edited on 5/1/25 at 9:17 am
Posted by RawDog84
Member since Apr 2022
523 posts
Posted on 5/1/25 at 9:08 am to
So Ole Miss lost every series in baseball against State for a decade and thats not getting owned? Not to mention how long it's been since Bama has won a series against us.. Hmmmmmmm..
This post was edited on 5/1/25 at 9:17 am
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