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re: ESPN playoff predictor says Bama and GA are locks to get in at 2 losses and no SECCG...
Posted on 11/13/24 at 6:20 pm to Che Boludo
Posted on 11/13/24 at 6:20 pm to Che Boludo
quote:
Imagine a world where Bama and UGA with their brands went independent in football, scheduled nonsense teams all year, save a good opener and decent closer. CFP lock every year and keeps all the monies.... hmmm If SoS doesn't matter, what are we doing. Best teams? It's a joke. Top 12 in, no auto-qualifiers. Add computers back to a weighted portion of the rankings.
This is dead on. 12 practice games get all the backups plenty of snaps. Then play each other week 12 bc Bama uga is always good game even though we keep coming up with the shite end of the stick
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Posted on 11/13/24 at 6:31 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:
Why would Alabama be a lock with a worse loss and an easier schedule than UGA?
Head to head win. Not sure UGA schedule is much better than Bama’s at the moment. But both teams are locks if they win out though. Both have 2 of the most impressive wins in the country. Both have navigated very tough schedules. Probably top 10 schedules. And both are huge brands and will bring in really good ratings. Anyone that says otherwise is just using emotional reasoning
Posted on 11/13/24 at 6:37 pm to TrueLefty
quote:
some LSU fans were saying if LSU gets in the SEC championship and wins it then LSU will be in.
Well yes.
The SEC Champion gets in; with that scenario LSU is the SEC champ.
The thread is about 2-loss teams that DON’T need the SECCG. LSU is a 3-loss team that DOES need it.
Posted on 11/13/24 at 6:45 pm to FoTownBam
quote:
Head to head win
A 2-3 point win at Alabama.
quote:
Not sure UGA schedule is much better than Bama’s at the moment.
It's not, but it's still better.
quote:
But both teams are locks if they win out though. Both have 2 of the most impressive wins in the country. Both have navigated very tough schedules. Probably top 10 schedules. And both are huge brands and will bring in really good ratings. Anyone that says otherwise is just using emotional reasoning
Posted on 11/13/24 at 9:08 pm to Gator Fever
10-2 UGA absolutely should be in since they play 2 P5 OOC.
Posted on 11/13/24 at 9:43 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
Head to head has to carry more weight that the other BS. if they have the same record and BAMA beat GA they should get to go
I also think if there's' 2 spots...BAMA and OM should get in over GA..due to head to head.
Just like if TX and GA both end up with 2 losses...GA should get the spot because they beat them...all the other crap don't matter if they beat them
I also think if there's' 2 spots...BAMA and OM should get in over GA..due to head to head.
Just like if TX and GA both end up with 2 losses...GA should get the spot because they beat them...all the other crap don't matter if they beat them
Posted on 11/13/24 at 9:45 pm to Gator Fever
Any Sec team who goes 10-2 should get in front of any team in any other conference who is at 11-1 tbh. Otherwise this whole thing is a complete joke.
Posted on 11/13/24 at 9:49 pm to hogcard1964
quote:
Georgia is not a lock.
10-2 uga is a lock.
Posted on 11/13/24 at 10:12 pm to 3down10
You read my mind
Great post!
Great post!
Posted on 11/13/24 at 10:57 pm to Gator Fever
That predictor is fun to mess around with, but pointless to rely upon.
There’s almost certainly going to be a serious SEC logjam at the top of the standings. It’s gonna be a mess and at least a couple teams are gonna feel burned.
There’s almost certainly going to be a serious SEC logjam at the top of the standings. It’s gonna be a mess and at least a couple teams are gonna feel burned.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:22 am to Gator Fever
Member when 12 teams was the ultimate solution and it was billed as absolutely in no controversial.
So naturally the CFB landscape sends the committee a giant middle finger with half the SEC 10-2.
So naturally the CFB landscape sends the committee a giant middle finger with half the SEC 10-2.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:28 am to Gator Fever
If we end the season with wins over Clemson, Texas, and Tennessee and our only losses to two top 10 teams on the road, we damn sure better make the playoffs. There would absolutely not be 12 teams with better resumes than us.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:31 am to Gator Fever
quote:
Bama 99%
GA 99%
Ole Miss 83%
in what world would UGA be ahead of Ole Miss in this scenario based on head to head? Wouldn't Ole Miss have to be ahead of UGA as a 2 loss team as they beat them by 3 possessions?
I must be missing something
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:45 am to Gator Fever
Too bad each team might still have another loss on their schedules
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:52 am to Buckeye06
quote:
in what world would UGA be ahead of Ole Miss in this scenario based on head to head? Wouldn't Ole Miss have to be ahead of UGA as a 2 loss team as they beat them by 3 possessions?
I must be missing something
you are. You're missing that there are 12 games on the schedule that comprise your resume, not just one. While we woudl have lost to ole miss head ot head (a top 10 team, on the road), you ignore that ole miss would have lost to a pitiful kentucky (at home) and an above average LSU.
UGA would have no "bad losses" and 3 outstanding wins. Ole Miss would have one great win over UGA but no other noteworthy win to speak of, to go along with 1 awful loss and 1 meh loss.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:53 am to hogcard1964
quote:
Georgia is not a lock.
I don't see how either. Numbers ahead of UGA in the SEC are not in UGAs favor. There is no doubt UGA is among the 12 BEST teams in the nation. Thats not what the CFP is about. Saying that UGA is probably in the bottom 33% of the best 12....
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:55 am to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:
Why would Alabama be a lock with a worse loss and an easier schedule than UGA?
Head to head tiebreaker. It has never much mattered who tough one schedule was compared to another when the 2 teams play and one loses.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 10:58 am to Gator Fever
quote:
Indiana is a 97% lock if they only lose to Ohio State
Works for Penn St.
A 1 loss Indiana with that sos shouldn't even sniff the cfp. A team in the cfp without a single top 25 win will make it a complete joke.
Georgia vs Tennessee is a playoff elimination game based on the teams ranked and their remaining schedules.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 11:59 am to AwgustaDawg
quote:
Head to head tiebreaker.
That doesn't explain why Bama would be a lock and UGA not though.
Posted on 11/14/24 at 12:45 pm to FoTownBam
quote:
Head to head win. Not sure UGA schedule is much better than Bama’s at the moment.
At the moment I think Bama's schedule is better.
But at the end of the regular season, UGA's will likely be better.
UGA play Tennessee, which will be a plus for UGA if they win and a minus for Bama as UT will drop which makes their schedule worse.
Mizzou and SC play. THis will drop one of them out of the top 25. I think Mizzou loses this since it's a road game for them. That hurts Bama as they played both and UGA plays neither.
SC plays Clemson to end the year. I think Clemson wins as it's a home game for them. This helps UGA and hurts Bama schedule wise if it happens as UGA played Clemson and Bama played SC.
If that happens (which isn't a huge stretch), Bama would have 3 top 25 games while UGA would have 5 on the schedule.
Auburn and OU for Bama are both .500 or below teams.
UGA in addition to playing Tennessee plays GT. While GT is likely not better than AU or OU, the reality is that they're potentially going to be 7-5 even with the loss to UGA. They're going to be viewed "on paper" as being at SC level rather than Auburn level.
This post was edited on 11/14/24 at 12:46 pm
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