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ESPN computer predicts the Final 4 for the college football season
Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:28 pm
Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:28 pm
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I can only imagine the absolute implosion if the SEC had 3 out of the 4.
quote:
Last year's College Football Playoff final four featured Texas, Ohio State, Notre Dame and Penn State. What will this year's College Football Playoff semifinals feature?
ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index, has released its projections for the upcoming 2025 college football regular season. The Football Power Index is "a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule," according to ESPN.
Who does the Football Power Index have making it to the College Football Playoff semifinals in 2025-26?
ESPN's computer model has made its picks:
Texas
Georgia
Ohio State
Alabama
The College Football Playoff semifinals are projected to be SEC-heavy, with three teams from the conference in Texas, Georgia and Alabama. Meanwhile, Ohio State is expected to be the Big Ten's lone representative.
ESPN's computer model, is giving Texas the best chance to win the national championship. The Longhorns, armed by quarterback Arch Manning, are projected to be the country's No. 1 team this fall.
Who do you have making the College Football Playoff semifinals this fall?
I can only imagine the absolute implosion if the SEC had 3 out of the 4.
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Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:30 pm to skrayper
quote:
ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index,
Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:30 pm to skrayper
No Arkansas? ESPN is garbage
Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:31 pm to skrayper
Texas, Ohio St, Clemson, Penn St
Posted on 6/29/25 at 8:40 pm to Hyena531
Should replace Texas with Texas Schedule.
Posted on 6/29/25 at 11:15 pm to skrayper
With the transfers we have now of players and coaches, going with chalk is safe but not accurate. You wont look too stupid but you wont get it right. It is also the lazy method….
Posted on 6/29/25 at 11:29 pm to AtticusOSullivan
I want Ohio State, Bama, Georgia, LSU, Tennessee at Tennessee, Florida at Florida, and all top ranked SEC teams on my schedule this year with free beer for all opponents fans in all night games
Also Clemson, Ohio State., Georgia and Penn St. in playoffs the same way
Theres only one catch.
I wanna play the whole season the old school way with no face masks
See if any of the other teams are even brave enough to step on the field with these Texas longhorn down south Cowboys
I bet Penn St. and Bama are the only ones even brave enough to stomach it
So please tell SEC board to stop giving me these weak teams so he can get us in playoffs and bring home more national championships for his conference
I dont want a handicap like he did for Georgia, LSU and Bama
Also Clemson, Ohio State., Georgia and Penn St. in playoffs the same way
Theres only one catch.
I wanna play the whole season the old school way with no face masks
See if any of the other teams are even brave enough to step on the field with these Texas longhorn down south Cowboys
I bet Penn St. and Bama are the only ones even brave enough to stomach it
So please tell SEC board to stop giving me these weak teams so he can get us in playoffs and bring home more national championships for his conference
I dont want a handicap like he did for Georgia, LSU and Bama
Posted on 6/29/25 at 11:50 pm to AtticusOSullivan
Arizona St probly has more heart then your team
And i know cuz they scratched scraped and clawed when we beat them in playoffs last year
And i know cuz they scratched scraped and clawed when we beat them in playoffs last year
Posted on 6/30/25 at 6:22 am to TigerScorpion
quote:
Football Power Index
This is one of the worst metrics available. It had 2019 LSU losing several games during even the second half of that season and didn’t have them #1 until after the natty. Only idiots pay it any attention.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 6:38 am to Hyena531
quote:
I wanna play the whole season the old school way with no face masks
See if any of the other teams are even brave enough to step on the field with these Texas longhorn down south Cowboys
because like 99.9% of your roster is truly made up of some down south cowboys, right? 
Posted on 6/30/25 at 7:03 am to skrayper
Texass will not be there. Book it! Alabama probably won't be there either.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 7:46 am to LSU Patrick
quote:
This is one of the worst metrics available. It had 2019 LSU losing several games during even the second half of that season and didn’t have them #1 until after the natty.
This seems like a very specific outlier to base your entire opinion on.
FPI isn't perfect, nor did I ever claim it was - that said, it was #8 out of 55 services that attempt to make such predictions:
LINK
In 2019, it was 15th out of 63. It usually gets about 75% of games correct.
During the 2019 regular season, the only "miss" was the Alabama game that it predicted you to lose. It predicted LSU to win every other game it played, meaning it predicted your 2019 regular season with 91.7% accuracy.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:26 am to LSU Patrick
2019 LSU had a fairly easy regular season schedule. You barely beat an Alabama team that was limping going into that game, and everyone else was subpar.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:27 am to skrayper
quote:
Texas
Georgia
Ohio State
Alabama
They really went out on a limb there.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:30 am to skrayper
quote:
Texas
Georgia
Ohio State
Alabama
Good to see ESPN really pushing the envelope and not going chalk with their predictions
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:37 am to Hyena531
quote:
I want Ohio State, Bama, Georgia, LSU, Tennessee at Tennessee, Florida at Florida, and all top ranked SEC teams on my schedule this year with free beer for all opponents fans in all night games
Also Clemson, Ohio State., Georgia and Penn St. in playoffs the same way
Theres only one catch.
I wanna play the whole season the old school way with no face masks
See if any of the other teams are even brave enough to step on the field with these Texas longhorn down south Cowboys
I bet Penn St. and Bama are the only ones even brave enough to stomach it
So please tell SEC board to stop giving me these weak teams so he can get us in playoffs and bring home more national championships for his conference
I dont want a handicap like he did for Georgia, LSU and Bama
You need to be more subtle here.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:39 am to Landmass
quote:
They really went out on a limb there.
I'm curious who they predict to be in the field of 12, and which path each of these 4 are predicted to make.
The top 12 are the following:
1. Texas
2. Georgia
3. Alabama
4. Ohio State
5. Penn State
6. Oregon
7. Notre Dame
8. Texas A&M
9. Miami
10. Tennessee
11. Clemson
12. LSU
It's possible this article is just taking the top 4 and implying they're the favorites to win; if so, that would also imply the SEC will have 6 teams in the playoffs next year.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:40 am to Simple Solution
quote:
2019 LSU had a fairly easy regular season schedule.
7 wins against top 10 teams, 4 came in the regular season. Not to mention LSU faced the toughest gauntlet of opposing quarterbacks in NCAA history.
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:41 am to Hyena531
quote:
I dont want a handicap like he did for Georgia, LSU and Bama
Maybe you should notch a win against Georgia before you go bumping your gums
Posted on 6/30/25 at 8:56 am to skrayper
quote:
ESPN's computer model has made its picks:
Texas
Georgia
Ohio State
Alabama
It's like the English Premier League, really going out on a limb here
Also this would mean Penn State blows it AGAIN after going all on on the 2025 season.
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