re: ESPN: Chance to Make the College Football Playoff

I think 5% is overstating the odds for Bama.

If gumps want to get a hard on for a 3% chance, have at it. I know the season was a huge disappointment. You gotta get your kicks in while you can. It is a long offseason when you enter rebuild year #3.

We got folks around here who still believe in Santa Clause.
If a fan can't live with two losses by 1 and 3 points to top-10 schools away from home, on the last plays of the games.....well, they got a problem.
Eight out of the nine playoffs have had The Tide in'em, and this'll be the 2nd time in a DECADE that they won't be there!
I CAN LIVE WITH THAT!

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Alabama does have a chance, but that involves stuff like both Big 10 teams imploding at the end of the year- one loses the big matchup, the other loses in the Big 10 championship, etc

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Ok, let's pretend OSU wins next week and is upset in the CCG.

OSU- 12-1. Division winner. Lost in CCG.
UM- 11-1. Non-division winner
Bama- 10-2. Non-division winner

Why would bama jump over both of those teams?

Bama doesn't have any chance at all. If they only had 1 loss then sure, but they have 2 losses and didn't win anything. They have less than zero shot.

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Why would bama jump over both of those teams?

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If Michigan loses big to OSU to finish the year, they’re out. A potential rematch wouldn’t be deserving, nor would anyone want to see it.

None of what we are seeing with thesr rankings right now matters. The committee will do what it wants after all the games have been played.

LSU beating Georgia is a tall order. While I think we have a chance, I would not put money on it. I will assess our playoff chances IF we manage to beat Georgia.

If not, let's go to the Sugar Bowl and finish the bounceback season in style. This is only the beginning.

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Alabama does have a chance, but that involves stuff like both Big 10 teams imploding at the end of the year- one loses the big matchup, the other loses in the Big 10 championship, etc


Ok, let's pretend OSU wins next week and is upset in the CCG.

OSU- 12-1. Division winner. Lost in CCG.
UM- 11-1. Non-division winner
Bama- 10-2. Non-division winner

Why would bama jump over both of those teams?

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Let's say for sake of argument, Michigan blows Ohio State out. 20+ pt win, very decisive. I think that knocks OSU out.

Follow that with Purdue (or whoever) blows the doors off Michigan in the B10 championship... I mean, a beatdown.
You have to think that kills them too, and wouldn't bump OSU up.

That frees up the Pac 12, but if that ends up being a 2 or 3 loss team (say, Utah, Washington in particular), and Notre Dame throws USC into the garbage in addition, then the Pac 12 is out.

Gives the ACC an opening, but only if Clemson. South Carolina could mess this up for them, as well as a loss to anyone in the championship. So, say that happens;

LSU clearly gets in with a win over UGA, if all that plays out. But assuming UGA wins, you have:

13-0 UGA
13-0 TCU (go ahead and roll with that)

and, who else?
11-1 Ohio State, with maybe a 30 pt loss in their last game? 12-1 Michigan, also losing by 30? You take them BOTH?

Do you even glance at Alabama, let's say coming off a huge win in the Iron Bowl, 10-2 overall, with both losses coming on the last play of each game? I think you do. I think the name/reputation would help their cause, in that debate.

Alternate scenario- all of that plays out, but let's say Georgia Tech and LSU both beat UGA; and TCU loses their last 2.
Who's in?

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I'd rather be LSU than Bama right now

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I wouldn't. LSU is not beating UGA.

Either way, BAMA's not getting in. Too much has to happen for BAMA to sneak in and I don't see it happening. We'd lose anyway. This isn't a championship team.

Sorry LSU, but Golding is not coaching GA's defense. You are going to get curb stomped.

U so mad lsu has any chance