Started By
Message

re: Big 6 qualifications?

Posted on 5/9/16 at 9:47 am to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 9:47 am to
quote:

The big 6 is set in stone. - atlgator


A Florida fan should be the first to recognize that a program is capable of pulling themselves up from obscurity to the elite level. Florida was nothing in 1990. You had no titles to speak of... you were not even a Top 30 program all-time. And you had 6 fewer SEC Titles than even Ole Miss.

Since 1990, Florida has been the class of the league (even over Alabama probably). But if the Gators can do it, why shouldn't a program like Texas A&M be able to?

Texas A&M is starting with a lot more than Florida did in 1990. The Aggies are a Top 20 program all-time, and they have a National Title. If Texas A&M can ever get their crap together and win some SEC Titles and another National Title or so, they can actually surpass Florida all-time fairly quickly.

quote:

Alabama, LSU, Florida, and Auburn carry this conference on our backs.


You had 60 years of sitting on the bench to rest up.... all while Georgia and Tennessee carried the Eastern geographic portion of the league.
Posted by AlabamaAlum07
Member since Jun 2014
2027 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 10:56 am to
And that program that was nothing before 1990 still has more titles than Georgia.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20360 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 11:43 am to
quote:

The "Big 6" is what's always been advertised. Florida, Auburn, Georgia, Tennessee, LSU, and Bama. Those teams are easily on another level.

However I still claim that Bama is on an even higher level, so I motion we call it Big 1+5
Fair argument for the 1+5 statement, but I think the point is this:

The Big 6 are far more accomplished overall than any other conference's group, historically.

Big 10- you have Ohio State and Michigan. Penn State and Nebraska technically meet the criteria, but haven't met it since joining the conference (well, maybe Penn St). Michigan State and Wisconsin don't match up, unless you say they both are at UGA levels.

Pac 12- USC. Oregon's last decade doesn't make up for the history- they haven't equaled Florida's emergence.

Big 12- Oklahoma, Texas, that's it.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Alabama, LSU, Florida, and Auburn carry this conference on our backs.
The gap between 1 and 2 is far larger than the gap between 4 and 5.

If anything it's the Big 1
Posted by atlgator
Jacksonville, Atlanta, Gainesville
Member since Aug 2014
5520 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 11:54 am to
Congratulations on your ancient success. In the modern era of college football, that is, since conference championship games have been instituted, Florida, Alabama, LSU, Tennessee, UGA, and Auburn have been the big 6. In the lifetimes of the current players that make up college rosters, there has only been a big 4- Florida, Bama, LSU, and Auburn.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20360 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Alabama, LSU, Florida, and Auburn carry this conference on our backs.
The gap between 1 and 2 is far larger than the gap between 4 and 5.

If anything it's the Big 1

Oh, historically, nobody else in the conference catches the Tide.
The point of the Big 6 is that there is very little to separate the other 5 programs, and each is capable of (and has) won national titles, with UGA being the furthest removed. Find another conference where the 6th best program could be ranked in the Top 10 consistently, and nobody would bat an eye.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 12:21 pm to
I say you go 25 years without a title you seriously begin getting bumped from Big 6 status.

I think to join the big 6 you would need to win at least 2 SEC titles in a decade and a National Title to have a stake at truly joining.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

The Big 6 are far more accomplished overall than any other conference's group, historically.


This is an interesting point.

Top 25 programs all-time (according to the AP) by conference:

SEC
#2 Alabama
#9 Tennessee
#11 LSU
#12 Auburn
#13 Georgia
#17 Florida
#19 Arkansas
#20 Texas A&M
#22 Ole Miss

BIG 10
#3 Ohio State
#4 Michigan
#7 Nebraska
#10 Penn State
#18 Michigan State
#25 Wisconsin

BIG 12
#1 Oklahoma
#8 Texas

ACC
#14 Florida State
#15 Miami
#21 Clemson
#23 Georgia Tech

PAC 12
#6 USC
#16 UCLA
#24 Washington

The only league that comes close is the BIG 10.... four programs among the Top 10 all-time is very strong. However, because Penn State and Nebraska are not original to the BIG 10, its not quite the same.

The SEC has 6 programs in the Top 17 all-time.... and all were original members of the league since 1933. Had Arkansas been in the league since 1933, and won several conference titles over the years, you could make an argument that they were part of the group. But with no conference titles and being in the league for 24 years, they are obviously not in the club.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 2:40 pm to
Based on the criteria I came up with earlier, it shows it takes A VERY LONG TIME to gain or lose "Big 6" status.

The closest program to losing "Big 6" status that currently has it is Auburn. What would that entail?

Auburn would have to go 14 seasons without an SEC Championship to bring them down to a "Once in 12 years" average for winning SEC Titles. Coincidentally, it would also take them 14 seasons of averaging just a 2-6 record in SEC play to bring them below 50% all-time in the SEC Standings.

How likely is that to happen?

Well in the 24 seasons since the SEC expanded in 1992, Auburn has won three SEC Championships (2004, 2010, 2013) which means they average winning one every 8 years in the current championship format. It's very unlikely they'll go another 14 seasons without one. As for the SEC record, Auburn is 114-81-2 (58.4%) in SEC play since expansion in 1992.... that equates to a bit below a 5-3 record in most years. It seems very unlikely that Auburn would suddenly go on a stretch of 14 seasons averaging a 2-6 record.

Florida also could lose their "Big 6" status by not winning an SEC Title during the next 14 years. That would drop them below the "once every 12 years' average.

What about Tennessee? Many folks from the "little 8" seem to want to take away Tennessee's elite status because of their miserable past decade of football.... but what can't be gained easily also can't easily be lost. The Vols have a solid football foundation which makes is very difficult to lose.

To slip below the .500 mark in all-time SEC play, the Tennessee football program would have to endure another 34 miserable seasons, averaging a 2-6 record in conference play each year. Oh, and to slip down to only winning an SEC Championship less than every 12 years, Tennessee would have to go the next 74 seasons without a football championship.

So for all those wanting to take away "Big 6" status from Tennessee, you're looking at a minimum 30-35 more years of very miserable football before that could happen.

It simply can't be claimed or lost due to one good or bad year..... or even 10 good or bad years for that matter.
Posted by BigVoodoo
Milky Way Galaxy
Member since Jul 2015
1140 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 2:47 pm to
Here's everything you ever needed to know about the Big 6 LINK
Posted by MIZ_COU
I'm right here
Member since Oct 2013
13771 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 2:50 pm to
Are we measuring this in millimeters or micrometers?
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86461 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Florida also could lose their "Big 6" status by not winning an SEC Title during the next 14 years.


not really, they're still in the top 6 in teh league in pretty much every major category you could use. And why pick an arbitrary "win every 12 years" metric?

Bottom line is the big 6 was forged after 100 years of playing football. UF (or anyone really, I just said them bc they were mentioned) could go on a decade long drought but that doesn't erase everythign else they've done to that point.

Another big thing to keep in mind is that it's 3 in the east and 3 in the west. Let's say UF/UGA/UT did go on a decade long slump...SC/Vandy/Miz/UK sure as hell aren't going to break into top 6 status simply bc of that.
Posted by LL012697
Member since May 2013
3963 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Miss? 6 SEC titles (only 2 behind Auburn and Florida) and a couple of recognized national titles. They're also top 10 in bowl wins somehow.



What part of set in stone don't you understand?
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47823 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:06 pm to
If you're at lsu and win once the idiots will defend you forever.
This post was edited on 5/9/16 at 3:09 pm
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69901 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

To slip below the .500 mark in all-time SEC play, the Tennessee football program would have to endure another 34 miserable seasons, averaging a 2-6 record in conference play each year. Oh, and to slip down to only winning an SEC Championship less than every 12 years, Tennessee would have to go the next 74 seasons without a football championship.



Just out of curiosity, during the "Lost Decade" of Tennessee football, did we average a 2-6 conference record? We've never gone winless in SEC play, but I know we had a 1-7 year.
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:32 pm to
05 - 3-5
06 - 5-3
07 - 6-2
08 - 3-5
09 - 4-4
10 - 3-5
11 - 1-7
12 - 1-7

13 - 2-6
14 - 3-5
15 - 5-3

The last 11 years TN's averaged a 3.3-4.7 conference record.

PS
DEAR LORD DOOLEY WAS AWFUL.

Posted by chadr07
Pineville, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
7877 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:47 pm to
Geez you are the most butthurt Anti LSU poster on here. Do you ever not think about LSU?
Posted by cajunbama
Metairie
Member since Jan 2007
30949 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:48 pm to
UTk is disqualified because they have exactly one great year since the 1950's.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Bottom line is the big 6 was forged after 100 years of playing football. UF (or anyone really, I just said them bc they were mentioned) could go on a decade long drought but that doesn't erase everythign else they've done to that point.


Certainly nothing ever gets erased. But Florida did not build itself up over 100 years to achieve their current status.... every ounce of their qualifications were garnered during a 20-year period.

At the conclusion of the 1980s, Florida had ZERO National Titles.... zero SEC Titles. Their all-time SEC record stood at just 149-167-15 (47.3%).... and they ranked as the #41 best program of all-time in the AP Poll.

Nothing about that resume even allowed them to enter the discussion of "Big 6".

So you are correct... what takes 100 years to build can't be lost for about 100 years (hypothetically speaking). But what Florida is today was essentially built in 20 years. not 100.... which is why they rank near the bottom of the BIG 6 all-time, and why they could more easily lose their status compared to say Alabama, Tennessee, LSU, or Georgia.

Florida has 8 SEC Championships.... just 2 more than Ole Miss.

Florida ranks #17 all-time in the AP Poll... just slightly above #19 Arkansas.... Arkansas is just three Top 10 finishes away (coupled with three years of finishing unranked for Florida) from passing Florida in the all-time AP standings.

Florida is more consistent in their achievements compared to Arkansas, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M... those 3 rank okay in some categories, but not so okay in others.... Florida ranks pretty well across the board.

But Florida could not endure a period of decline like Tennessee has endured the past few years and expect to hold on to their status... quite frankly, Florida's foundation is not as stable as the Vols' was.

If Florida football faired during the next 14 seasons exactly like Tennessee did from 2002-2015, it would drop Florida substantially down behind the rest of the "Big 6" in the all-time AP standings.... assuming those programs performed the same as they have since 2002. The SEC teams would look like this:

1199 pts- Alabama (#3)
799 pts- LSU (#9)
725 pts- Tennessee (#10)
710 pts- Georgia (#12)
683 pts- Auburn (#13)
530 pts- Florida (#18)

That would cause quite a gap to form between Florida and the other members of the "Big 6".... a much larger gap between #5 and #6 than what would likely exist between #2 and #5.

No SEC Titles for 14 years would bring Florida down to a "Once every 12 years" average all-time, and most likely they'd drop substantially behind the other 5 programs as well.

Their overall SEC record would likely drop them from #4 all-time in the league to #6.

Essentially, a period of football like Tennessee has seen the last 14 seasons for Florida would send Florida to #6 in the SEC in almost every single category. I think it could create an argument that there was really a "Big 5" and Florida was without a doubt #6.... and depending on what Texas A&M, Arkansas, and Ole Miss did the next 14 years, they might be more in line with those programs.

It's been 8 years since Florida last won the SEC. If they went another 14 seasons without a title, that would give them a streak of 22 years without a trophy. That's not good when they started the first 59 years of the SEC without any also.


Of course all of this is hypothetical.... but LSU went through a rather abysmal period of football from 1989-1999.... Tennessee has been dreadful for the most part from 2002-2015. It's entirely possible that Florida could experience a drought like that..... my point is, Florida doesn't have as much room for error like Tennessee did. Tennessee was clearly the league's second best program as of 2002. It wasn't even debatable. In fact, at that time (coupled with Alabama's struggles), it seemed more likely they'd begin to challenge Alabama for the #1 spot all-time rather than drop down to #3. But what they've endured for 14 seasons has been unbelievably bad. Florida is at best the #5 program in the SEC.... and I'd actually go with Auburn #5 and Florida #6. The gap between the Big 6 and everyone else is large.... but if there is one program capable of dropping out, it would be Florida.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69901 posts
Posted on 5/9/16 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

PS
DEAR LORD DOOLEY WAS AWFUL.




Apple fell way the frick away from the tree. But, even in the worst 11 years in our program's history, we still didn't manage to average 2-6.
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 5Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow SECRant for SEC Football News
Follow us on Twitter and Facebook to get the latest updates on SEC Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitter