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Aggies vs Arkansas - Stat Comparison

Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:25 pm
Posted by SpreadsheetAg
Bayou City
Member since Jan 2010
117 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:25 pm
I post these mostly on TexAgs, but what the hell... it's a slow day

Notes:
- Ags an opportunity for Rueben or Ainias to return one this game
- Ags defense is better (on paper) than most on TexAgs want to admit
- We are by far the best defense the Razorbacks will have faced this year
- Ags do not force a lot of turnovers despite having a pretty good defense
- If our front 7 plays like they did against Auburn, they should have a great showing vs their O-Line (2 fish OTs?)
- KJ Jefferson is pretty damned good - despite being harassed, he completes 70% of this throws
- I expect to see alot of flags this game, both teams are awful in the penalties category

Note: Ags only 2 offensive categories outside the top 55 are Run Yards and Run Plays per game... honestly, I think we don't run enough; and if our OL plays like they did in the 2nd half of Auburn, we could be a pretty damn good balanced offense run vs pass...



edit: and as always I notice a few flaws the first week I do these...
Flaw 1: Copy/Paste error on Ainias and Rueben ht/wt on the PR / KR fields
Flaw 2: Arkansas best quarter is Q1, not Q2 in the !x! breakdown
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 1:41 pm
Posted by SlicedBread
Member since Feb 2022
887 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Stat Comparison


quote:

bunch of opinions
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
17379 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:32 pm to
Thank for you for bringing your work over here. It is interesting. The small slice of posters who are normal people will appreciate it. I hope you're able to get your images up.
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 1:33 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
8006 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Sorry, need to find image hose - 2 min

IMG BB
this is the one I always use, and never had a problem



quote:

Posted by Hugh McElroy online on 9/27/23 at 1:32 pm to SpreadsheetAg Thank for you for bringing your work over here. It is interesting. The small slice of posters who are normal people will appreciate it. I hope you're able to get your images up

I agree. He puts out good content.
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 1:36 pm
Posted by SpreadsheetAg
Bayou City
Member since Jan 2010
117 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:38 pm to
Got it - thanks!

Also, I can run any two teams stats side-by-side, but it takes about an hour to fine tune everything for the prediction algorithms (manual entry of past opponents schedule, records, background color changes, etc.)
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
8006 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:41 pm to
Have you ever done the analysis after the game? Kept the stats? Compared to Vegas? I would be interested in that info if so.

quote:

Also, I can run any two teams stats side-by-side

I’m sure most here would like to see LSU vs Ole Miss if you are looking for something to do. Georgia vs Auburn maybe too.
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 1:45 pm
Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
50766 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:43 pm to
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
65697 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:45 pm to
Your shite has been fair to spare on TexAgs for > 15 years

Show us the spreadsheet of your overall W/L
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
30974 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:46 pm to
Can you post your stat comparison from prior to the Miami game? Curious to see how many yards and points you showed Miami scoring.

With all due respect to aTm, Arkansas just put up 31 points and about 430 yards against a defense that will likely end up better than aTm's. It also looks like Rocket Sanders will be back this week.

Posted by SpreadsheetAg
Bayou City
Member since Jan 2010
117 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Have you ever done the analysis after the game? Kept the stats? Compared to Vegas? I would be interested in that info if so.


I used to; but it's a hassle and given my current work schedule and 3 kids plus fostering on/off the last 4 years... I've lost track and don't have the motivation to go back and update... maybe in 10 years when the kids are on their way out of the house ;)
Posted by SpreadsheetAg
Bayou City
Member since Jan 2010
117 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Can you post your stat comparison from prior to the Miami game? Curious to see how many yards and points you showed Miami scoring.


I don't start these until around week 4 due to lack of data. And this is my first one for 2023 because I am currently working overseas with shite internet.
This post was edited on 9/27/23 at 1:53 pm
Posted by SpreadsheetAg
Bayou City
Member since Jan 2010
117 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

I’m sure most here would like to see LSU vs Ole Miss if you are looking for something to do.


I may try and kick this out tonight or tomorrow - it won't have the playmakers portion, but I could do the rest pretty quick I think.
Posted by Omahawgs15
Member since Mar 2023
2412 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 2:07 pm to
I disagree on lsu defense being better than Aggies D..
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
10282 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:18 pm to
What are you talking about? That doesn’t even make sense
Posted by MassHole
Member since Dec 2021
1421 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:28 pm to
Good stuff. Thank you.

However, just throw it all in the trash for this game.

Nothing matters in the Chaos Game.

What you think will happen, probably will not happen.

And what you think is impossible, is probable.


Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25332 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:32 pm to
Nice work
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25332 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:37 pm to
Has formula 1 and/or 2 accurately predicted winner in the 4 games played for aTm?
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
10282 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:42 pm to
Had Sategna just be handling return duties but hasn’t caught a ball at WR yet? Am I reading that right? I thought he would have seen the field more by now.
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25332 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:50 pm to
We all have similar thoughts as you. He fast and great acceleration. Been said inconsistent catching and/or blocking
Posted by Lord of the Hogs
Member since Sep 2023
1535 posts
Posted on 9/27/23 at 5:52 pm to
Only offense A&M has played lit their arse up.
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