SpreadsheetAg

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putting the starters back in to preserve the shut out

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Yall scored 10 points in the 2nd half...?

Its fairly good...

Except for the debacle that were the Jimbo 2022 and 2023 seasons, it's been very good at picking the winner straight up.

Another for Defense vs Offense for P4 teams (plus ND)

X.com Link also

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Is there anything you see that caused last week to deviate so much?

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Referees allowing the Arkansas OL to bear hug our DL on every play in the 4th quarter and never call holding? Or calling back Reed's 56yard TD run because of "holding" that last .13 seconds and was 7 yards away from the path of Reed after he already ran past the big DL that was never, ever going to catch Reed as he ran past the entire Arkansas defense...?

Do I sound bitter? I may be a little bitter about that game... but a W is a W

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As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us

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Trust me, from 30 years of watching Aggie Football, I get this 100%

Gonna be a close game on the road... but my model mirrors the betting line this week.

As requested by Tornado Alley on the Texas A&M at Arkansas - StatSim thread

See below for UGA hosting Ole Miss

Looks like a blowout on paper... hope that holds.

They had one Kick-Off Return allowed versus an FBS opponent (Arkansas State) and it went for a 98-yard touchdown. I think they'll do everything they can to kick everything through the endzone and not allow Concepcion to return one.
They are also bad a punt return defense... and punt returns.... and kick off returns....
They are also really, really, really bad on all facets of defense; just horrid.
But! they've played 4 top-20 offenses in a row (probably attributable to them being on the defense and their horrid defense showing up on the other team's stat sheets)... but still.
We will be the 2nd best offense they've played and the best defense they've played.
Tennessee is a paper tiger; good offense and really bad defense; it's the only reason Arkansas was within 1 score of winning.
Top 3rd Down Defense (Aggies at 20% allowed) versus Top-5 3rd Down Offense (Arky at 55%); I feel we don't keep the streak up, but they don't achieve more than 40% conversions either.
Officially, I think the score may be tighter than the model indicated. I am personnaly prediction a 38-24 or 38-28 type of game. But We could score ALOT more, if we're clicking. However, it being on the road and Moss being out; I think Vegas is closer than my model; and I would bet the Ags to cover (if I placed wagers, which I don't).

*** This is not betting advice and I take no responsibility if you use this data to place wagers and lose ***



[Note: Just noticed a made a booboo on the QxQ and opponent record section ; Arkansas is 2-4 (0-2); no 2-3 (1-1)... forgot to replace the Florida record from last week.]