Started By
Message
Odds of A$M going 6-6(3-5)
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:49 pm
Aggies currently 6-3 (3-2) and face South Carolina (4-6) at home, #5 Georgia (8-1) in Georgia, and #1 LSU (9-0) in Baton Rouge.
I see 100% chance of loss to LSU, 95% chance of loss to Georgia coming off Auburn, and 20% chance of loss to S Carolina at home. Therefore 6-6 (3-5) at 19% chance.
Realistically see 7-5 (4-4).
$1,000,000/win ROI.
I see 100% chance of loss to LSU, 95% chance of loss to Georgia coming off Auburn, and 20% chance of loss to S Carolina at home. Therefore 6-6 (3-5) at 19% chance.
Realistically see 7-5 (4-4).
$1,000,000/win ROI.
18
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:53 pm to Gaspergou202
They got the GOAT Jimbo, and LSU got stuck with Orgeron.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:55 pm to Gaspergou202
Odds of OP being Schwul = 100%
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:55 pm to Gaspergou202
quote:
Odds of A$M going 6-6(3-5)
quote:
Realistically see 7-5 (4-4).
Why did you leave out the SECCG?
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:56 pm to LSU Patrick
7.5 = 7-5 
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:59 pm to sweetwaterbilly
AM will win two of those games.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:00 pm to Gaspergou202
How do you get 19% chance if LSU is 100% chance to win? That's not how compound percentages work, dum dum.
FPI says A&M has a 16% chance of going 6-6.
% Chance to Lose according to FPI:
SC - 22.1%
Georgia - 84.1%
LSU - 86.2%
.221 x .841 x .862 = .160 (16%)
FPI says A&M has a 16% chance of going 6-6.
% Chance to Lose according to FPI:
SC - 22.1%
Georgia - 84.1%
LSU - 86.2%
.221 x .841 x .862 = .160 (16%)
This post was edited on 11/14/19 at 2:02 pm
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:12 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
quote:
Odds of OP being Schwul = 100%
Project here often?
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:15 pm to Gaspergou202
Looking like they'll finish 3-0. Jimbo has the best QB in the conference rolling right now and that Defense is lights out.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:17 pm to Gaspergou202
I see 8-4.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:18 pm to Gaspergou202
Team rankings gives us about 19.6% shot with 7-5 being the most likely finish by a long shot.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:20 pm to Gaspergou202
Odds of Gaspergou202 being an Aggsessed biotch? 100% 
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:20 pm to QuackAttack716
quote:
I see 8-4.
8-5 after the bowl
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:21 pm to nerd guy
They seem to be practicing for the CEH spin move!
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:22 pm to Farmer1906
quote:
with 7-5
$75 million guaranteed
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:24 pm to allin2010
quote:
AM will win two of those games.
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:32 pm to TchPowDog
quote:
How do you get 19% chance if LSU is 100% chance to win? That's not how compound percentages work, dum dum.
I’ll type slow. Try to keep up. First, my estimated values are more correct.
quote:
I see 100% chance of loss to LSU, 95% chance of loss to Georgia coming off Auburn, and 20% chance of loss to S Carolina at home. Therefore 6-6 (3-5) at 19% chance.
6-6 means they loose all three.
They have a 20% chance of losing to S Carolina. So 20% = 0.20
They have a 95% chance of losing to Georgia. So 95% = 0.95
They have a 100% chance of losing to LSU. So 100% = 1.00
So mathematically their chances of loosing to all three is 0.2 x 0.95 x 1.00 = 0.19 or 19%.
I’m sitting here hoping you don’t work for my accountant’s firm, but I’ll give you some credit for spelling dum-dum right. Although it’s generally hyphenated I grade on a curve!
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:33 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:BHP:
They seem to be practicing for the CEH spin move!
Is that Jason Biggs of American Pie fame in your gif? LOL
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:36 pm to Gaspergou202
We’ve said from the moment he was hired 2018 and 2019 would be meh at best. He’s trying to win in the SEC with three star Sumlin specials.
2020 was always the first year we were gonna have a shot at 10+ wins
2020 was always the first year we were gonna have a shot at 10+ wins
Posted on 11/14/19 at 2:39 pm to TchPowDog
quote:
.221 x .841 x .862 = .160 (16%)
Subtle math brag
Page 1 of 4
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News