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re: Bama a 7 point favorite without Tua
Posted on 10/29/19 at 3:55 pm to remaster916
Posted on 10/29/19 at 3:55 pm to remaster916
Bama will be fine with or without Tua. He's a really good QB, but Bama has recruited better than anyone for years. They will be a tough match regardless of who plays.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 3:59 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:Honest ones or crooked ones?
How many points do y’all think QBs are worth to spreads?
Posted on 10/29/19 at 3:59 pm to ReauxlTide222
When it's a heisman/nc contender and has achieved pretty high accolades I would expect more. You really think a mac jones led bama O will only fall that much
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:00 pm to remaster916
Thought more people would be all on this early for LSU and the line would drop rapidly.
We still have big money putting the dollars on Bama, even with that number.
Those guys know something.
We still have big money putting the dollars on Bama, even with that number.
Those guys know something.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:08 pm to remaster916
And home field is usually about 3. So all things considered Vegas really only see Bama as about a 3pt favorite at a neutral site without Tua.
This post was edited on 10/29/19 at 4:10 pm
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:09 pm to remaster916
quote:OK. Congrats
Bama a 7 point favorite without Tua
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:10 pm to Nado Jenkins83
quote:It isn’t so much the difference in the starter and backup as it is how teams change how they play when a backup is in.
When it's a heisman/nc contender and has achieved pretty high accolades I would expect more. You really think a mac jones led bama O will only fall that much
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:12 pm to remaster916
Bama shoud be favored by 17. No way Bama can lose this game.
This post was edited on 10/29/19 at 4:13 pm
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:15 pm to remaster916
quote:
Bama a 7 point favorite without Tua
Nah. But sounds like a cool story
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:19 pm to 1BIGTigerFan
quote:
1BIGTigerFan
I was wondering when this would happen. The only thing is it didn't work for the bama game last year.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:20 pm to remaster916
So Tua is not considered important to Bama's success?
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:21 pm to Bham4Tide
quote:As I said in a post yesterday, the professional odds makers are going to make a game line as close as they can, THEN move it according to the direction the money's going. The professional gamblers ("sharps") usually make their bets immediately after the opening line hits, because they're basically hunting for an odds makers' mistake. And when they believe they've found one, they'll drop the big hammer (huge bet). That's what generally causes the quick move in the opening line.
Thought more people would be all on this early for LSU and the line would drop rapidly.
We still have big money putting the dollars on Bama, even with that number.
Those guys know something.
Bottom line is if you see a 1 1/2 point or better move immediately after the line comes out, you can assume the "sharps" moved it.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:23 pm to ReauxlTide222
Ohh I understand that. But the problem is bama wont be dictating how this game is played. That would be the shrimp boat captain
This post was edited on 10/29/19 at 4:24 pm
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:24 pm to remaster916
These Vegas guys are all over the place. Heard one the other day on ESPNU Radio say Tua was conservatively worth 8 points.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:31 pm to Nado Jenkins83
I actually agree.
I’m this particular game I’m not sure if Alabama will be able to slow it down and try to grind out a win. Their defense isn’t good enough to do that I don’t think. I’m worried about y’all running the ball really effectively and making it impossible to get stops.
I’m this particular game I’m not sure if Alabama will be able to slow it down and try to grind out a win. Their defense isn’t good enough to do that I don’t think. I’m worried about y’all running the ball really effectively and making it impossible to get stops.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:33 pm to ReauxlTide222
I'm worried because of who is coaching bama. He will find a way. Sly as a fox
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:34 pm to Rip N Lip
The only "Vegas guys" you can pay attention to are the ones who make the lines.
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