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re: Bama a 7 point favorite without Tua

Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:40 pm to
Posted by Irons Puppet
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2009
25901 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:40 pm to
LSU boat races Bama without Tua.
Posted by RT58
Alabama
Member since Oct 2007
3674 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:46 pm to
The same can be said about your receivers making Burrows look good.
Hell he couldn't complete a forward
Pass last year hardly
Posted by RTRinTampa
Central FL
Member since Jan 2013
5532 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:50 pm to
I know it was Arkansas but Bama set a 1st half scoring team record last week with the Mack Attack. We'll be fine either way.
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

As I said in a post yesterday, the professional odds makers are going to make a game line as close as they can, THEN move it according to the direction the money's going. The professional gamblers ("sharps") usually make their bets immediately after the opening line hits, because they're basically hunting for an odds makers' mistake. And when they believe they've found one, they'll drop the big hammer (huge bet). That's what generally causes the quick move in the opening line.
Bottom line is if you see a 1 1/2 point or better move immediately after the line comes out, you can assume the "sharps" moved it.


Seems that opening line that sharps hit is rarely available to the majority of the betting public. I do like to watch those spreads to see if the public moves it back the other way. Sharps are also known to come in late, Sat. morning or even just before kick.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
8055 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:07 pm to
I hope so easy money!
Posted by Mulat
Avalon Bch, FL
Member since Sep 2010
17517 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:07 pm to
3 of those points are HOME FIELD advantage
Posted by John Milner
Member since Jan 2015
6526 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:19 pm to
Tua is worth only 3-4 points? That's ridiculous.
Posted by LC412000
Any location where a plane flies
Member since Mar 2004
16673 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:21 pm to
I said with Tua, I'd put it as 12-14 points. Without him, then drops to 8-10 points
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30600 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

Seems that opening line that sharps hit is rarely available to the majority of the betting public. I do like to watch those spreads to see if the public moves it back the other way. Sharps are also known to come in late, Sat. morning or even just before kick.
If you don't already have a method, google VegasInsider,go to "NCAA FB", click it and scroll down to "Vegas Odds", then pick a game and click the actual number the favorite is giving. This should show you what you want to know regarding where, when and how much the lines started and the time they moved.
I hope that helps.
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
13051 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:33 pm to
So they are saying Tua isn’t that good? Interesting.
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
13051 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

The same can be said about your receivers making Burrows look good. Hell he couldn't complete a forward Pass last year hardly



And yet here he is. Kicking the shite out of Tuna in every statistical category except “injuries taken”.
Posted by 1BIGTigerFan
100,000 posts
Member since Jan 2007
49257 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

I was wondering when this would happen. The only thing is it didn't work for the bama game last year.

While this is true, let's keep the momentum going.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18222 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:25 pm to
quote:

Weird flex
true, only because I believe Burrow is the only reason it is within 21 without Tua.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18222 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

3 of those points are HOME FIELD advantage
typically, yes. But in this rivalry, it is a handicap. Plus, you add in that UA had to add a non-epilepsy friendly light show to get the 65% gray hairs to move off of their hands
Posted by ecb
Member since Jul 2010
9356 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:30 pm to
Great
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

If you don't already have a method, google VegasInsider,go to "NCAA FB", click it and scroll down to "Vegas Odds", then pick a game and click the actual number the favorite is giving. This should show you what you want to know regarding where, when and how much the lines started and the time they moved.
I hope that helps.


Helps with what? I think we're talking about two different openers.
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