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re: Bama a 7 point favorite without Tua
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:40 pm to remaster916
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:40 pm to remaster916
LSU boat races Bama without Tua.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:46 pm to reggieray420
The same can be said about your receivers making Burrows look good.
Hell he couldn't complete a forward
Pass last year hardly
Hell he couldn't complete a forward
Pass last year hardly
Posted on 10/29/19 at 4:50 pm to RT58
I know it was Arkansas but Bama set a 1st half scoring team record last week with the Mack Attack. We'll be fine either way.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:03 pm to coachcrisp
quote:
As I said in a post yesterday, the professional odds makers are going to make a game line as close as they can, THEN move it according to the direction the money's going. The professional gamblers ("sharps") usually make their bets immediately after the opening line hits, because they're basically hunting for an odds makers' mistake. And when they believe they've found one, they'll drop the big hammer (huge bet). That's what generally causes the quick move in the opening line.
Bottom line is if you see a 1 1/2 point or better move immediately after the line comes out, you can assume the "sharps" moved it.
Seems that opening line that sharps hit is rarely available to the majority of the betting public. I do like to watch those spreads to see if the public moves it back the other way. Sharps are also known to come in late, Sat. morning or even just before kick.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:07 pm to remaster916
3 of those points are HOME FIELD advantage
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:19 pm to remaster916
Tua is worth only 3-4 points? That's ridiculous.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:21 pm to remaster916
I said with Tua, I'd put it as 12-14 points. Without him, then drops to 8-10 points
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:28 pm to CrabInMyShoeMouth
quote:If you don't already have a method, google VegasInsider,go to "NCAA FB", click it and scroll down to "Vegas Odds", then pick a game and click the actual number the favorite is giving. This should show you what you want to know regarding where, when and how much the lines started and the time they moved.
Seems that opening line that sharps hit is rarely available to the majority of the betting public. I do like to watch those spreads to see if the public moves it back the other way. Sharps are also known to come in late, Sat. morning or even just before kick.
I hope that helps.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:33 pm to remaster916
So they are saying Tua isn’t that good? Interesting.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 5:34 pm to RT58
quote:
The same can be said about your receivers making Burrows look good. Hell he couldn't complete a forward Pass last year hardly
And yet here he is. Kicking the shite out of Tuna in every statistical category except “injuries taken”.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:17 pm to memphisplaya
quote:
I was wondering when this would happen. The only thing is it didn't work for the bama game last year.
While this is true, let's keep the momentum going.
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:25 pm to junkfunky
quote:true, only because I believe Burrow is the only reason it is within 21 without Tua.
Weird flex
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:29 pm to Mulat
quote:typically, yes. But in this rivalry, it is a handicap. Plus, you add in that UA had to add a non-epilepsy friendly light show to get the 65% gray hairs to move off of their hands
3 of those points are HOME FIELD advantage
Posted on 10/29/19 at 9:53 pm to coachcrisp
quote:
If you don't already have a method, google VegasInsider,go to "NCAA FB", click it and scroll down to "Vegas Odds", then pick a game and click the actual number the favorite is giving. This should show you what you want to know regarding where, when and how much the lines started and the time they moved.
I hope that helps.
Helps with what? I think we're talking about two different openers.
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