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Chips are down: Among the higher seeded SEC teams, who gets bounced and who goes furthest?
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:23 pm
Higher seeded in the NCAA Men's Tournament
Auburn
Florida
Tennessee
Alabama
I guess TAMU
Who gets bounced first and who goes furthest?
Auburn
Florida
Tennessee
Alabama
I guess TAMU
Who gets bounced first and who goes furthest?
9
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:24 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
quote:
Who gets bounced first and who goes furthest?
Bounced first: Tennessee
Furthest: Florida
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:25 pm to SEC Doctor
quote:
Tennessee
Is this because "Rick Barnes in March"?
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:26 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
A&M is in the second group with UK, Ole Miss, and Mizzou.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:27 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
quote:
Is this because "Rick Barnes in March"?
Partly. Partly because I am not as impressed with the team as a whole.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:28 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
Hard to say. i could see any of these teams winning it. i could also see any of them being bounced
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:33 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
Its' all about matchups. You can hit some bad matchups in the 2nd game as a high seed.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:34 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
I’d need to see the bracket before making any decisions on this. But even then we’ve seen what can happen in the dance.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:39 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
quote:
Auburn
Florida
Tennessee
Alabama
TAMU
Kentucky
Honestly they've all pretty much avoided losses to any team they'd see before the Sweet 16 other than Texas A&M and Kentucky.
Losses (latest projected seed)
Kentucky (10) - #1 Auburn, #2 Alabama, #2 Alabama, #5 Ole Miss, #6 Clemson, #9 Vanderbilt, #10 Georgia, #11 Arkansas, #11 Ohio State, N/A Texas ----- 4 losses to seeds pre-Sweet 16
Texas A&M (9) - #1 Florida, #2 Tennessee, #2 Alabama, #4 Kentucky, #4 Oregon, #6 Mississippi St, #9 Vanderbilt, N/A Texas, N/A UCF ----- 4 losses
Alabama (7) - #1 Auburn, #1 Florida, #2 Tennessee, #3 Purdue, #4 Oregon, #5 Missouri, #5 Ole Miss ----- 0 losses
Tennessee (6) - #1 Florida, #1 Auburn, #4 Kentucky, #4 Kentucky, #5 Ole Miss, #9 Vanderbilt - 1 loss
Florida (4) - #2 Tennessee, #4 Kentucky, #5 Missouri, #10 Georgia ------ 1 loss
Auburn (3) - #1 Duke, #1 Florida, #3 Texas A&M ----- 0 losses
Texas A&M is the clear top option to lose a game to a low seed along with Kentucky.
Tennessee is probably next just because they can have rough offensive games at times and their tempo and style make it possible for a lower seed to get them if they are playing fast and making shots.
Alabama will have to do something different to get past the Sweet 16, and they could lose to a 7 seed who is playing really well (BYU, for example), but they've consistently beaten all the teams this season they've played that fall in that #6-11 seed range.
Auburn and Florida could if they play really bad, but they're just both much better than the 8/9 seed teams they'll see. I'd be pretty shocked.
This post was edited on 3/6/25 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:41 pm to SummerOfGeorge
All of Alabama, Florida, Tennessee and Auburn's losses are to locked in NCAA Tournament teams and all but 2 of them are to teams that will be #5 seeds or better in the tournament.
That's pretty damn wild.
That's pretty damn wild.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:42 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
I once believed we were capable of a serious run. Highly unlikely now.
Tenn gets bounced in the second round.
Florida and Auburn make the final four
Alabama elite 8
Missouri/atm/Ole Miss/UK/State/Vandy/Georgia/Arkansas: One might make an elite 8, but some make a sweet 16 while half get knocked out in the opening weekend.
Tenn gets bounced in the second round.
Florida and Auburn make the final four
Alabama elite 8
Missouri/atm/Ole Miss/UK/State/Vandy/Georgia/Arkansas: One might make an elite 8, but some make a sweet 16 while half get knocked out in the opening weekend.
This post was edited on 3/6/25 at 1:48 pm
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:45 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Auburn is most consistent so IMO they have the highest likelihood of going the furthest.
We have the highest ceiling but we come out flat too often.. Mizzou/Georgia/South Carolina.
I'll go with Auburn.
Bama's defense makes them most unpredictable.
We have the highest ceiling but we come out flat too often.. Mizzou/Georgia/South Carolina.
I'll go with Auburn.
Bama's defense makes them most unpredictable.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:50 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
VOLS either lose 2nd round or are going to the F4
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:51 pm to SM1010
quote:
Bama's defense makes them most unpredictable.
The only time our defense faulters is against elite offenses
Florida, Missouri, Auburn, Kentucky, Purdue (and the random game in North Dakota) are the only games we gave up 1.2 PPP or more.
#1 - Auburn
#4 - Florida
#5 - Missouri
#6 - Kentucky
#8 - Purdue
That's 5 of the 8 best offenses in the country. It's why it feels like we're a terrible defense but in reality we're #39 nationally (as opposed to last year when we were hovering around #100 because we couldn't even stop bad offenses). There are some land mines that could exploit us defensively in the #7-10 range (Gonzaga, BYU, Baylor) but they're all below average to terrible defensively and would struggle mightily to guard us.
Our biggest issue with this team is when we play a team who is both very good on offense and able to guard at a high level because we cannot win the margin stuff (turnovers, free throws, etc). That will show up in the Sweet 16 and unless something changes we'll bow out at that point against St Johns, Texas Tech, Purdue, Maryland, etc.
This post was edited on 3/6/25 at 1:54 pm
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:51 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
I wouldn’t be shocked if Florida goes furthest.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 1:58 pm to TTsTowel
quote:
I wouldn’t be shocked if Florida goes furthest.
I think the 3 best teams in the country are Florida, Auburn and Duke. They're all able to play at an elite level on both ends, they all have multiple ways to beat you, they are all comfortable playing at any tempo. The interesting thing to see will be whether Auburn/Florida playing knock down drag outs for 3 months is a positive/negative/no real difference compared to Duke's jaunt through the ACC.
I love what Houston's program is, but I remain convinced that program is built for night in and night out regular season control and the tournament really is a disadvantage for them. They have more offense this year (especially shooters) so maybe that changes the calculation a little, but I just don't trust it.
Posted on 3/6/25 at 2:06 pm to SummerOfGeorge
A lot of great offenses to watch in the conference this year.
1 Alabama 91.1
3 Kentucky 85.6
6 Auburn 85.0
7 Missouri 84.6
9 Florida 84.3
1 Alabama 91.1
3 Kentucky 85.6
6 Auburn 85.0
7 Missouri 84.6
9 Florida 84.3
Posted on 3/6/25 at 2:24 pm to SEC Doctor
quote:
Bounced first: Tennessee
Furthest: Florida
Gators take home #3
Posted on 3/6/25 at 2:27 pm to Marcelo Lavanda
quote:
Is this because "Rick Barnes in March"?
I'm just wondering where they go to when they need points reliably
the defense is of course spectacular and whoever they face will score well below average but when you need to get multiple scoring possessions where we going?
I do know they have excellent final second plays drawn up
Posted on 3/6/25 at 3:00 pm to Wallacewade04
Auburn has shown they can win all styles of games against all styles of teams, throughout the whole year. Auburn wont be tested until they face a defense that can challenge Broome and Cardwell. Even then, teams will need to make their shots and prevent us from making ours (see Kentucky). If i had to bet on a final four team, itd be here.
Match ups are incredibly important though.
Match ups are incredibly important though.
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