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Cincy @ Arkansas -6
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:16 pm
Does this seem low? Arky has a solid amount of hype and I think for good reason. Cincy lost a ton. Why isn't this a 2 score line in Fayetteville? What am I missing?
27
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:31 pm to Farmer1906
Man I'm nervous about this one.... probably by the way we opened the season last year. Very underwhelming. I feel like the quality of opponent will help with that this year but still.... first game... who knows what to expect.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:31 pm to Farmer1906
Arkansas’ offense is a known commodity and Fickell had all off-season to plan for it. Cinci will not lay down. Good chance it’s a close game. The spread seems about right to me.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:33 pm to Farmer1906
Bama showed everybody how to beat Cincy. Just run right at them. Bama was not the best rushing team in the SEC last year. No, that would be Arky. Cincy going down.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:33 pm to Farmer1906
Nothing. It will probably be a close game as Arkansas last year struggled against Rice and they led at the half. Then Arkansas began to figure things out and scored three TDs in the fourth quarter. I expect a similar game to Rice. First game of the year for both teams brings a lot of question marks. Arkansas as of late hasn't played very well against division one opponents. So the line is where it needs to be.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:03 pm to Farmer1906
I never bet the Hogs…
Until this week
Until this week
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:47 pm to Farmer1906
We'll beat Cincinnati by 17 or more. Bama ran for 300 yards on them in the CFP. Cincinnati lost 7 starters off of that defense. We led the P5 last year in rushing with a 228 rushing ypg. We have 4/5 returning OL starters, KJ and 3 stud running backs. We will run all over them.
They are breaking in a new QB....they had 9 players drafted. They aren't Bama or UGA and just simply reload.
Hogs - 34
Cincy - 17
They are breaking in a new QB....they had 9 players drafted. They aren't Bama or UGA and just simply reload.
Hogs - 34
Cincy - 17
Posted on 8/31/22 at 4:17 pm to Farmer1906
Public is 76 % on the hogs but line keeps moving in favor of cinci. In other words, Big sharp money is coming in on Cinci.
Why?
Well, the money must still think Arkansas is the same Arkansas that was losing to teams like San Jose st, Colorado st, Missouri, and north Texas. Or they think there isn’t much of a drop from the team that played in the playoffs last year or maybe some of both.
I don’t know, I can’t figure it but I’ve learned to trust when public is heavy on one side but the line is moving the other side. If I followed this and Arkansas wasn’t involved, id bet Cincinnati .
When it comes to Arkansas football, I don’t get with my head so i tend to stay away because my heart says bet heavy on Arkansas but my head says follow the money and bet cinci.
I just don’t know. I still think Arkansas wins but maybe I’m over confident thinking we win by two scores.
Why?
Well, the money must still think Arkansas is the same Arkansas that was losing to teams like San Jose st, Colorado st, Missouri, and north Texas. Or they think there isn’t much of a drop from the team that played in the playoffs last year or maybe some of both.
I don’t know, I can’t figure it but I’ve learned to trust when public is heavy on one side but the line is moving the other side. If I followed this and Arkansas wasn’t involved, id bet Cincinnati .
When it comes to Arkansas football, I don’t get with my head so i tend to stay away because my heart says bet heavy on Arkansas but my head says follow the money and bet cinci.
I just don’t know. I still think Arkansas wins but maybe I’m over confident thinking we win by two scores.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 4:37 pm to Farmer1906
I was impressed with Cincinnati's defense last year. They weren't equipped up front but they played hard and didn't miss tackles. I know they lost quite a bit but I think Fickel knows what he is doing and has a solid program up there.
I'd guess they compete hard but Arkansas wears on them and stretches it out late.
I'd guess they compete hard but Arkansas wears on them and stretches it out late.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 4:39 pm to Farmer1906
Bet the house on the Hogs. Easy W
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:42 pm to Farmer1906
28-23 Arkansas
Cincy covers with a late TD but doesn’t make the 2pt conversion
Cincy covers with a late TD but doesn’t make the 2pt conversion
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 5:43 pm
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:47 pm to Farmer1906
I agree it’s low. Cincinnati lost 9 starters to the draft. They aren’t a program that is simply going to reload from that. Arkansas should run away with this.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 8:50 pm to Farmer1906
I think it’s 100% due to Cincy making a CFP appearance last season. Not to mention their overall record over the past two is cause for keeping it single digits. Otherwise there is potential for a very lopsided handle that would be considered high risk if I were to guess. The line opened about right 7.5. Arkansas is a great bet and would guess Vegas knows this but the line movement suggests bigger bettors think otherwise. Bigger losers on Saturday.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 10:46 pm to Farmer1906
quote:
Cincy @ Arkansas -6
Does this seem low? Arky has a solid amount of hype and I think for good reason. Cincy lost a ton. Why isn't this a 2 score line in Fayetteville? What am I missing?
ZERO way Cincy walks out with a win... none!
Posted on 8/31/22 at 11:12 pm to Farmer1906
quote:
What am I missing?
Fickell has done a good job building a program at Cinci. It wasn't just last year. They're like 44-7 over the last four seasons. In the past two years they've only lost to Georgia and Alabama.
They lost a shitload of talent, but I still expect them to be solid. It'll depend on how quickly Arkansas can get out the gate. If they don't come out clicking it'll be a tight game. If they come out playing well the Hogs should handle them easily.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 11:23 pm to Farmer1906
Last 4 years they have went
13-1
9-1
11-3
11-2
Are we seriously asking if a TD is too little for Arkansas to be giving in this game?
They don’t have the horses to hang with the truly elite, but they will give Arkansas everything they want and more on Saturday. I don’t know why people think different.
13-1
9-1
11-3
11-2
Are we seriously asking if a TD is too little for Arkansas to be giving in this game?
They don’t have the horses to hang with the truly elite, but they will give Arkansas everything they want and more on Saturday. I don’t know why people think different.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 11:26 pm to Farmer1906
well cicnininatti was just in playoff last year yes lost lot from roster but safe bet they are still good..... we are good not great, I think being favored by 6 at home is very reason-able.....
Posted on 9/1/22 at 12:59 am to Farmer1906
I’d say it should be closer to 10
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:02 am to Farmer1906
Seems right to me.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:08 am to Farmer1906
Arkansas -6 is a lock. Hogs by 12+/
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