Started By
Message
Some falsehoods that can finally die
Posted on 3/7/21 at 11:57 am
Posted on 3/7/21 at 11:57 am
Some of our fans repeatedly believe the same myths peddled by the talking heads on ESPN, but the 2020-21 athletic year ought to put some of them to rest among our fans from recent experience.
1. It takes 5 years to improve the win output in college athletics, therefore the fans must be "patient" during years of losses. 2x false
2. The "cupboard is bare". This is an excuse made by poor coaches who can not maximize wins from the talent on a roster
3. Splash hires are required to get the attention of recruits. This is false. Winning gets the attention of recruits
4. Flash beats substance. Again false. Pittboss is honest and down to earth, not flashy. People love him for it. Muss is passionate, and while he does pull the occasional antic, it is his game prep that sets him apart
5. "We will never recover from this". I can't count how many fans and pundits have concluded Arkansas is destined to be an SEC doormat after the recent years of sucking. If a coach says this, they are the one who is not up to the job. Winning has always been possible here.
These myths should all be dead and buried for Arkansas fans forever.
1. It takes 5 years to improve the win output in college athletics, therefore the fans must be "patient" during years of losses. 2x false
2. The "cupboard is bare". This is an excuse made by poor coaches who can not maximize wins from the talent on a roster
3. Splash hires are required to get the attention of recruits. This is false. Winning gets the attention of recruits
4. Flash beats substance. Again false. Pittboss is honest and down to earth, not flashy. People love him for it. Muss is passionate, and while he does pull the occasional antic, it is his game prep that sets him apart
5. "We will never recover from this". I can't count how many fans and pundits have concluded Arkansas is destined to be an SEC doormat after the recent years of sucking. If a coach says this, they are the one who is not up to the job. Winning has always been possible here.
These myths should all be dead and buried for Arkansas fans forever.
Posted on 3/7/21 at 1:19 pm to Porker Face
quote:this x1000 if a coach is not successful early he will rarely gain the ability to be successful later. Either your a winner or your not
. It takes 5 years to improve the win output in college athletics, therefore the fans must be "patient" during years of losses. 2x false
Posted on 3/7/21 at 2:19 pm to Porker Face
quote:
there is no pioneerbasketball curse
The only one that matters I've listed for you
Posted on 3/7/21 at 2:47 pm to Hawgnsincebirth55
I think the follow on, "we can't fire a loser coach because we will look unstable and no one will take the job" is equally BS. Reality is there are hundreds of coaches who want a shot to prove themselves in the SEC
In fact I don't know why SEC schools pay so much for coaches. The fact is there is extremely limited supply (openings) and arse loads of demand (wannabe coaches)
In fact I don't know why SEC schools pay so much for coaches. The fact is there is extremely limited supply (openings) and arse loads of demand (wannabe coaches)
Posted on 3/7/21 at 7:50 pm to Porker Face
Basketball and Football are different animals in this respect. It does take longer to turn a football program around. Basketball you can do in one year, if you recruit very good players/transfers.
Posted on 3/8/21 at 8:27 am to WonderWartHawg
quote:Bingo. Much quicker to turn around a roster of 12 than a roster of 50+.
Basketball and Football are different animals in this respect. It does take longer to turn a football program around. Basketball you can do in one year, if you recruit very good players/transfers.
Posted on 3/8/21 at 8:48 am to Drewbie
I agree, but our historic win percentage is 0.580. In a 13 game schedule that is 7.5 wins. I think most realistic hog fans understand this intuitively
There is no reason to endure years of historically abnormal deviations from this average. The occasional year with QB injury, etc will inevitably happen. But a sustained period of losing beyond a one-off season every now and then serves no purpose, as 100+ year history shows coaches should be able to perform at 7.5 wins/yr or be declared below average. At $3m/year we should not countenance below average for long
Same logic for basketball, except shorter turnaround time and higher win expectations (0.639)
There is no reason to endure years of historically abnormal deviations from this average. The occasional year with QB injury, etc will inevitably happen. But a sustained period of losing beyond a one-off season every now and then serves no purpose, as 100+ year history shows coaches should be able to perform at 7.5 wins/yr or be declared below average. At $3m/year we should not countenance below average for long
Same logic for basketball, except shorter turnaround time and higher win expectations (0.639)
Posted on 3/8/21 at 9:37 am to Porker Face
quote:I understand where you're coming from, but we also just finished a season with 3 wins that is largely considered a successful season by both fans and neutral parties. Everything is relative to the circumstances at hand.
I agree, but our historic win percentage is 0.580. In a 13 game schedule that is 7.5 wins. I think most realistic hog fans understand this intuitively
Not saying we shouldn't expect to win 7-8 games most years, but I don't think that's been a reasonable expectation for a while considering the bungled hires and repeated roster upheavals because of them. I absolutely think Pittman can and will achieve the median win mark and more here, but by the same token, I wasn't expecting him to come in and win half the games on the schedule last year.
I would like to reiterate I agree with the vast majority of your post, but I do think that when it comes to football specifically, we have a tendency to expect more than what's realistic given our situation and the fact that it has landed us around 10th-11th in recruiting against the conference on average.
We had arguably the best or second best set of coordinators/HC in the conference and a 5 star senior QB last year and won 3 games. Our roster is just not in a good spot and hasn't been for a while.
Basketball is obviously a different animal entirely. Our state produces enough talent on its own to be competitive even with a good-not-great coach.
This post was edited on 3/8/21 at 9:51 am
Posted on 3/8/21 at 10:15 am to Drewbie
If we win less than 5 games this year the season should be marked as a disappointment if we can’t win more than 5 next year then that year should be considered a disappointment. If he has more than one disappointing season in the next 3 seasons, he should be let go. That’s not saying I think Pittman will fail, on the contrary I think he will succeeed, but if he doesn’t this shouldn’t be disputed.
Posted on 3/8/21 at 10:27 am to Drewbie
quote:
just finished a season with 3 wins that is largely considered a successful season by both fans and neutral parties. Everything is relative to the circumstances at hand.
Yep. Last years performance would have fallen into that 7ish win category if we had 3 cupcakes like a normal year. That would have put us at 6-6 (assuming a loss to ND) with a winnable bowl game.
It doesn't look like it but that was an awesome season considering we were robbed of one at Auburn and lost to Mizz in the last second. Were it a regular season that means Sam would have been a few plays away from an 8-4 season.
I think we are going to be dangerous AF in football next year. The only big pieces we lose are Franks and Marshall.
Posted on 3/8/21 at 10:57 am to V Bainbridge
I can’t wait to see what Briles can do with a good OL, he’s been hampered by it both at FSU and last year
Posted on 3/8/21 at 3:04 pm to V Bainbridge
quote:
The only big pieces we lose are Franks
This is likely a HUGE loss for us.
KJ has looked "ok" but I just don't see him winning games the way Franks more or less did for us throwing bombs.
Posted on 3/8/21 at 3:07 pm to Hawgnsincebirth55
You laid it out exactly
I think the 2020 season was a success, given what we were starting with, the all SEC schedule, and how comeptitive we looked in the losses. Hell we made a bowl game
I think the 2020 season was a success, given what we were starting with, the all SEC schedule, and how comeptitive we looked in the losses. Hell we made a bowl game
Posted on 3/8/21 at 3:10 pm to STLhog
We’ll see how he looks after getting starter reps all spring and summer
Posted on 3/8/21 at 3:11 pm to V Bainbridge
Don’t forget lost at the horn to LSU too
Posted on 3/8/21 at 4:09 pm to STLhog
quote:
KJ has looked "ok" but I just don't see him winning games the way Franks more or less did for us throwing bombs.
I actually think Marshall is the bigger loss. Middle of the D line is the only unit I don't feel pretty good about going into next year.
KJ may not be as gifted of a thrower as Franks but I think he fits the power run offense better. We were inconsistent on offense because we couldn't run the QB very well with Franks in. He would just make up for it by throwing dimes.
Don't have to be as accurate if they have to keep an extra defender in to stop the QB run. Hornsby is talented and fits that mold too.
Posted on 3/9/21 at 2:56 pm to Hawgnsincebirth55
quote:
That’s not saying I think Pittman will fail, on the contrary I think he will succeeed, but if he doesn’t this shouldn’t be disputed.
It starts with recruiting, and so far, he's been unimpressive. We finished at #25 last year, which is about where we always finish, give or take. He gets a little slack because last year only produced one 4* recruit in the entire state - but that guy went to A&M. It's been a trend for us to lose the top guy basically every year, and that was no exception. These are the first battles we have to start winning. This year, we only have three 4* recruits in the state, with another guy who is like .01 points away from being 4*. And the top one is projected to go to TAMU, yet again, and the fourth one is projected to FSU.
We don't have the leg room to lose all these guys. We have to build that proverbial fence that we've been hearing about for years. It's never been done. I'd like to see Pittman start winning the recruiting battles in our back yard, and then fill the class by cherry picking what we can from the other states.
Posted on 3/10/21 at 8:30 am to V Bainbridge
Our running game is a huge question mark. We essentially have one running back at the moment
Posted on 3/10/21 at 8:54 am to Hawgnsincebirth55
quote:
If he has more than one disappointing season in the next 3 seasons, he should be let go.
What’s a disappointing season to you?
I would say less than 7 wins is disappointing, but then surviving the past decade, a disappointing season is having no hope.
Posted on 3/10/21 at 9:09 am to CFB_Fanatic
quote:
We essentially have one running back at the moment
AJ Green is legit. Plus you got Hammonds coming back and Burks and rocket will get a lot of touches at RB also.
Latest Arkansas News
Popular
Back to top

3




