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re: Tide Hoops | Please Anchor

Posted on 1/4/22 at 2:42 pm to
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41017 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Oats:

"Sometimes it's more satisfying to silence a road crowd than get the home crowd going."
Posted by TideCPA
Member since Jan 2012
14102 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 5:25 pm to
When we throttled Miami I assumed they would suck, but they're 11-3 and atop the ACC. That certainly won't hurt us if they continue to exceed expectations.
Posted by Alabama_Fan
The Road Less Traveled
Member since Sep 2020
16364 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 5:58 pm to
For those who want to watch

Coach Oats' Tuesday press conference
Posted by Alabama_Fan
The Road Less Traveled
Member since Sep 2020
16364 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 6:00 pm to
Player press conference:

Noah Gurley and Jahvon Quinerly
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
30374 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 8:04 pm to
Looks like same Kentucky as last year. Cant finish games
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 9:35 pm to
Have some mercy on us this year
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25587 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 9:56 pm to
That was one ugly finish. Vandy tried giving the game and Arkansas wouldn’t take it.
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 1/4/22 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

Arkansas wouldn’t take it.


Story of the team, terribly inconsistent

Good individual players but bad fits
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41017 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 7:21 am to
We are +2.
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
9323 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 8:40 am to
Missouri canceled with State
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41017 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:00 am to
quote:

Alabama is 11-12 in true road games under Nate Oats, and suffered its worst loss so far this season on the road at Memphis. Tide heads on the road twice this week to Florida and Missouri
quote:

Three of Alabama’s next four games will be on the road, with an in-state clash with currently-No. 9 Auburn scheduled in Coleman Coliseum next Tuesday night.
quote:

Alabama went 4-8 on the road in Oats’ first season, with one of the wins coming in front of a predominantly friendly crowd in Birmingham’s Legacy Arena against Samford. Last season’s team went 7-3, taking losses at Missouri, Oklahoma and Arkansas.
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41017 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:02 am to
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
41017 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:04 am to
Florida team sheet


Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
732 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:21 am to
Still haven't figured out why we are so high in the NET.

Tennessee (9-3) (NET Rank: #9)
Q1: 2-3
Q2: 1-0
Q1+Q2: 3-3
Q3: 0-0
Q4: 6-0
Average NET win/loss: 177/18
Top 10 NET wins: 1

Bama (10-3) (Net Rank: #21)
Q1: 3-2
Q2: 3-1
Q1+Q2: 6-3
Q3: 4-0
Q4: 0-0 (hasn't even played a single Q4 game)
Average NET win/loss: 68/50
Top 10 NET wins: 3


Why in the hell are they 12 spots higher than us?
This post was edited on 1/5/22 at 10:31 am
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:28 am to
quote:


Why in the hell are they 12 spots higher than us?


If I had to guess based on the way the Quad games are in Bama's favor, it must be efficiency numbers and some combination of scoring margins.

I'm a fan of the quad system in the sense of getting a good idea of where wins/losses are broken down but slowly we are seeing alot of issues with NET, just like RPI

I think the problem is that people want to find the end all be all metric but I don't think CBB will ever or should ever work that way.
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
732 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:38 am to
quote:

If I had to guess based on the way the Quad games are in Bama's favor, it must be efficiency numbers and some combination of scoring margins.

I'm a fan of the quad system in the sense of getting a good idea of where wins/losses are broken down but slowly we are seeing alot of issues with NET, just like RPI

I think the problem is that people want to find the end all be all metric but I don't think CBB will ever or should ever work that way.


Yeah the NET seems to be the harshest on Bama's resume for some odd reason, despite being 6-3 in Q1/Q2 games, playing zero Q4 games, and having 3 wins v. Top 10 teams (#3 Houston, @ #4 Gonzaga, #9 Tennessee).

Bama is #2 in RPI, #16 in ELO, #17 in KemPom, but #21 in NET.

Tennessee is #31 in RPI, #22 in Elo, #14 in KenPom, but #9 in NET.

For some reason, NET really loves something UT has done compared to the others and I can't figure out what it is.
This post was edited on 1/5/22 at 10:40 am
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
46342 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Still haven't figured out why we are so high in the NET.


The tweaks to the NET formula seem to have put a disproportionate amount of weight on efficiency and "quality losses". Like it literally seems as if it's better to lose to a top 10 team by 6 than it is to beat a top 50 team by 6. Maybe they're trying to promote better OOC scheduling, but if that's the case you'd think we'd be getting rewarded for playing the gauntlet we did instead of seemingly being punished for it due to the negative effect it had on our efficiency numbers.
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
732 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:46 am to
Same with Kentucky.

UK (11-3) (NET Rank: 16)
Q1: 1-2
Q2: 0-1
Q1+2: 1-3
Q3: 2-0
Q4: 8-0
Average NET win/loss: 233/39

Bama (10-3) (NET Rank: 21)
Q1: 3-2
Q2: 2-1
Q1+2: 6-3
Q3: 4-0
Q4: 0-0 (hasn't played a Q4 game)
Average NET win/loss: 68/50

Kentucky's only Q1/Q2 win is #35 UNC. UK is #69 in RPI, and yet #15 in NET.
This post was edited on 1/5/22 at 10:52 am
Posted by IRobbedMyMom
Member since Aug 2019
1004 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:47 am to
quote:

We are +2.
Florida’s offense runs entirely through Castleton in the post. Coming of age game for Bediako, I think he’ll give Castleton fits if the refs don’t call too tight of a whistle.
Posted by DLev45
Member since Aug 2018
732 posts
Posted on 1/5/22 at 10:54 am to
Here is a really goofy one for you guys:

Kentucky (11-3)
Q1: 1-2
Q2: 0-1
Q1+2: 1-3
Q3: 2-0
Q4: 8-0
Average NET win/loss: 233/39
Top 50 wins: 1 (#35 UNC)

Iowa State (12-1)
Q1: 3-1
Q2: 1-0
Q1+2: 4-1
Q3: 0-0
Q4: 8-0
Average NET win/loss: 202/1
Top 50 wins: 3 (#23 Xavier, #25 Iowa, @ #49 Creighton)

...
...
...

NET Ranks ... #15 Kentucky, #22 Iowa State

They must REALLY be leaning into the efficiency numbers with NET, far more than previously, because Iowa State's resume trounces Kentucky's in every possible way, and their only loss is by 5 to #1 Baylor.
This post was edited on 1/5/22 at 11:06 am
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