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Gonna run the models shortly........

Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:14 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:14 pm
- Alabama plays their Ole Miss, State, LSU, Auburn defensive game and Arkansas, A&M, Ole Miss, State, Miami offensive game........at the same time model (best!)

- Alabama plays their Ole Miss, Miss St, Miami game model (good)

- Overall model (average)

- Alabama plays their LSU, Auburn, Florida game model (bad)

- Alabama plays their LSU, Auburn offensive game and their A&M, Florida defensive game (prepare your anus)

This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 2:22 pm
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
27519 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:17 pm to
That's what bothers me.

I'd much prefer y'all being consistently pretty good to being sometimes elite and other times arse cheeks.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:21 pm to
Yea, it's both the most frustrating thing about this team and the thing that keeps some legitimate hope alive about this team.

However, as we've all said, the odds of us magically putting it all together after 10 of 12 weeks having one unit good and one bad basically every week seems pretty slim. The flip side is, there is no fvckin rhyme or reason why one plays well and the other immediately shits their pants. It's insane.

Arkansas was well on it's way to being in the Ole Miss/State "very good combined effort" game category until all of a sudden we just decided to shite our pants on defense about halfway through the 3rd quarter.
Posted by Goombaw
Kentucky
Member since Jan 2013
5249 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:25 pm to
Posted by Bama Bird
Member since Dec 2011
Member since Mar 2013
19022 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:28 pm to
The thing about this team is that anything can go HORRIBLY wrong at any given time. When we go bad, we go big with it
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

The thing about this team is that anything can go HORRIBLY wrong at any given time. When we go bad, we go big with it



Damn right!
Posted by Teague
The Shoals, AL
Member since Aug 2007
21670 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Alabama plays their Ole Miss, State, LSU, Auburn defensive game and Arkansas, A&M, Ole Miss, State, Miami offensive game........at the same time model


Can we vote, and send it to the team? Because, I think this is the best plan. I'm not sure why they've been doing the other ones.
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75839 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

Alabama plays their LSU, Auburn offensive game and their A&M, Florida defensive game (prepare your anus)


Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62726 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:47 pm to
The SoG model has been consistently inconsistent all season.
Since, I'm quite certain Alabama losses will abound in the SoG analyzinator, I'll be feeling better about our chances Saturday.
At least I hope it's that way.
Posted by bbeck
Member since Dec 2011
14555 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:48 pm to
I think this will be a low scoring affair. 17-13 feel to it.

Curious to know the score on the model.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37588 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

The thing about this team is that anything can go HORRIBLY wrong at any given time. When we go bad, we go big with it


Posted by Crimsonite94
Member since Jul 2021
3564 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 2:56 pm to
Part of me knows it will be a good game, and the part with brain cells left (college lol) says we will get beat like we beat Notre Dame and Michigan State
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 2:57 pm
Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
44346 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Alabama plays their LSU, Auburn offensive game and their A&M, Florida defensive game (prepare your anus)


This would make the 2018 Clemson game look like a nail biter.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

The SoG model has been consistently inconsistent all season.
Since, I'm quite certain Alabama losses will abound in the SoG analyzinator, I'll be feeling better about our chances Saturday.
At least I hope it's that way.


Yea - that's why I'm gonna run the various models, because unlike Georgia you can't just average together all our games and spit out an expectation. You really do have to run a "good Bama O/bad Bama D" and visa versa.

It used to be easy to predict our outcomes based on opponent because we were a machine. This year......very different results week to week that have little to do with the opponent hahaha.
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 3:06 pm
Posted by Dubosed
Gulf Breeze
Member since Nov 2012
7036 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

- Alabama plays their LSU, Auburn offensive game and their A&M, Florida defensive game


Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:07 pm to
I'm actually most excited for the full Nuclear Meltdown Model. Is it worse than 2018 Clemson? NEGATIVE OFFENSIVE PTS?

STAND BY TO FIND OUT!
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52645 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:11 pm to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:13 pm to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Can we vote, and send it to the team? Because, I think this is the best plan. I'm not sure why they've been doing the other ones.


"After running the numbers the analytics department says you guys should do the thing where both units don't play like shite. It's bold, but I think we oughta listen"
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16977 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 3:14 pm to
We need the goods George, you can’t lay this out there and wait hours….
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