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re: tu and ou SEC request

Posted on 7/22/21 at 8:52 am to
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55169 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 8:52 am to
quote:

LSU and every school is going to make more money from this, not less. If it’s less it would be a pretty easy no.



This isn’t accurate though

Take whatever increase the overall conference contract could expect and divide it by 16


Odds are much greater that everyone takes a pay cut

Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60080 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 8:56 am to
There is a clause that ESPN pays more for more teams.

Also the people that run these schools and ADs aren’t morons and wouldn’t support cutting their own revenue lol
Posted by Ag_16
Your moms house
Member since Oct 2019
2564 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:03 am to
So its just a waiting game now?
Im looking forward to the matchups if it does end up happening. Im sure its sacrilegious to say but i want to catch that first game when/if the rivalry gets renewed
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55169 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:28 am to
That’s why it’s not happening, wrap your mind around how much ESPN would have to pay for Oklahoma and Texas for everyone in the conference to get a financial boost. Think about it, our contracts would have to go up 50%, for Texas where they already have the TV market? For Oklahoma where the populations only 4 million? Do you really believe adding Texas and Oklahoma is worth 300 million a year? When we’re only getting 600 million a year for all the other 14 teams?
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60080 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:33 am to
Simply dropping the LHN is probably a financial win for ESPN at this point. I hope you’re right but I suspect you’re creating reasons out of thin air because we realize this isn’t great for our football program. It’s pretty far along if you read between the lines on it.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55169 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 9:38 am to
The math is easy to me, and I think cardboard boxers model of on-demand games is still a decade away. So I don’t think that will impact the cc decision. To give every team in the SEC a 10 million a year boost would require Oklahoma and Texas to increase the conferences TV contracts by $160,000,000 per year, I don’t think a 10 million a year boost would be enough to get the yes votes needed. So what would it take? I think it would take at least 20 million a year per team to get schools to let go of 100 year rivalries and traditions that they care about. And there’s no way there’s that much additional revenue created by the addition.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155210 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:03 am to
I feel like Arkansas is the swing vote here

As an LSU fan I want more information on the logistics before I truly decide how i feel. On the surface it’s exciting but if these means fricking up the schedule format even more and we end up with a pod system then I think I’ll pass.

I hated the European super league idea. This is kind of that same vibe just different culturally but with the same end game ($)
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60080 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:07 am to
Even if us Missouri and Arkansas are no I think it still passes doesn’t it? I’m very interested to see what a potential schedule looks like.

I don’t want to be in some Big 12 pod with Texas OU and Missouri, I know that. We should be playing Texas LSU and Arkansas every year if this happens and we’ve built a solid little series with Auburn that I’d like to continue. I don’t want to play the Mississippi schools and Bama every 6 years or something
This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 10:08 am
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50049 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 10:52 am to
quote:

The math is easy to me, and I think cardboard boxers model of on-demand games is still a decade away. So I don’t think that will impact the cc decision. To give every team in the SEC a 10 million a year boost would require Oklahoma and Texas to increase the conferences TV contracts by $160,000,000 per year, I don’t think a 10 million a year boost would be enough to get the yes votes needed. So what would it take? I think it would take at least 20 million a year per team to get schools to let go of 100 year rivalries and traditions that they care about. And there’s no way there’s that much additional revenue created by the addition.



I quick google search says the Big 12 TV contract pays out $200 M a year on average. By taking OU and tu we can easily get the at 160 M so each team gets 10 M.

But that isn't the only thing. It grows the conference to a superpower. We (the SEC) can throw our weight around to basically get whatever we want. CFP wants to go to 12. We come in and say, no I want 16. I want each Pod winner and 2 wild cards guaranteed each year. The CFP can't tell us no, because we can go home and just play our own CFP between the pod winners.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55169 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 11:29 am to
The conference already is a super power. And if you think all of the other schools combined in the big 12 including the basketball programs and baseball programs only represent 40 million to the TV contract, that’s just crazy
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
58023 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 11:38 am to
I've wanted to keep playing Texas from the get go so it doesn't really bother me that much.

However, if those two join and A&M isn't playing Arkansas, LSU, and Texas every year it's going to be a bunch of straight up bullshite. The pod that SECN had up is awful. IDGAF about Miss St and Ole Miss. Playing them now and then is fine. Every year would be trash.
This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 11:39 am
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
58023 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 11:40 am to
quote:

CFP wants to go to 12. We come in and say, no I want 16. I want each Pod winner and 2 wild cards guaranteed each year. The CFP can't tell us no, because we can go home and just play our own CFP between the pod winners.


That isn't going to happen my broham and an all SEC playoff would be lame. It would get looked down on like when the Big 10/Pac 12/Rose Bowl refused to be part of the original Bowl Alliance.
This post was edited on 7/22/21 at 11:41 am
Posted by cardboardboxer
Member since Apr 2012
34330 posts
Posted on 7/22/21 at 11:21 pm to
There are two sides of the pie. We talk about TV rights for games because that drove expansion last time, but this time it seems the money pot for the playoffs is where movement can also happen. Right now that money gets split all of over the place in a NCAA model, but if the top conferences break away or even just use their leverage to get more of that pie they increase their payout considerably.

Right now the Big 12 is a big problem for ESPN. The LHN is a waste, much of the other inventory has little national appeal, but mostly when talk flies around about “guaranteed playoff spots” in playoff expansion this zombie league would take a guaranteed slot in the big money maker aka the Big East at the end of the BCS. This drags down the benefit of playoff expansion.

With a “Power 4” a twelve team playoff gets way more bang for the buck. Eight teams play-in to get a shot at the conference champions, and this one event makes enough money to prop up not only the SEC but also ESPN’s other long term investments in college football. Streaming services are dipping into the safer NFL inventory, which means ESPN will eventually need college football as a primary cash cow when they can’t afford NFL rights anymore.

So ESPN is putting the money on the table you don’t see to improve their overall product and stay entrenched in the sport. I hope it’s not enough we all do but that is where the money is coming from to make this a hard choice.
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