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re: Will the loser of Tennessee/Georgia still…
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:49 am to WG_Dawg
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:49 am to WG_Dawg
Statistics. Analytics.
Math n stuff.
According to Espn analytics;
UT wins - UT 83% chance to make playoffs, UGA 40% chance
UGA wins - UGA 78% chance to make playoffs, UT 55% chance.
Math n stuff.
According to Espn analytics;
UT wins - UT 83% chance to make playoffs, UGA 40% chance
UGA wins - UGA 78% chance to make playoffs, UT 55% chance.
1
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:50 am to LunaFreak
quote:
Statistics. Analytics.
Math n stuff.
According to Espn analytics;
every single thing you metioned...enmtirely irrelevant. Means literally nothing. You knwo what does mean something? The acutal committee. You know, the people making decisisons? Going by how they've picked the last 8 years. That's actual real life fact, not just "muh math".
2 SEC teams aren't making the playoffs unless you don't have enough 0/1 loss P5 champs. Period. End of story. Etched in stone.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:59 am to Fuegoqueso
If UGA wins and then wins SECC, UT will get in.
If UGA wins and and loses the SECC, UT won’t get in.
IF UT wins and wins the SECC, UGA has a Slim shot to get in.
If UT wins and loses the SECC, UGA won’t get in.
If UGA wins and and loses the SECC, UT won’t get in.
IF UT wins and wins the SECC, UGA has a Slim shot to get in.
If UT wins and loses the SECC, UGA won’t get in.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:01 pm to Fuegoqueso
quote:
Make the playoffs?
It will depend
If UA wins out than no and if TCU wins out no.
UA winning out would allow for the UGA/UT winner to still get in. But if the East winner wins out and TCU goes undefeated only 1 SEC team makes the playoffs
This is assuming Clemson and the B10 champ are both undefeated as well
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:02 pm to Dawgfanman
I don't believe this. The committee has shown time and again that they will reward conference champs if they are undefeated or have one loss. This isn't the BCS. ACC, SEC, and B1G will all have a team. TCU, USC, or Oregon all have good shots at making it as well. The SEC will not get a second team in unless TCU, USC, or Oregon all shite the bed in the last month of the season.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:03 pm to Fuegoqueso
Gonna need at least 2 of the following teams (Michigan/Ohio St winner, Clemson, TCU) to lose a game.
SEC champ (whether it's undefeated UGA/Vols or 12-1 Bama)
Michigan/Ohio St winner
13-0 Clemson
13-0 TCU
SEC champ (whether it's undefeated UGA/Vols or 12-1 Bama)
Michigan/Ohio St winner
13-0 Clemson
13-0 TCU
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:03 pm to WG_Dawg
quote:
Means literally nothing.
I know. I've met a lot of Georgia fans lately who don't really know how to add and subtract very well.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:03 pm to Dawgfanman
quote:
If UGA wins and then wins SECC, UT will get in.
quote:
IF UT wins and wins the SECC, UGA has a Slim shot to get in.
Not if TCU wins out in my opinion. Whoever drops the game this weekend will be home while TCU will be playing a ranked match up for the B12.
The only way SEC getting 2 teams in will be if UA wins out and the runner up in Atlanta gets in. All 3 teams have to win out.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:04 pm to Fuegoqueso
If Georgia loses Saturday and Tennessee and Bama win out, I don’t think there’s any chance Georgia makes it. The harder decision would be between UGA and Tennessee if Bama somehow beats UGA in the SECCG. That’s a longshot though.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:04 pm to Dawgfanman
quote:
If UGA wins and then wins SECC, UT will get in.
Not if you still have 3 other undefeated P5 champs.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:04 pm to Fuegoqueso
If the East winner beats the West winner in the SEC Championship game, sure.
OSU or Michigan will lose a game
Someone will beat TCU
UT and UGA are better than a PAC-12 team.
Clempsum has no competition.
But if West wins then loser of UG/UT is out.
OSU or Michigan will lose a game
Someone will beat TCU
UT and UGA are better than a PAC-12 team.
Clempsum has no competition.
But if West wins then loser of UG/UT is out.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:05 pm to Fuegoqueso
Good question. They could but it depends on what happens in the West and in Atlanta. If the UGA/Tenn winner wins in Atlanta the loser will be in good position if that's their only blemish. If the West team wins they likely are out. They won't put 3 SEC teams in.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:05 pm to RTRcdub
quote:
The harder decision would be between UGA and Tennessee if Bama somehow beats UGA in the SECCG. That’s a longshot though.
Help me understand how that’s a hard decision
It would be 12-1 UGA or 11-1 UT, with UGA having the head to head win.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:05 pm to Lynxrufus2012
quote:
Clempsum has no competition.
Doesn't matter, if they go 13-0 they're in.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:07 pm to MetroAtlantaGatorFan
quote:
Not if you still have 3 other undefeated P5 champs.
No one takes the Big 12 seriously. They’ve never made it past the first round.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:07 pm to Fuegoqueso
No. Loser is out of the discussion
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:08 pm to WG_Dawg
I doubt it. Either Michigan or Ohio will win out and will take a spot. Clemson will probably win out and take another. If TCU goes undefeated, people will be screaming for them to be chosen. The next spot will go to the winner of the SEC championship. If TCU falters, there is a chance that the loser of Ga/Tenn. could make it in. However, they could just as well choose the loser of the OSU/Mich game if it is close.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:09 pm to Dawgfanman
quote:
It would be 12-1 UGA or 11-1 UT, with UGA having the head to head win.
Because Tennessee would have a win over the SEC champ and a stronger SOS.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:10 pm to RTRcdub
quote:
Because Tennessee would have a win over the SEC champ and a stronger SOS.
Would they? They have a stronger SOS now, not sure they would by then..SOS changes each week and ours is about to take a huge leap this weekend.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 12:13 pm to Dawgfanman
I’m neutral between the two teams. UGA’s best win so far is Oregon, and they’re a different team since week 1.
It’s going to be tough for Alabama to even make it to the SECCG, so it’s just as likely for UGA and UT to be in the playoffs honestly.
It’s going to be tough for Alabama to even make it to the SECCG, so it’s just as likely for UGA and UT to be in the playoffs honestly.
This post was edited on 11/3/22 at 12:15 pm
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